Roma vs Cagliari – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

09/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Stadio Olimpico (Rome).

Serie A - Round 24
Referee: Marcenaro M. (Ita)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, ZAP
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Angola	Z Sports 2
Argentina	DAZN, Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN
Bolivia	DAZN
Brazil	Caze TV, Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	DAZN Canada, FuboTV
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Ecuador	DAZN
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
France	DAZN France
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 2
Haiti	Tele Haiti
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	Arena 4
Indonesia	ANTV, Vidio
Iran	IRIB Varzesh
Iraq	Al Rabiaa Sport 2
Israel	ONE Sport 2
Italy	DAZN Italia, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport Calcio
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2, ART Sport 1
Kuwait	Shasha
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 2
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 3
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
Norway	VG+
Paraguay	DAZN
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	Eleven Sports 2, Polsat Sport Premium 2
Portugal	Sport TV3
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Slovakia	Sport 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
South-africa	SuperSport Football
South-america	ESPN 2 South
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Play
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	True ID, True Premier Football 3
Tunisia	Diwan Sport
Turkey	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
United-kingdom	DAZN, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1
Uruguay	DAZN, Disney+
Usa	CBS Sports Golazo, DAZN USA, Paramount+
Venezuela	DAZN, Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	K+, ON Football, ON Plus, TV 360, VTVcab

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.33	0.35
Ball possession
53%	47%
Total shots
15	3
Shots on target
5	1
Big chances
3	1
Corner kicks
7	1
Passes
85% (427/505)	80% (379/474)
Yellow cards
2	4
Expected goals (xG)
1.33	0.35
xG on target (xGOT)
1.82	0.01
Total shots
15	3
Shots on target
5	1
Shots off target
6	2
Blocked shots
4	0
Shots inside the box
15	2
Shots outside the box
0	1
Hit the woodwork
0	1
Big chances
3	1
Corner kicks
7	1
Touches in opposition box
34	6
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
3	0
Free kicks
14	18
Passes
85% (427/505)	80% (379/474)
Long passes
56% (25/45)	25% (14/56)
Passes in final third
70% (125/179)	47% (27/57)
Crosses
28% (7/25)	0% (0/5)
Expected assists (xA)
0.85	0.11
Throw ins
17	14
Fouls
18	14
Tackles
56% (5/9)	71% (10/14)
Duels won
39	44
Clearances
7	26
Interceptions
13	15
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
1	3
xGOT faced
0.01	1.82
Goals prevented
0.01	-0.18

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', Dossena A. 🟨,
25', 1 - 0, Malen D. ⚽, Mancini G. (A),
40', Palestra M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', Pellegrini Lo. ↓, Zaragoza B. ↑,
58', Mancini G. 🟨,
59', Mazzitelli L. ↓, Sulemana I. ↑,
61', Gaetano G. 🟨,
65', 2 - 0, Malen D. ⚽, Celik Z. (A),
73', Kilicsoy S. ↓, Pavoletti L. ↑,
73', Esposito Se. ↓, Idrissi R. ↑,
82', Zaragoza B. 🟨,
84', Cristante B. ↓, El Aynaoui N. ↑,
84', Soule M. ↓, Venturino L. ↑,
84', Malen D. ↓, Arena A. ↑,
87', Pedro J. ↓, Zappa G. ↑,
87', Gaetano G. ↓, Trepy Y. ↑,
89', Idrissi R. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Roma
64%

Draw
23.3%

Cagliari
12.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.6%

21.2%

12.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.5%

23.1%

11.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Cagliari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roma than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Roma, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cagliari than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Roma - Cagliari Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↑ (1.43)	4.12 ↓ (4.5)	7.53 ↓ (7.77)	4.7% (5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Roma - Cagliari?

Users Predictions: 63 users predict this event. Roma will win (votes: 43 - 68.3%). Cagliari will win (votes: 12 - 19%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 12.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Roma: 56.8% – 79.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH -1.5 - Roma (2.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Roma (1.83) (votes: 4 - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

1X2, 1st Half - draw (votes: 0 - 0%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 4 - 66.7%) .

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Roma will win (30 of 33 users predict this - 90.91%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 39 high ROI users predict this event. Roma (votes: 35 - 89.7%). Cagliari (votes: 3 - 7.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 2.6%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: ) and 12).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Roma won 3.
Roma has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Cagliari is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Roma may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Roma is the clear favorite.
There will not play in Roma: Dovbyk A. (Groin Injury) Dybala P. (Knee Injury) El Shaarawy S. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Ferguson E. (Ankle Injury) Hermoso M. (Hip Injury) Kone M. (Hip Injury) Vaz R. (Muscle Injury)
There will not play in Cagliari: Belotti A. (Knee Injury) Borrelli G. (Thigh Injury) Felici M. (Knee Injury) Folorunsho M. (Knee Injury) Mina Y. (Knee Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Roma won 13 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 38:19. (average 1.9:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Roma won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 17:3. (average 1.9:0.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Roma won against Cagliari?

Roma has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Cagliari won against Roma?

Cagliari has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Roma - Cagliari were as follows:

07.12.2025 Cagliari - Roma 1:0

18.08.2024 Cagliari - Roma 0:0

05.02.2024 Roma - Cagliari 4:0

08.10.2023 Cagliari - Roma 1:4

Latest results of Roma

02.02.2026 Udinese - Roma 1:0 ✺

29.01.2026 Panathinaikos - Roma 1:1 ✺

25.01.2026 Roma - Milan 1:1 ✺

22.01.2026 Roma - Stuttgart 2:0 ✺

18.01.2026 Torino - Roma 0:2 ✺

Latest results of Cagliari

31.01.2026 Cagliari - Verona 4:0 ✺

24.01.2026 Fiorentina - Cagliari 1:2 ✺

17.01.2026 Cagliari - Juventus 1:0 ✺

12.01.2026 Genoa - Cagliari 3:0 ✺

08.01.2026 Cremonese - Cagliari 2:2 ✺

Italian Serie A Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Inter	27	22	1	4	64:21	43	67
2	AC Milan	27	16	9	2	43:20	23	57
3	Napoli	27	16	5	6	41:28	13	53
4	AS Roma	27	16	3	8	37:19	18	51
5	Como	27	13	9	5	44:20	24	48
6	Juventus	27	13	8	6	46:28	18	47
7	Atalanta	27	12	9	6	37:24	13	45
8	Bologna	27	11	6	10	36:32	4	39
9	Sassuolo	27	11	5	11	34:36	-2	38
10	Udinese	27	10	5	12	31:39	-8	35
11	Lazio	27	8	10	9	26:27	-1	34
12	Parma	27	8	9	10	20:32	-12	33
13	Cagliari	27	7	9	11	29:36	-7	30
14	Torino	27	8	6	13	27:47	-20	30
15	Genoa	27	6	9	12	32:39	-7	27
16	Fiorentina	27	5	9	13	30:42	-12	24
17	Cremonese	27	5	9	13	21:38	-17	24
18	Lecce	27	6	6	15	18:36	-18	24
19	Pisa	27	1	12	14	20:44	-24	15
20	Verona	27	2	9	16	20:48	-28	15

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ Serie B