Fiorentina vs Lazio – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
13/04/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A - Round 32
  • Referee: Fabbri M. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 3, New World Sport 2, SuperSport Football
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiaSTARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
austriaAustriaDAZN 2, DAZN
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Xsports
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada, FuboTV
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
czech-republicCzech-republicOneplay, Sport 1
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play, TV2 Sport
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Max
franceFranceDAZN France
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2
germanyGermanyDAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 1
haitiHaitiTele Haiti
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
hungaryHungaryArena 4
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
italyItaly214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 3, ART Sport 1
kuwaitKuwaitShasha
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 3
mexicoMexicoDisney+
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
norwayNorwayVG+
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
polandPolandEleven Sports 1
portugalPortugalSport TV2
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaSTC TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3
slovakiaSlovakiaSport 1
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 3
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenTV4 Play
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
thailandThailandTrue ID, True Premier Football 3
tunisiaTunisiaDiwan Sport
turkeyTurkeyS Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaDAZN USA, Paramount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamTV 360, VTVcab
worldWorldStarzplay Sports app

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.501.42
Ball possession
34%66%
Total shots
813
Shots on target
26
Big chances
02
Corner kicks
56
Passes
83% (289/348)92% (620/674)
Yellow cards
32
Expected goals (xG)
0.501.42
xG on target (xGOT)
0.821.80
Total shots
813
Shots on target
26
Shots off target
43
Blocked shots
24
Shots inside the box
48
Shots outside the box
45
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
10
Big chances
02
Corner kicks
56
Touches in opposition box
1324
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free kicks
1010
Passes
83% (289/348)92% (620/674)
Long passes
55% (29/53)65% (15/23)
Passes in final third
69% (47/68)81% (134/165)
Crosses
40% (6/15)27% (6/22)
Expected assists (xA)
1.230.99
Throw ins
219
Fouls
1010
Tackles
54% (7/13)90% (9/10)
Duels won
4334
Clearances
2517
Interceptions
47
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
61
xGOT faced
1.800.82
Goals prevented
1.80-0.18

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 28', 1 - 0, Gosens R. , Harrison J. (A),
  • 31', Rugani D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Basic T. , Dele-Bashiru F. ,
  • 46', Zaccagni M. , Noslin T. ,
  • 63', Noslin T. 🟨,
  • 67', Cancellieri M. , Isaksen G. ,
  • 67', Dia B. , Pedro ,
  • 71', Rugani D. , Pongracic M. ,
  • 79', Taylor K. , Ratkov P. ,
  • 80', Gosens R. , Balbo L. ,
  • 80', Dodo 🟨,
  • 84', Fazzini J. , Solomon M. ,
  • 90+1', Piccoli R. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Pedro 🟨,

Chances of winning


Fiorentina
39.7%
Draw
30.6%
Lazio
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.7% 31.7% 26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9% 30.8% 26%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fiorentina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • Lazio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lazio than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
  • Fiorentina - Lazio Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.41
    (2.28)
    3.13
    (3)
    3.22
    (3.56)
    4.4%
    (5.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Fiorentina - Lazio?
  • Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Fiorentina will win (votes: 9 - 27.3%). Lazio will win (votes: 6 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 18 - 54.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 37.5%71.5%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Fiorentina (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH 0 - Lazio (2.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.25 - Fiorentina (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Fiorentina (votes: 3 - 50%). Lazio (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fiorentina won 3.
    • At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
    • Lazio may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Fiorentina has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, Lazio has had a series of home games.
    • Fiorentina could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Fiorentina won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 23:34. (average 1.2:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Fiorentina won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:18. (average 1.6:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fiorentina - Lazio were as follows:
    07.01.2026 Lazio - Fiorentina 2:2
    26.01.2025 Lazio - Fiorentina 1:2
    22.09.2024 Fiorentina - Lazio 2:1
    26.02.2024 Fiorentina - Lazio 2:1
    30.10.2023 Lazio - Fiorentina 1:0
    Latest results of Fiorentina
    04.04.2026 Verona - Fiorentina 0:1
    22.03.2026 Fiorentina - Inter Milan 1:1
    16.03.2026 Cremonese - Fiorentina 1:4
    Latest results of Lazio
    04.04.2026 Lazio - Parma 1:1
    22.03.2026 Bologna - Lazio 0:2
    15.03.2026 Lazio - Milan 1:0
    09.03.2026 Lazio - Sassuolo 2:1
    04.03.2026 Lazio - Atalanta 2:2
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Inter ✔ 34254580:314979
    2Napoli34216752:331969
    3AC Milan341910548:272167
    4Juventus341810657:292864
    5Como341710759:283161
    6AS Roma341941148:291961
    7Atalanta341412847:321554
    8Lazio3412121037:33448
    9Bologna341461442:41148
    10Sassuolo341371441:44-346
    11Udinese341281441:46-544
    12Parma3410121225:40-1542
    13Torino341181539:56-1741
    14Genoa341091540:48-839
    15Fiorentina348131338:45-737
    16Cagliari34991636:49-1336
    17Lecce34781922:46-2429
    18Cremonese346101826:51-2528
    19Verona343102123:56-3319
    20Pisa342122024:61-3718

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Inter is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )