Result
2:2
27/04/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 26
- Referee: Egorov E. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | Q Football Asia |
 Belarus | Belarus 5 |
 Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1x2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.61 | 0.40 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (233/326) | 78% (291/373) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.61 | 0.40 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.68 | 1.31 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 44 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (233/326) | 78% (291/373) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (30/74) | 45% (25/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (72/118) | 72% (99/137) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (6/22) | 23% (7/31) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 0.94 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 89% (16/18) | 72% (13/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 66 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 36 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.31 | 1.68 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.69 | 0.68 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 12', 0 - 1, Dzyuba A. ⚽, Fernandez R. (A),
- 24', 1 - 1, Savichev K. (Own goal),
- 27', Escoval R. 🟨,
- 29', 2 - 1, Vera L. (Pen),
- 37', Fernandez R. 🟨,
- 42', Bakaev S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Pestryakov D. ↓, Boldyrev M. ↑,
- 46', Bokoev M. ↓, Nedelcearu I. ↑,
- 61', Bakaev Z. ↓, Mirzov R. ↑,
- 62', Bakaev S. ↓, Khubulov V. ↑,
- 63', Loncar S. ↓, Danilin K. ↑,
- 65', Zabolotnyi A. 🟨,
- 67', 2 - 2, Escoval R. ⚽,
- 79', Corredera A. ↓, Magomedov B. ↑,
- 79', Berkovskiy I. ↓, Golubovic P. ↑,
- 85', Fernandez D. 🟨,
- 89', Vera L. ↓, Rudenko A. ↑,
- 90+4', Nedelcearu I. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Khimki
36.3% | Draw
29.5% | Akron Tolyatti
34.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Khimki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)Akron Tolyatti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Khimki than the current prediction. (+4.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Akron Tolyatti than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
Khimki - Akron Tolyatti Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.67 ↑
(2.42) |
3.29 ↓
(3.63) |
2.84 ↓
(3.07) |
3.1%
(1.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Khimki - Akron Tolyatti?
Users Predictions:
Khimki will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 in the zone Premier League (Relegation) and 9).
- Both teams are in bad shape now.
- Akron could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Recently Akron have a series of home games.
- In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
- There will not play in Khimki: Luna D.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Akron: Kuzmin M.
(Yellow Cards)
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Khimki won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:5 (average 1.3:1.7).
- Including matches at home between the teams Khimki won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2
How many head-to-head matches has Khimki won against Akron Tolyatti?
Khimki has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Akron Tolyatti won against Khimki?
Akron Tolyatti has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Khimki - Akron Tolyatti were as follows:
15.09.2024
Akron Tolyatti
-
Khimki
3:0
12.11.2023
Khimki
-
Akron Tolyatti
2:2
02.10.2023
Akron Tolyatti
-
Khimki
0:2
Latest results of Akron Tolyatti
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Krasnodar | 27 | 18 | 6 | 3 | 55:21 | 34 | 60 |
| 2 | Zenit | 27 | 17 | 8 | 2 | 47:17 | 30 | 59 |
| 3 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 28 | 13 | 11 | 4 | 52:36 | 16 | 50 |
| 4 | Spartak Moscow | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 45:38 | 7 | 48 |
| 5 | Baltika | 27 | 11 | 13 | 3 | 37:17 | 20 | 46 |
| 6 | CSKA Moscow | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 38:28 | 10 | 45 |
| 7 | Rubin Kazan | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 25:26 | -1 | 39 |
| 8 | Dynamo Moscow | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 47:38 | 9 | 39 |
| 9 | Akhmat Grozny | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 31:37 | -6 | 32 |
| 10 | Krylya Sovetov | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 31:48 | -17 | 29 |
| 11 | Akron Togliatti | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 33:45 | -12 | 27 |
| 12 | FK Rostov | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 20:29 | -9 | 27 |
| 13 | Orenburg | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 27:38 | -11 | 26 |
| 14 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 17:34 | -17 | 24 |
| 15 | Pari NN | 27 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 23:44 | -21 | 22 |
| 16 | Sochi | 27 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 24:56 | -32 | 18 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL
