Legia Warsaw vs AZ Alkmaar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
14/12/2023 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 6
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Chances of winning


Legia Warsaw
32.1%
Draw
28.1%
AZ Alkmaar
39.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.4% 26.5% 37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5% 26.6% 37%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Legia Warsaw has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • AZ Alkmaar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
  • Legia Warsaw - AZ Alkmaar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.96
    (2.55)
    3.36
    (3.5)
    2.38
    (2.5)
    5.5%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Legia Warsaw - AZ Alkmaar?
  • Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Legia will win (votes: 2 - 7.1%). AZ will win (votes: 18 - 64.3%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 28.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for AZ: 46.6%82%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent matches Legia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • AZ is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recently Legia have a series of guest games.
    • Recently AZ have a series of home games.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • There will not play in Legia: Mustafaev R. (Knee Injury) Pekhart T. (Injury)
    • There will not play in AZ: Lahdo M. (Injury) Mijnans S. (Knee Injury) Ryan M. (Face Injury)
    • There are questionable in AZ: de Wit M. (Foot Injury)
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Legia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Legia Warsaw - AZ Alkmaar were as follows:
    05.10.2023 AZ Alkmaar - Legia Warsaw 1:0
    Latest results of Legia Warsaw
    Latest results of AZ Alkmaar
    09.12.2023 AZ Alkmaar - Almere City 4:1
    06.12.2023 AZ Alkmaar - NEC Nijmegen Abandoned
    03.12.2023 Utrecht - AZ Alkmaar 1:1
    26.11.2023 AZ Alkmaar - Volendam 3:0
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1KuPS (21)Lech Poznan (11)0 : 1, 0 : 2
    2Shakhtar Donetsk (6)Bye
    3Noah (19)AZ Alkmaar (14)0 : 4, 1 : 0
    4Sparta Prague (4)Bye
    5Zrinjski (23)Crystal Palace (10)0 : 2, 1 : 1
    6AEK Larnaca (8)Bye
    7Jagiellonia (17)Fiorentina (15)4 : 2, 0 : 3
    8Rakow (2)Bye
    9Shkendija (22)Samsunspor (12)0 : 4, 0 : 1
    10Rayo Vallecano (5)Bye
    11Drita (20)Celje (13)2 : 3, 2 : 3
    12AEK Athens (3)Bye
    13Sigma Olomouc (24)Lausanne (9)2 : 1, 1 : 1
    14Mainz (7)Bye
    15Omonia (18)Rijeka (16)1 : 3, 0 : 1
    16Strasbourg (1)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1Lech Poznan (11)Shakhtar Donetsk (6)
    2AZ Alkmaar (14)Sparta Prague (4)
    3Crystal Palace (10)AEK Larnaca (8)
    4Fiorentina (15)Rakow (2)
    5Samsunspor (12)Rayo Vallecano (5)
    6Celje (13)AEK Athens (3)
    7Sigma Olomouc (24)Mainz (7)
    8Rijeka (16)Strasbourg (1)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2