Barry Town United vs Caernarfon Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
21/03/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Cymru Premier - Championship Group - Round 29
  • Referee: Kenny R. (Wal)

Match Stats

Ball possession
48%52%
Total shots
1010
Shots on target
53
Corner kicks
53
Yellow cards
11
Total shots
1010
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
57
Corner kicks
53

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 20', Davies K. , Williams E. ,
  • 36', 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 50', 1 - 0, Hulbert O. ,
  • 52', George M. 🟨,
  • 63', Smith D. , Owen I. ,
  • 73', Lewis I. , Owen M. ,
  • 73', Young B. , Davies A. ,
  • 83', 2 - 0, Owen I. ,
  • 84', Lock J. , Thomas D. ,
  • 90+4', 2 - 1, Harrison K. ,

Chances of winning


Barry Town United
41.4%
Draw
27.1%
Caernarfon Town
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.2% 27.2% 35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3% 26.4% 34.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Barry Town United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • Caernarfon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barry Town United than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caernarfon Town than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • Barry Town United - Caernarfon Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.22
    (2.45)
    3.38
    (3.35)
    2.92
    (2.57)
    9%
    (9.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Barry Town United - Caernarfon Town?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Barry Town will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Barry Town (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barry Town won 1.
    • Barry Town is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Caernarfon has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Caernarfon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Barry Town won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 30:37. (average 1.5:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Barry Town won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:15. (average 1.6:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Barry Town United - Caernarfon Town were as follows:
    14.02.2026 Caernarfon Town - Barry Town United 0:2
    11.10.2025 Barry Town United - Caernarfon Town 2:2
    07.09.2025 Caernarfon Town - Barry Town United 3:1
    26.04.2025 Caernarfon Town - Barry Town United 5:2
    14.12.2024 Caernarfon Town - Barry Town United 3:2
    Latest results of Barry Town United
    Latest results of Caernarfon Town
    Draw
    Conference League - Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Barry (3)Haverfordwest (7)1 : 2
    2Colwyn Bay (5)Penybont (6)0 : 1

    Final
    1Haverfordwest (7)Penybont (6)0 : 2