Legia Warsaw vs AZ Alkmaar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa Conference League Legia Warsaw - AZ Alkmaar
Result
2:0
14/12/2023 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 6
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport
finlandFinlandViaplay
norwayNorwayViaplay
polandPolandViaplay
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport
swedenSwedenViaplay
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomTNT Sports

Chances of winning


Legia Warsaw
32.1%
Draw
28.1%
AZ Alkmaar
39.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.4% 26.5% 37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5% 26.6% 37%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Legia Warsaw has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • AZ Alkmaar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
  • Legia Warsaw - AZ Alkmaar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.96
    (2.55)
    3.36
    (3.5)
    2.38
    (2.5)
    5.5%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Legia Warsaw - AZ Alkmaar?
  • Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Legia will win (votes: 2 - 7.1%). AZ will win (votes: 18 - 64.3%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 28.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for AZ: 46.6%82%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent matches Legia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • AZ is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recently Legia have a series of guest games.
    • Recently AZ have a series of home games.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • There will not play in Legia: Mustafaev R. (Knee Injury) Pekhart T. (Injury)
    • There will not play in AZ: Lahdo M. (Injury) Mijnans S. (Knee Injury) Ryan M. (Face Injury)
    • There are questionable in AZ: de Wit M. (Foot Injury)
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Legia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Legia Warsaw - AZ Alkmaar were as follows:
    05.10.2023 AZ Alkmaar - Legia Warsaw 1:0
    Latest results of Legia Warsaw
    Latest results of AZ Alkmaar
    09.12.2023 AZ Alkmaar - Almere City 4:1
    06.12.2023 AZ Alkmaar - NEC Nijmegen Abandoned
    03.12.2023 Utrecht - AZ Alkmaar 1:1
    26.11.2023 AZ Alkmaar - Volendam 3:0
    UEFA Europa Conference League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Fiorentina22005:056
    2AEK Larnaca22005:056
    3Celje22005:146
    4Lausanne22004:046
    5Samsunspor22004:046
    6Mainz22002:026
    7Rayo Vallecano21104:224
    8Rakow21103:124
    9Strasbourg21103:214
    10Jagiellonia21102:114
    11Noah21102:114
    12AEK Athens FC21017:343
    13Zrinjski21015:143
    14Lech Poznan21015:323
    15Sparta Prague21014:223
    16Crystal Palace21012:113
    17Shakhtar Donetsk21014:403
    18Legia21012:203
    19Rijeka21011:103
    20Shkendija21011:2-13
    21AZ Alkmaar21011:4-33
    22Lincoln Red Imps21012:6-43
    23Drita20202:202
    24Hacken20202:202
    25KuPS20201:102
    26Omonia20111:2-11
    27Shelbourne20110:1-11
    28Sigma Olomouc20111:3-21
    29Univ. Craiova20111:3-21
    30Breidablik20110:3-31
    31Slovan Bratislava20021:3-20
    32Hamrun20020:2-20
    33Shamrock Rovers20021:6-50
    34Dyn. Kyiv20020:5-50
    35SK Rapid20021:7-60
    36Aberdeen20022:9-70

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