Result
1:3
04/04/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 23
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Asia | Q Football Asia |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3 |
Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
Kosovo | Arena Premium 2 |
Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Serbia | Arena Premium 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 1.33 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (250/338) | 83% (346/418) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 1.33 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 0.55 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 0 | 7 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (250/338) | 83% (346/418) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (22/56) | 43% (18/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (51/94) | 80% (102/128) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (6/18) | 14% (3/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 1.37 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 86% (12/14) | 56% (5/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.55 | 0.97 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.45 | -0.03 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 5', 0 - 1, Gondou L. ⚽, Kislyak M. (A),
- 26', Djakovac I. 🟨,
- 40', Nedelcearu I. ↓, Khosonov K. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 60', 1 - 1, Dzyuba A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 66', Glebov K. ↓, Matheus Reis ↑,
- 66', Henrique Carmo ↓, Kozlov D. ↑,
- 67', Arevalo K. ↓, Rocha Y. ↑,
- 67', Djakovac I. ↓, Loncar S. ↑,
- 69', Danilov K. 🟨,
- 73', Oblyakov I. ↓, Musaev T. ↑,
- 74', Boldyrev M. ↓, Sevikyan E. ↑,
- 84', 1 - 2, Krugovoy D. ⚽, Gajic M. (A),
- 90+5', Danilov K. ↓, Joao Victor ↑,
Chances of winning
Akron Tolyatti 21.8% | Draw 22.6% | CSKA Moscow 55.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Akron Tolyatti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)CSKA Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Akron Tolyatti than the current prediction. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for CSKA Moscow than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Akron Tolyatti - CSKA Moscow Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.45 ↑ (4.4) |
4.29 ↑ (4.05) |
1.75 ↑ (1.65) |
2.9% (8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Akron Tolyatti - CSKA Moscow?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. CSKA (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
CSKA Moscow will win
(8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 5).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Akron won 1.
- Akron is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- CSKA has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, CSKA is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Akron: Escoval R.
(Red Card)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Akron won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:16. (average 1.2:2.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Akron won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1.3:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Akron Tolyatti won against CSKA Moscow?
Akron Tolyatti has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has CSKA Moscow won against Akron Tolyatti?
CSKA Moscow has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Akron Tolyatti - CSKA Moscow were as follows:
22.01.2026
Akron Tolyatti
-
CSKA Moscow
1:3
21.10.2025
CSKA Moscow
-
Akron Tolyatti
3:2
24.08.2025
CSKA Moscow
-
Akron Tolyatti
3:1
12.08.2025
Akron Tolyatti
-
CSKA Moscow
2:1
16.03.2025
Akron Tolyatti
-
CSKA Moscow
1:2
Latest results of Akron Tolyatti
Latest results of CSKA Moscow
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Krasnodar | 24 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 49:17 | 32 | 53 |
| 2 | Zenit | 24 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 44:17 | 27 | 52 |
| 3 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 24 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 50:33 | 17 | 45 |
| 4 | Baltika | 24 | 11 | 11 | 2 | 34:13 | 21 | 44 |
| 5 | CSKA Moscow | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 36:26 | 10 | 42 |
| 6 | Spartak Moscow | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 38:32 | 6 | 42 |
| 7 | Dynamo Moscow | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 43:35 | 8 | 34 |
| 8 | Rubin Kazan | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 23:25 | -2 | 34 |
| 9 | Akhmat Grozny | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 29:31 | -2 | 31 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 19:26 | -7 | 26 |
| 11 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 15:30 | -15 | 23 |
| 12 | Akron Togliatti | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 30:43 | -13 | 22 |
| 13 | Krylya Sovetov | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 25:44 | -19 | 22 |
| 14 | Pari NN | 24 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 20:39 | -19 | 21 |
| 15 | Orenburg | 24 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 24:36 | -12 | 20 |
| 16 | Sochi | 24 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 21:53 | -32 | 12 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL