Result
 
                    3:1
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        29/08/2025 at  13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Challenge League - Round 6
 
                                                - Referee: Jaussi J. (Sui)
 
                                                - Where to Watch on TV: 
 
                                                
                    
                    
                    
                    
 |  | 
|---|
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2 | 
                      
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
 |  | 
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 0.50 | 1.93 | 
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 49% | 51% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 10 | 16 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 5 | 6 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 2 | 5 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 1 | 6 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 84% (368/440) | 79% (337/426) | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 2 | 2 | 
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 0.50 | 1.93 | 
| xG on target (xGOT) | 
|---|
| 0.68 | 1.81 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 10 | 16 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 5 | 6 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 2 | 6 | 
| Blocked Shots | 
|---|
| 3 | 4 | 
| Shots inside the Box | 
|---|
| 5 | 11 | 
| Shots outside the Box | 
|---|
| 4 | 5 | 
| Hit the Woodwork | 
|---|
| 0 | 1 | 
| Headed Goals | 
|---|
| 0 | 1 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 2 | 5 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 1 | 6 | 
| Touches in opposition box | 
|---|
| 18 | 27 | 
| Accurate through passes | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 2 | 0 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 11 | 13 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 84% (368/440) | 79% (337/426) | 
| Long passes | 
|---|
| 45% (25/56) | 54% (37/68) | 
| Passes in final third | 
|---|
| 62% (56/90) | 68% (101/148) | 
| Crosses | 
|---|
| 29% (2/7) | 20% (7/35) | 
| Expected assists (xA) | 
|---|
| 0.51 | 1.47 | 
| Throw-ins | 
|---|
| 21 | 30 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 14 | 11 | 
| Tackles | 
|---|
| 67% (14/21) | 59% (13/22) | 
| Duels won | 
|---|
| 59 | 61 | 
| Clearances | 
|---|
| 37 | 10 | 
| Interceptions | 
|---|
| 10 | 9 | 
| Errors leading to shot | 
|---|
| 1 | 0 | 
| Errors leading to goal | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 5 | 2 | 
| xGOT faced | 
|---|
| 1.81 | 0.68 | 
| Goals prevented | 
|---|
| 0.81 | -2.32 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
 - 22', 1 - 0, Ghia J. ⚽, Manquant J. (A), 
 - 29', Lasso J. 🟨, 
 - 32', 2 - 0, Manquant J. ⚽, Simo J. (A), 
 - 37', 3 - 0, Alili B. ⚽, Rodriguez P. (A), 
 - 40', Brandy E. 🟨, 
 - 2nd Half (0 - 1)
 - 46', Lymann F. ↓, Mayorga J. ↑, 
 - 46', Brandy E. ↓, Jaquenoud L. ↑, 
 - 57', Rodriguez P. ↓, Okuka M. ↑, 
 - 69', Rey A. ↓, Shabani M. ↑, 
 - 73', Simo J. ↓, Leclercq M. ↑, 
 - 73', Bega L. ↓, Stoll R. ↑, 
 - 73', Sorensen A. 🟨, 
 - 76', Ghia J. 🟨, 
 - 76', Ghia J. ↓, Perchaud T. ↑, 
 - 90+2', 3 - 1, Sorensen A. ⚽, Shabani M. (A), 
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 Stade Nyonnais  35.2% | Draw  27.2% | Bellinzona  37.6% | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Stade Nyonnais - Bellinzona Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			    | 
			   1 | 
			   X | 
			   2 | 
                           Marga | 
			    | 
			
			
			
			   Avarage Now (Initially) | 
			   2.61 ↓ (2.91) | 
			   3.38 ↓ (3.6) | 
			   2.45 ↑ (2.17) | 
			   8.9% (8.1%) |  | 
                               
			
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Stade Nyonnais - Bellinzona?
                    
                    
                        
						        
                                            
                                            Users Predictions: 
                                            
                                            
                                            8 users predict this event. Stade Nyonnais will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Bellinzona will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%). 
Confidence interval (95%) for Stade Nyonnais: 29% – 96%.                                The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
                        
						
                    
 
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 6 and 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Promotion League).
 - In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stade Nyonnais won 2.
 - Stade Nyonnais has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
 - Bellinzona's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
 - Stade Nyonnais may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
  - In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
 - There will not play in Stade Nyonnais: Diomande B.
(Knee Injury)
 - There will not play in Bellinzona: Amelibia J.
(Inactive)
Dermaku D.
(Injury)
Tutonda D.
(Inactive)
 - In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Stade Nyonnais won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 23:20. (average 1.4:1.3).
 - Including home matches between the teams, Stade Nyonnais won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:13. (average 1.9:1.4).                        
 
                      
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Stade Nyonnais won against Bellinzona?
                    
                    
                        
                            Stade Nyonnais has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Bellinzona won against Stade Nyonnais?
                    
                    
                        
                             Bellinzona has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Stade Nyonnais - Bellinzona were as follows:
                                                        
                                18.04.2025 
                                Bellinzona 
                                - 
                                Stade Nyonnais 
                                2:1
                            
        
                                                        
                                28.03.2025 
                                Stade Nyonnais 
                                - 
                                Bellinzona 
                                3:0
                            
        
                                                        
                                30.11.2024 
                                Bellinzona 
                                - 
                                Stade Nyonnais 
                                1:1
                            
        
                                                        
                                26.07.2024 
                                Stade Nyonnais 
                                - 
                                Bellinzona 
                                2:1
                            
        
                                                        
                                09.05.2024 
                                Stade Nyonnais 
                                - 
                                Bellinzona 
                                1:3
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Stade Nyonnais                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Bellinzona                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Swiss Challenge League Table
2025/26 |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Aarau | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 26:10 | 16 | 33 | 
| 2 | Vaduz | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 28:12 | 16 | 27 | 
| 3 | Yverdon | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 25:14 | 11 | 23 | 
| 4 | Xamax | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 21:16 | 5 | 20 | 
| 5 | Lausanne Ouchy | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 21:17 | 4 | 19 | 
| 6 | Stade Nyonnais | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 13 | 
| 7 | Etoile-Carouge | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 12:17 | -5 | 11 | 
| 8 | Rapperswil-Jona | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 12:19 | -7 | 10 | 
| 9 | Wil | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9:23 | -14 | 8 | 
| 10 | Bellinzona | 12 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 5:28 | -23 | 4 | 
      Promotion ~ Super League
      Promotion ~ Super League (Promotion: )
      Relegation ~ Promotion League