Genoa vs Lazio – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie A Genoa - Lazio
29/09/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Genoa
31.1%
Draw
31.2%
Lazio
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.8% 28.9% 43.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.7% 28.8% 43.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Genoa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
  • Lazio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lazio might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Genoa than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lazio than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lazio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Genoa - Lazio Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.09
    (3.42)
    3.12
    (3.3)
    2.57
    (2.2)
    3.3%
    (5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Genoa - Lazio?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Genoa will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Lazio will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lazio: 9.6%70.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Genoa won 1.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Genoa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Genoa won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 25:45. (average 1.3:2.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Genoa won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:18. (average 1.4:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Genoa - Lazio were as follows:
    23.04.2025 Genoa - Lazio 0:2
    27.10.2024 Lazio - Genoa 3:0
    19.04.2024 Genoa - Lazio 0:1
    05.12.2023 Lazio - Genoa 1:0
    27.08.2023 Lazio - Genoa 0:1
    Latest results of Genoa
    25.09.2025 Genoa - Empoli 3:1
    20.09.2025 Bologna - Genoa 2:1
    15.09.2025 Como - Genoa 1:1
    31.08.2025 Genoa - Juventus 0:1
    23.08.2025 Genoa - Lecce 0:0
    Latest results of Lazio
    21.09.2025 Lazio - Roma 0:1
    14.09.2025 Sassuolo - Lazio 1:0
    31.08.2025 Lazio - Verona 4:0
    24.08.2025 Como - Lazio 2:0
    16.08.2025 Lazio - Atromitos Athens 2:0
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Napoli44009:3612
    2Juventus43108:4410
    3AC Milan43017:259
    4AS Roma43013:129
    5Cremonese52306:429
    6Atalanta42209:368
    7Como52216:428
    8Cagliari42115:327
    9Udinese42114:5-17
    10Inter420211:746
    11Bologna42023:306
    12Torino41121:8-74
    13Lazio41034:403
    14Sassuolo41034:7-33
    15Verona40312:6-43
    16Genoa40222:4-22
    17Fiorentina40223:6-32
    18Parma40221:5-42
    19Pisa40133:6-31
    20Lecce40132:8-61

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
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          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B