Result
1:1
12/04/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 24
- Referee: Karasev S. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | Q Football Asia |
 Belarus | Belarus 5 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.34 | 0.52 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (243/332) | 78% (354/453) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.34 | 0.52 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 0.26 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 27 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (243/332) | 78% (354/453) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (28/66) | 43% (26/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (81/127) | 70% (79/113) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 0% (0/8) | 29% (4/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.30 | 1.10 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 20 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (11/16) | 61% (11/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 58 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.26 | 0.57 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.74 | -0.43 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 27', 1 - 0, Wendel ⚽, Luiz Henrique (A),
- 44', Drkusic V. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 51', Krivtsov N. 🟨,
- 69', 1 - 1, Olaza L. ⚽, Cordoba J. (A),
- 71', Jhon Jhon ↓, Pedrinho ↑,
- 78', Pedrinho 🟥,
- 79', Joao Batxi ↓, Boselli J. ↑,
- 82', Glushenkov M. ↓, Vega R. ↑,
- 86', Lenini K. 🟨,
- 88', Gonzalez G. ↓, Paltsev V. ↑,
- 89', Krivtsov N. ↓, Cobnan M. D. ↑,
- 90+2', Santos D. ↓, Alip N. ↑,
- 90+7', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Zenit
48.3% | Draw
28.1% | Krasnodar
23.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zenit has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zenit's form might have worsened.Krasnodar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zenit than the current prediction. (+7.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zenit, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Krasnodar than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
Zenit - Krasnodar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.01 ↑
(1.71) |
3.46 ↓
(3.6) |
4.12 ↓
(4.7) |
3%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Zenit - Krasnodar?
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Zenit will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 and 1).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zenit won 3.
- Zenit is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Krasnodar is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Recently, Zenit has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Zenit is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Zenit: Shilov V.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Krasnodar: Chernikov A.
(Red Card)
Koksharov A.
(Injury)
Petrov S.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Stezhko V.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Zenit won 13 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 41:26. (average 2.1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Zenit won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 21:13. (average 2.3:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Zenit won against Krasnodar?
Zenit has won 6 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Krasnodar won against Zenit?
Krasnodar has won 2 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Zenit - Krasnodar were as follows:
17.02.2026
Krasnodar
-
Zenit
0:1
06.02.2026
Krasnodar
-
Zenit
3:0
21.09.2025
Krasnodar
-
Zenit
0:2
13.04.2025
Zenit
-
Krasnodar
4:1
28.09.2024
Krasnodar
-
Zenit
2:0
Latest results of Krasnodar
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Krasnodar | 27 | 18 | 6 | 3 | 55:21 | 34 | 60 |
| 2 | Zenit | 27 | 17 | 8 | 2 | 47:17 | 30 | 59 |
| 3 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 27 | 13 | 10 | 4 | 51:35 | 16 | 49 |
| 4 | Spartak Moscow | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 44:36 | 8 | 48 |
| 5 | Baltika | 27 | 11 | 13 | 3 | 37:17 | 20 | 46 |
| 6 | CSKA Moscow | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 38:28 | 10 | 45 |
| 7 | Rubin Kazan | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 25:26 | -1 | 39 |
| 8 | Dynamo Moscow | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 46:37 | 9 | 38 |
| 9 | Akhmat Grozny | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 31:37 | -6 | 32 |
| 10 | Akron Togliatti | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 33:45 | -12 | 27 |
| 11 | FK Rostov | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 20:29 | -9 | 27 |
| 12 | Orenburg | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 27:38 | -11 | 26 |
| 13 | Krylya Sovetov | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 29:47 | -18 | 26 |
| 14 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 17:34 | -17 | 24 |
| 15 | Pari NN | 27 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 23:44 | -21 | 22 |
| 16 | Sochi | 27 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 24:56 | -32 | 18 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL
