Result
2:1
21/03/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Cymru Premier - Championship Group - Round 29
- Referee: Kenny R. (Wal)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 20', Davies K. ↓, Williams E. ↑,
- 36', 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 50', 1 - 0, Hulbert O. ⚽,
- 52', George M. 🟨,
- 63', Smith D. ↓, Owen I. ↑,
- 73', Lewis I. ↓, Owen M. ↑,
- 73', Young B. ↓, Davies A. ↑,
- 83', 2 - 0, Owen I. ⚽,
- 84', Lock J. ↓, Thomas D. ↑,
- 90+4', 2 - 1, Harrison K. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Barry Town United
41.4% | Draw
27.1% | Caernarfon Town
31.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barry Town United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)Caernarfon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barry Town United than the current prediction. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caernarfon Town than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
Barry Town United - Caernarfon Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.22 ↓
(2.45) |
3.38 ↑
(3.35) |
2.92 ↑
(2.57) |
9%
(9.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Barry Town United - Caernarfon Town?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Barry Town will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Barry Town (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barry Town won 1.
- Barry Town is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Caernarfon has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Caernarfon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Barry Town won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 30:37. (average 1.5:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Barry Town won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:15. (average 1.6:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Barry Town United won against Caernarfon Town?
Barry Town United has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Caernarfon Town won against Barry Town United?
Caernarfon Town has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Barry Town United - Caernarfon Town were as follows:
14.02.2026
Caernarfon Town
-
Barry Town United
0:2
11.10.2025
Barry Town United
-
Caernarfon Town
2:2
07.09.2025
Caernarfon Town
-
Barry Town United
3:1
26.04.2025
Caernarfon Town
-
Barry Town United
5:2
14.12.2024
Caernarfon Town
-
Barry Town United
3:2
Latest results of Barry Town United
Latest results of Caernarfon Town
Welsh Cymru Premier Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | TNS ✔ | 29 | 23 | 2 | 4 | 74:24 | 50 | 71 |
| 2 | Connahs Q. ✔ | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 58:34 | 24 | 56 |
| 3 | Colwyn Bay ✔ | 29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 40:34 | 6 | 43 |
| 4 | Barry ✔ | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 40:31 | 9 | 42 |
| 5 | Penybont ✔ | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 39:45 | -6 | 40 |
| 6 | Caernarfon ✔ | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 52:43 | 9 | 39 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Conference League ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
TNS is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (Qualification )
Connahs Q. is Qualified for Conference League (Qualification )
Colwyn Bay is Qualified for Cymru Premier (Conference League ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Barry is Qualified for Cymru Premier (Conference League ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Penybont is Qualified for Cymru Premier (Conference League ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Caernarfon is Qualified for Cymru Premier (Conference League ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
