Paris Saint-Germain vs Newcastle United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League
Result
1:1
28/01/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League - League phase - Round 8
  • Referee: Vincic S. (Slo)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport Variety 2
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 3
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 4
belgiumBelgiumPickx+ Sports 8, Pickx+ Sports 8, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 4
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 3
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, HBO Max, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
europeEuropeGo3 Extra Sports Baltic
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3, Viaplay 1 Urheilu
franceFranceCANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 1
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Universal
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 5
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3
hungaryHungaryRTL+
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport 5, Viaplay
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, SCTV, Vidio
irelandIrelandVirgin Media Player
italyItalySky Sport 257
japanJapanWowow Live
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 3
laosLaosbeIN Connect
macaoMacaoTDM TV
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 7
mexicoMexicoFOX One, Fox Sports
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 6
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaESPN 5 Norte, Flow Sports 2 Caribbean
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
polandPolandCanal+ Extra 7
portugalPortugalDAZN 1, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaOrange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3
singaporeSingaporebeIN Connect, beIN Sport 1
slovakiaSlovakiaKanal A
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Variety 2
south-americaSouth-americaSpace Latin America, ViX Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 6, M+ Liga de Campeones 7
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport 1
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4, RSI La 2, RTS 2, RTS 2, SRF 2, SRF 2, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
turkeyTurkeyTabii
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 6, MEGOGO Futbol 7, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 3, Virgin TV Go app
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamK+, ON Plus, TV 360, VTV Prime
worldWorldVIX App

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.571.00
Ball possession
67%33%
Total shots
2510
Shots on target
74
Big chances
32
Corner kicks
51
Passes
90% (619/688)75% (249/333)
Yellow cards
01
Expected goals (xG)
2.571.00
xG on target (xGOT)
1.040.73
Total shots
2510
Shots on target
74
Shots off target
103
Blocked shots
83
Shots inside the box
188
Shots outside the box
72
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
01
Big chances
32
Corner kicks
51
Touches in opposition box
4825
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free kicks
88
Passes
90% (619/688)75% (249/333)
Long passes
59% (24/41)46% (26/57)
Passes in final third
87% (212/243)76% (74/98)
Crosses
47% (7/15)22% (2/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.610.50
Throw ins
1313
Fouls
88
Tackles
50% (6/12)58% (11/19)
Duels won
4039
Clearances
1720
Interceptions
1510
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
36
xGOT faced
0.731.04
Goals prevented
-0.270.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 4', Dembele O. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 8', 1 - 0, Vitinha ⚽, Kvaratskhelia K. (A),
  • 20', Elanga A. 🟨,
  • 23', Kvaratskhelia K. ↓, Doue D. ↑,
  • 45+2', 1 - 1, Willock J. ⚽, Burn D. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 68', Elanga A. ↓, Gordon A. ↑,
  • 68', Willock J. ↓, Barnes H. ↑,
  • 70', Barcola B. ↓, Ramos G. ↑,
  • 79', Woltemade N. ↓, Wissa Y. ↑,
  • 87', Neves J. ↓, Mbaye I. ↑,
  • 87', Zaire-Emery W. ↓, Mayulu S. ↑,

Chances of winning


Paris Saint-Germain
60.4%		Draw
19.9%		Newcastle United
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
68.8% 18.9% 12.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.1% 18.3% 11.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Paris Saint-Germain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Paris Saint-Germain's form might have worsened.
  • Newcastle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Newcastle United's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paris Saint-Germain than the current prediction. (+10.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Paris Saint-Germain, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle United than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Newcastle United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
    •

    Paris Saint-Germain - Newcastle United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.59 ↑
    (1.41)    		 4.81 ↓
    (5.11)    		 4.9 ↓
    (7.92)    		 4.2%
    (3.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    What is the prediction for Paris Saint-Germain - Newcastle United?
  • Users Predictions: 48 users predict this event. PSG will win (votes: 41 - 85.4%). Newcastle will win (votes: 4 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 6.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for PSG: 75.4% – 95.4%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 5 - 71.4%) .
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -1 - PSG (1.82) (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -0.75 - PSG (1.73) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • BTTS, 2nd Half - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • 1X2, 1st Half - PSG (1.98) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 3.75 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Paris Saint-Germain will win (15 of 20 users predict this - 75%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 29 high ROI users predict this event. PSG (votes: 24 - 82.8%). Tie (votes: 5 - 17.2%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Newcastle may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Newcastle has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, PSG is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in PSG: Fernandez D. (Inactive) Lee Kang-In (Thigh Injury) Ndjantou Q. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Newcastle: Gillespie M. (Inactive) Krafth E. (Knee Injury) Livramento V. (Hamstring Injury) Murphy J. (Hamstring Injury) Ruddy J. (Inactive) Schar F. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Newcastle: Bruno Guimaraes (Ankle Injury) Joelinton (Injury)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, PSG won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:5. (average 1:2.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, PSG won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Paris Saint-Germain - Newcastle United were as follows:
    28.11.2023 Paris Saint-Germain - Newcastle United 1:1
    04.10.2023 Newcastle United - Paris Saint-Germain 4:1
    Latest results of Paris Saint-Germain
    23.01.2026 Auxerre - Paris Saint-Germain 0:1 ✺
    20.01.2026 Sporting Lisbon - Paris Saint-Germain 2:1 ✺
    16.01.2026 Paris Saint-Germain - Lille 3:0 ✺
    12.01.2026 Paris Saint-Germain - Paris FC 0:1 ✺
    08.01.2026 Paris Saint-Germain - Olympique Marseille 3:2 ✺
    Latest results of Newcastle United
    25.01.2026 Newcastle United - Aston Villa 0:2 ✺
    21.01.2026 Newcastle United - PSV Eindhoven 3:0 ✺
    18.01.2026 Wolverhampton Wanderers - Newcastle United 0:0 ✺
    13.01.2026 Newcastle United - Manchester City 0:2 ✺
    10.01.2026 Newcastle United - Bournemouth 4:3 ✺
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Monaco (21)PSG (11)2 : 2, 2 : 3
    2Chelsea (6)Bye
    3Galatasaray (20)Juventus (13)2 : 3, 5 : 2
    4Liverpool (3)Bye
    5Benfica (24)Real Madrid (9)1 : 2, 0 : 1
    6Manchester City (8)Bye
    7Dortmund (17)Atalanta (15)1 : 4, 2 : 0
    8Bayern Munich (2)Bye
    9Qarabag (22)Newcastle (12)2 : 3, 1 : 6
    10Barcelona (5)Bye
    11Club Brugge KV (19)Atl. Madrid (14)1 : 4, 3 : 3
    12Tottenham (4)Bye
    13Bodo/Glimt (23)Inter (10)2 : 1, 3 : 1
    14Sporting CP (7)Bye
    15Olympiacos Piraeus (18)Bayer Leverkusen (16)0 : 0, 0 : 2
    16Arsenal (1)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1PSG (11)Chelsea (6)3 : 0, 5 : 2
    2Galatasaray (20)Liverpool (3)0 : 4, 1 : 0
    3Real Madrid (9)Manchester City (8)2 : 1, 3 : 0
    4Atalanta (15)Bayern Munich (2)1 : 4, 1 : 6
    5Newcastle (12)Barcelona (5)2 : 7, 1 : 1
    6Atl. Madrid (14)Tottenham (4)2 : 3, 5 : 2
    7Bodo/Glimt (23)Sporting CP (7)0 : 5, 3 : 0
    8Bayer Leverkusen (16)Arsenal (1)0 : 2, 1 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1PSG (11)Liverpool (3)
    2Real Madrid (9)Bayern Munich (2)
    3Barcelona (5)Atl. Madrid (14)
    4Sporting CP (7)Arsenal (1)

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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