Fiorentina vs Cagliari – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

24/01/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Stadio Artemio Franchi (Florence).

Serie A - Round 22
Referee: Guida M. (Ita)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, ZAP
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Angola	Z Sports 1
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3, Nova Sports Prime
Haiti	Tele Haiti
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	Match 4, Net4+
Indonesia	ANTV, Vidio
Iraq	Al Rabiaa Sport 2
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kuwait	Shasha
Macao	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
Malaysia	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 2 Caribbean, ESPN Norte
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 3
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 5
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South-africa	SuperSport Football
South-america	ESPN 2 South
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Tanzania	ZBC 2 Tanzania
Thailand	True ID, True Premier Football 3
Tunisia	Diwan Sport
Turkey	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	CBS Sports Golazo, DAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox, Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	K+, ON Football, ON Plus, TV 360, VTVcab

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
2.15	1.08
Ball possession
70%	30%
Total shots
15	10
Shots on target
3	6
Big chances
3	2
Corner kicks
8	3
Passes
89% (546/615)	75% (203/271)
Yellow cards
2	3
Expected goals (xG)
2.15	1.08
xG on target (xGOT)
1.09	1.49
Total shots
15	10
Shots on target
3	6
Shots off target
6	1
Blocked shots
6	3
Shots inside the box
9	7
Shots outside the box
6	3
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Headed goals
0	1
Big chances
3	2
Corner kicks
8	3
Touches in opposition box
34	10
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	1
Free kicks
17	11
Passes
89% (546/615)	75% (203/271)
Long passes
55% (18/33)	41% (23/56)
Passes in final third
79% (167/212)	60% (35/58)
Crosses
19% (7/37)	43% (3/7)
Expected assists (xA)
2.08	0.32
Throw ins
22	11
Fouls
11	17
Tackles
40% (4/10)	79% (11/14)
Duels won
44	38
Clearances
7	41
Interceptions
7	17
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
4	2
xGOT faced
1.49	1.09
Goals prevented
-0.51	0.09

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
31', 0 - 1, Kilicsoy S. ⚽, Palestra M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Mandragora R. ↓, Fabbian G. ↑,
47', 0 - 2, Palestra M. ⚽, Esposito Se. (A),
56', Pongracic M. 🟨,
59', Ndour C. ↓, Brescianini M. ↑,
59', Gosens R. ↓, Harrison J. ↑,
63', Caprile E. 🟨,
64', Esposito Se. ↓, Sulemana I. ↑,
71', Kilicsoy S. ↓, Borrelli G. ↑,
74', 1 - 2, Brescianini M. ⚽, Dodo (A),
80', Obert A. ↓, Idrissi R. ↑,
80', Mazzitelli L. ↓, Prati M. ↑,
81', Palestra M. ↓, Zappa G. ↑,
83', Solomon M. ↓, Fortini N. ↑,
85', Mina Y. 🟨,
87', Pedro J. 🟨,
90+1', Comuzzo P. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Fiorentina
52.7%

Draw
27.1%

Cagliari
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.6%

25%

18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.2%

24.3%

17.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fiorentina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Cagliari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fiorentina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cagliari than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Fiorentina - Cagliari Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.68)	3.5 ↓ (3.8)	4.75 ↓ (5.18)	4.8% (5.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Fiorentina - Cagliari?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

BTTS - yes (votes: 9 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

AH -0.5 - Cagliari (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Fiorentina (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Fiorentina will win (30 of 36 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.15% – 95.51%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Fiorentina will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Fiorentina (votes: 10 - 83.3%). Cagliari (votes: 2 - 16.7%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 17 and 15)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fiorentina won 4.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
In this match, Fiorentina is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Fiorentina: Lamptey T. (Knee Injury) Parisi F. (Thigh Injury)
There will not play in Cagliari: Belotti A. (Knee Injury) Deiola A. (Thigh Injury) Di Pardo A. (Calf Injury) Felici M. (Knee Injury) Folorunsho M. (Knee Injury) Liteta J. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Fiorentina: Kean M. (Ankle Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Fiorentina won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 31:21. (average 1.6:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Fiorentina won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:5. (average 1.2:0.6).

How many head-to-head matches has Fiorentina won against Cagliari?

Fiorentina has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Cagliari won against Fiorentina?

Cagliari has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Fiorentina - Cagliari were as follows:

24.08.2025 Cagliari - Fiorentina 1:1

23.04.2025 Cagliari - Fiorentina 1:2

08.12.2024 Fiorentina - Cagliari 1:0

23.05.2024 Cagliari - Fiorentina 2:3

02.10.2023 Fiorentina - Cagliari 3:0

Latest results of Fiorentina

18.01.2026 Bologna - Fiorentina 1:2 ✺

11.01.2026 Fiorentina - Milan 1:1 ✺

07.01.2026 Lazio - Fiorentina 2:2 ✺

04.01.2026 Fiorentina - Cremonese 1:0 ✺

27.12.2025 Parma - Fiorentina 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Cagliari

17.01.2026 Cagliari - Juventus 1:0 ✺

12.01.2026 Genoa - Cagliari 3:0 ✺

08.01.2026 Cremonese - Cagliari 2:2 ✺

02.01.2026 Cagliari - Milan 0:1 ✺

27.12.2025 Torino - Cagliari 1:2 ✺

Italian Serie A Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Inter ✔	34	25	4	5	80:31	49	79
2	Napoli	35	21	7	7	52:33	19	70
3	AC Milan	34	19	10	5	48:27	21	67
4	Juventus	34	18	10	6	57:29	28	64
5	Como	35	17	11	7	59:28	31	62
6	AS Roma	34	19	4	11	48:29	19	61
7	Atalanta	35	14	13	8	47:32	15	55
8	Lazio	34	12	12	10	37:33	4	48
9	Bologna	34	14	6	14	42:41	1	48
10	Udinese	35	13	8	14	43:46	-3	47
11	Sassuolo	34	13	7	14	41:44	-3	46
12	Parma	34	10	12	12	25:40	-15	42
13	Torino	35	11	8	16	39:58	-19	41
14	Genoa	35	10	10	15	40:48	-8	40
15	Fiorentina	34	8	13	13	38:45	-7	37
16	Cagliari	34	9	9	16	36:49	-13	36
17	Lecce	35	8	8	19	24:47	-23	32
18	Cremonese	34	6	10	18	26:51	-25	28
19	Verona ✔	34	3	10	21	23:56	-33	19
20	Pisa ✔	35	2	12	21	25:63	-38	18

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ Serie B

Clinched Spots for Teams

Inter is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
Verona is Relegated to Serie B
Pisa is Relegated to Serie B