Paris Saint-Germain vs Olympique Marseille – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1
Result
5:0
08/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 21
  • Referee: Delajod W. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2, DStv Now, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport MaXimo 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA French 2, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
azerbaijanAzerbaijanSetanta Sports 2
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
brazilBrazilCaze TV
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV3 Sport, Viaplay
europeEuropeSetanta Sports 2 Baltic
finlandFinlandViaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay
franceFranceDAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 1, Setanta Sports 2
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, Now Player
iranIranIRIB Varzesh
israelIsrael5 PLUS Israel
italyItalyLigue 1+, Sky Sport Calcio
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kazakhstanKazakhstanSetanta Sports 2
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 2
kyrgyzstanKyrgyzstanSetanta Sports 2
mexicoMexicoFOX One
moldovaMoldovaSetanta Sports 2
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
nigeriaNigeriaSupersport Maximo 1
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean, ESPN 5 Norte
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
polandPolandEleven Sports 2
portugalPortugalSport TV3
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 3, Voyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 2
south-africaSouth-africaSupersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Variety 4
south-americaSouth-americaESPN South
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
tajikistanTajikistanSetanta Sports 2
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
turkmenistanTurkmenistanSetanta Sports 2
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, DAZN, Ligue 1+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
uzbekistanUzbekistanSetanta Sports 2
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
vietnamVietnamK+, ON Plus, TV 360
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
4.140.63
Ball possession
58%42%
Total shots
229
Shots on target
73
Big chances
71
Corner kicks
52
Passes
90% (491/548)81% (320/394)
Yellow cards
22
Expected goals (xG)
4.140.63
xG on target (xGOT)
2.340.50
Total shots
229
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
122
Blocked shots
34
Shots inside the box
205
Shots outside the box
24
Hit the woodwork
40
Big chances
71
Corner kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
539
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
31
Free kicks
1811
Passes
90% (491/548)81% (320/394)
Long passes
68% (30/44)46% (22/48)
Passes in final third
80% (87/109)69% (57/83)
Crosses
33% (3/9)40% (2/5)
Expected assists (xA)
2.140.86
Throw ins
1414
Fouls
1118
Tackles
57% (8/14)54% (7/13)
Duels won
5437
Clearances
1213
Interceptions
138
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper saves
33
xGOT faced
0.502.34
Goals prevented
0.50-1.66

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 9', Vitinha 🟨,
  • 12', 1 - 0, Dembele O. ⚽, Mendes N. (A),
  • 37', 2 - 0, Dembele O. ⚽, Mayulu S. (A),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 46', Nwaneri E. ↓, Paixao I. ↑,
  • 59', Zaire-Emery W. 🟨,
  • 62', Pavard B. ↓, Abdelli H. ↑,
  • 62', Doue D. ↓, Kvaratskhelia K. ↑,
  • 64', 3 - 0, Medina F. (Own goal),
  • 66', 4 - 0, Kvaratskhelia K. ⚽, Dembele O. (A),
  • 68', Barcola B. ↓, Lee Kang-In ↑,
  • 74', 5 - 0, Lee Kang-In ⚽, Mayulu S. (A),
  • 75', Zaire-Emery W. ↓, Hernandez L. ↑,
  • 75', Mayulu S. ↓, Fernandez D. ↑,
  • 75', Dembele O. ↓, Ramos G. ↑,
  • 80', Greenwood M. ↓, Nadir B. ↑,
  • 82', Emerson 🟨,
  • 90+1', Balerdi L. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Paris Saint-Germain
65.7%		Draw
19%		Olympique Marseille
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66.6% 18.8% 14.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70% 19.8% 13.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Paris Saint-Germain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • Olympique Marseille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paris Saint-Germain than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olympique Marseille than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
    •

    Paris Saint-Germain - Olympique Marseille Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.45 ↑
    (1.41)    		 5.04 ↑
    (4.99)    		 6.24 ↓
    (6.45)    		 4.7%
    (6.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Paris Saint-Germain - Olympique Marseille?
  • Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. PSG will win (votes: 22 - 66.7%). Marseille will win (votes: 5 - 15.2%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 18.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for PSG: 50.6% – 82.8%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. PSG (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - PSG (1.69) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -1.25 - Marseille (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Marseille (5.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 - Marseille (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Marseille (2.72) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. PSG (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Marseille (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, PSG won 4.
    • PSG is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Marseille's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Marseille may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, PSG is the obvious favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, PSG won 15 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 43:12. (average 2.2:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, PSG won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 28:7. (average 2.5:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Paris Saint-Germain - Olympique Marseille were as follows:
    08.01.2026 Paris Saint-Germain - Olympique Marseille 3:2
    22.09.2025 Olympique Marseille - Paris Saint-Germain 1:0
    27.10.2024 Olympique Marseille - Paris Saint-Germain 0:3
    31.03.2024 Olympique Marseille - Paris Saint-Germain 0:2
    24.09.2023 Paris Saint-Germain - Olympique Marseille 4:0
    Latest results of Paris Saint-Germain
    01.02.2026 Strasbourg - Paris Saint-Germain 1:2 ✺
    28.01.2026 Paris Saint-Germain - Newcastle United 1:1 ✺
    23.01.2026 Auxerre - Paris Saint-Germain 0:1 ✺
    20.01.2026 Sporting Lisbon - Paris Saint-Germain 2:1 ✺
    16.01.2026 Paris Saint-Germain - Lille 3:0 ✺
    Latest results of Olympique Marseille
    03.02.2026 Olympique Marseille - Rennes 3:0 ✺
    31.01.2026 Paris FC - Olympique Marseille 2:2 ✺
    28.01.2026 Club Brugge - Olympique Marseille 3:0 ✺
    24.01.2026 Olympique Marseille - Lens 3:1 ✺
    21.01.2026 Olympique Marseille - Liverpool 0:3 ✺
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSG ✔ 31224570:274370
    2Lens30203760:322863
    3Lyon31176848:321657
    4Lille31176850:341657
    5Rennes31168754:421256
    6Marseille321651159:441553
    7Monaco311561054:47751
    8Strasbourg301371049:391046
    9Lorient3210121044:49-542
    10Toulouse311081343:44-138
    11Brest301081241:47-638
    12Paris FC319111140:47-738
    13Angers31971526:43-1734
    14Le Havre316131229:42-1331
    15Nice31791535:57-2230
    16Auxerre315101627:42-1525
    17Nantes32581929:51-2223
    18Metz31372131:70-3916

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    PSG is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
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