Barrow vs Milton Keynes Dons – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

09/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Holker Street (Barrow in Furness).

League Two - Round 2
Referee: Barlow M. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.35	0.95
Ball Possession
46%	54%
Total shots
7	11
Shots on target
0	4
Big Chances
0	2
Corner Kicks
1	5
Passes
64% (196/308)	70% (246/352)
Yellow Cards
3	2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.35	0.95
xG on target (xGOT)
0.00	1.34
Total shots
7	11
Shots on target
0	4
Shots off target
5	4
Blocked Shots
2	3
Shots inside the Box
3	7
Shots outside the Box
3	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
0	2
Corner Kicks
1	5
Touches in opposition box
16	19
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
3	2
Free Kicks
10	18
Passes
64% (196/308)	70% (246/352)
Long passes
36% (27/75)	29% (23/79)
Passes in final third
59% (70/119)	52% (68/130)
Crosses
6% (1/16)	8% (2/25)
Expected assists (xA)
0.51	0.56
Throw-ins
32	19
Fouls
19	12
Tackles
70% (7/10)	54% (13/24)
Duels won
70	76
Clearances
42	43
Interceptions
7	13
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	0
xGOT faced
1.34	0.00
Goals prevented
-0.66	0.00

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Mendez-Laing N. 🟨,
29', Thompson-Sommers K. ↓, Collar W. ↑,
35', Jackson B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
56', Jones G. 🟨,
58', Barkhuizen T. 🟨,
59', Hepburn-Murphy R. ↓, Nemane A. ↑,
62', Harper R. ↓, Fletcher I. ↑,
63', Fletcher I. 🟨,
73', 0 - 1, Gilbey A. ⚽,
77', Newby E. ↓, Walker T. ↑,
78', Mendez-Laing N. ↓, Ekpiteta M. ↑,
79', Kelly L. ↓, Lemonheigh-Evans C. ↑,
81', 0 - 2, Paterson C. ⚽,
87', Smith S. ↓, Earing J. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Barrow
34.6%

Draw
30%

Milton Keynes Dons
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

28.5%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2%

27.5%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barrow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Barrow's form might have worsened.

Milton Keynes Dons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barrow than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barrow, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Barrow - Milton Keynes Dons Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↑ (2.36)	3.12 ↓ (3.29)	2.64 ↓ (2.94)	7% (6.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Barrow - Milton Keynes Dons?

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Barrow will win (votes: 2 - 25%). MK Dons will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for MK Dons: 4% – 71%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. MK Dons (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Recent performances by Barrow have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
MK Dons has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Barrow: Adu Poku M. (Inactive)
There will not play in MK Dons: Crowley D. (Inactive) Hogan S. (Injury) Maguire L. (Inactive) Sherring S. (Inactive) Thompson N. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Barrow: Williams M. (Inactive)
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Barrow won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 2:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Barrow won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Barrow won against Milton Keynes Dons?

Barrow has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Milton Keynes Dons won against Barrow?

Milton Keynes Dons has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Barrow - Milton Keynes Dons were as follows:

05.04.2025 Milton Keynes Dons - Barrow 0:3

11.02.2025 Barrow - Milton Keynes Dons 2:1

03.02.2024 Barrow - Milton Keynes Dons 1:0

14.10.2023 Milton Keynes Dons - Barrow 2:2

Latest results of Barrow

02.08.2025 Chesterfield - Barrow 1:0 ✺

26.07.2025 Barrow - Rochdale 1:0 ✺

19.07.2025 Tamworth - Barrow 0:2 ✺

15.07.2025 Barrow - Bolton Wanderers 0:1 ✺

12.07.2025 Lancaster City - Barrow 0:2 ✺

Latest results of Milton Keynes Dons

02.08.2025 Milton Keynes Dons - Oldham Athletic 0:0 ✺

26.07.2025 Stevenage Borough - Milton Keynes Dons 2:1 ✺

22.07.2025 Milton Keynes Dons - Peterborough United 1:2 ✺

19.07.2025 Wealdstone - Milton Keynes Dons 2:0 ✺

19.07.2025 Doncaster Rovers - Milton Keynes Dons 3:1 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bromley	35	19	12	4	58:35	23	69
2	Cambridge Utd	34	18	10	6	49:27	22	64
3	MK Dons	34	17	11	6	63:34	29	62
4	Swindon	35	19	5	11	57:41	16	62
5	Notts Co	34	18	7	9	52:33	19	61
6	Chesterfield	35	14	14	7	55:44	11	56
7	Crewe	35	16	8	11	52:41	11	56
8	Grimsby	34	15	10	9	49:38	11	55
9	Salford	34	17	4	13	47:46	1	55
10	Barnet	35	14	11	10	44:37	7	53
11	Walsall	34	15	8	11	42:37	5	53
12	Colchester	34	13	10	11	48:38	10	49
13	Fleetwood	34	13	9	12	44:42	2	48
14	Oldham	33	11	13	9	36:30	6	46
15	Accrington	34	13	7	14	37:36	1	46
16	Gillingham	33	11	11	11	41:41	0	44
17	Shrewsbury	35	10	8	17	34:54	-20	38
18	Cheltenham	33	10	6	17	34:55	-21	36
19	Tranmere	35	9	8	18	47:62	-15	35
20	Bristol Rovers	34	9	4	21	33:57	-24	31
21	Crawley	35	6	10	19	33:56	-23	28
22	Newport	35	7	7	21	35:61	-26	28
23	Barrow	33	7	6	20	33:51	-18	27
24	Harrogate	35	6	9	20	25:52	-27	27

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League