Legia Warsaw vs Zagłębie Lubin – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

17/04/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Stadion Wojska Polskiego (Warsaw).

Ekstraklasa - Round 29
Referee: Nagamine K. (Jpn)
Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	beIN Connect
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Sporty TV
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Poland	CANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport 4, Ekstraklasa TV
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz
World	Onefootball

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.74	0.57
Ball possession
62%	38%
Total shots
13	8
Shots on target
3	1
Big chances
1	1
Corner kicks
10	4
Passes
77% (294/381)	64% (150/234)
Yellow cards
1	3
Expected goals (xG)
1.74	0.57
xG on target (xGOT)
1.25	0.72
Total shots
13	8
Shots on target
3	1
Shots off target
6	4
Blocked shots
4	3
Shots inside the box
7	8
Shots outside the box
6	0
Hit the woodwork
1	0
Big chances
1	1
Corner kicks
10	4
Touches in opposition box
31	19
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	3
Free kicks
17	13
Passes
77% (294/381)	64% (150/234)
Long passes
43% (30/70)	38% (24/63)
Passes in final third
70% (98/141)	43% (28/65)
Crosses
24% (6/25)	20% (3/15)
Expected assists (xA)
2.31	0.60
Throw ins
16	11
Fouls
13	17
Tackles
89% (8/9)	69% (9/13)
Duels won
50	64
Clearances
22	40
Interceptions
5	8
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
1	1
xGOT faced
0.72	1.25
Goals prevented
0.72	0.25

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
29', 1 - 0, Adamski R. ⚽, Piatkowski K. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Kocaba F. 🟨,
58', Radwanski A. ↓, Sypek J. ↑,
62', Kocaba F. ↓, Dabrowski D. ↑,
62', Corluka J. ↓, Grzybek M. ↑,
74', Kolan J. ↓, Dziewiatowski M. ↑,
74', Szabo L. ↓, Kosidis M. ↑,
80', Urbanski K. ↓, Krasniqi E. ↑,
85', Szymanski D. 🟨,
85', Buric J. 🟨,
89', Kun P. ↓, Reca A. ↑,
90', Dziewiatowski M. 🟨,
90+6', Szymanski D. ↓, Kapustka B. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Legia Warsaw
59.1%

Draw
24.7%

Zagłębie Lubin
16.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.4%

24.8%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4%

24%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Legia Warsaw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Zagłębie Lubin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zagłębie Lubin than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Legia Warsaw - Zagłębie Lubin Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.65)	3.82 ↑ (3.75)	5.78 ↑ (4.96)	6.2% (7.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Legia Warsaw - Zagłębie Lubin?

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Legia will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Zagłębie Lubin will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Legia: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Legia (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Legia won 4.
Legia is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Zagłębie Lubin is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Legia is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Legia: Bichakhchyan V. (Inactive) Colak A. (Inactive) Goncalves C. (Inactive) Stojanovic P. (Inactive) Urbanski W. (Yellow Cards) Vinagre R. (Muscle Injury)
There will not play in Zagłębie Lubin: Hladun D. (Shoulder Injury)
There are questionable in Zagłębie Lubin: Makowski T. (Inactive)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Legia won 15 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 42:19. (average 2.1:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Legia won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:9. (average 1.8:0.9).

How many head-to-head matches has Legia Warsaw won against Zagłębie Lubin?

Legia Warsaw has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Zagłębie Lubin won against Legia Warsaw?

Zagłębie Lubin has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Legia Warsaw - Zagłębie Lubin were as follows:

19.10.2025 Zagłębie Lubin - Legia Warsaw 3:1

08.12.2024 Zagłębie Lubin - Legia Warsaw 0:3

20.07.2024 Legia Warsaw - Zagłębie Lubin 2:0

25.05.2024 Legia Warsaw - Zagłębie Lubin 2:1

03.12.2023 Zagłębie Lubin - Legia Warsaw 0:3

Latest results of Legia Warsaw

11.04.2026 Legia Warsaw - Górnik Zabrze 1:1 ✺

06.04.2026 Pogoń Szczecin - Legia Warsaw 0:2 ✺

22.03.2026 Legia Warsaw - Raków Częstochowa 1:1 ✺

13.03.2026 Radomiak Radom - Legia Warsaw 1:1 ✺

08.03.2026 Legia Warsaw - Cracovia 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Zagłębie Lubin

11.04.2026 Zagłębie Lubin - Radomiak Radom 0:2 ✺

07.04.2026 Arka Gdynia - Zagłębie Lubin 3:1 ✺

20.03.2026 Motor Lublin - Zagłębie Lubin 1:0 ✺

15.03.2026 Zagłębie Lubin - Lech Poznań 0:1 ✺

07.03.2026 Piast Gliwice - Zagłębie Lubin 1:3 ✺

Polish Ekstraklasa Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Lech Poznan	31	15	10	6	56:41	15	55
2	Gornik Zabrze	30	14	7	9	43:34	9	49
3	GKS Katowice	31	14	5	12	48:42	6	47
4	Jagiellonia	30	12	10	8	48:37	11	46
5	Rakow	30	13	7	10	43:37	6	46
6	Zaglebie	31	12	9	10	43:36	7	45
7	Wisla Plock	31	12	9	10	32:31	1	45
8	Radomiak Radom	31	11	10	10	49:44	5	43
9	Pogon Szczecin	31	12	5	14	43:45	-2	41
10	Piast Gliwice	31	11	7	13	40:41	-1	40
11	Legia	31	9	13	9	35:36	-1	40
12	Korona Kielce	31	10	9	12	38:37	1	39
13	Cracovia	31	9	12	10	35:38	-3	39
14	Motor Lublin	31	9	12	10	39:46	-7	39
15	Lechia Gdansk	31	12	7	12	58:57	1	38
16	Widzew Lodz	31	10	6	15	36:38	-2	36
17	Arka Gdynia	30	9	7	14	31:54	-23	34
18	Termalica B-B	31	7	7	17	37:60	-23	28

      Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ Division 1