Result
1:5
10/03/2026 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 2.61 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 57% (189/332) | 51% (144/285) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 2.61 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.51 | 3.50 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 57% (189/332) | 51% (144/285) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (33/92) | 25% (24/95) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 43% (48/111) | 47% (54/114) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (3/17) | 15% (2/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 0.52 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 31 | 35 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (15/21) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 69 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 35 | 38 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.50 | 1.51 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.50 | 0.51 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 3)
- 15', 0 - 1, Gilbey A. ⚽, Collins A. (A),
- 23', Crowley D. 🟨,
- 26', 0 - 2, Jones G. ⚽, Wiles B. (A),
- 33', 0 - 3, Ekpiteta M. ⚽, Kelly L. (A),
- 44', Hale R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Crowley D. ↓, Hogan S. ↑,
- 51', 0 - 4, Wiles B. ⚽,
- 55', Hale R. ↓, Vokes S. ↑,
- 55', Hutton R. ↓, Akomeah T. ↑,
- 60', Rowe A. 🟨,
- 62', Collins A. ↓, Lemonheigh-Evans C. ↑,
- 69', Clark M. ↓, Khumbeni N. ↑,
- 69', Williams E. ↓, Cirino L. ↑,
- 76', Coleman E. ↓, Luxton M. ↑,
- 77', 1 - 4, Palmer-Houlden S. ⚽,
- 79', Offord L. ↓, Tomlinson J. ↑,
- 87', 1 - 5, Kelly L. ⚽, Lemonheigh-Evans C. (A),
- 90', Wiles B. ↓, Leko J. ↑,
- 90', Jones G. ↓, Nemane A. ↑,
- 90+5', Cirino L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Gillingham
26.9% | Draw
28.5% | Milton Keynes Dons
44.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gillingham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)Milton Keynes Dons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
Gillingham - Milton Keynes Dons Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.44 ↑
(2.95) |
3.27 ↑
(3.15) |
2.11 ↓
(2.3) |
7.2%
(9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Gillingham - Milton Keynes Dons?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Gillingham (votes: 1 - 50%). MK Dons (votes: 1 - 50%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Milton Keynes Dons will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Postponed due to FA Cup.
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 16 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gillingham won 3.
- Gillingham has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, MK Dons has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- MK Dons may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Gillingham: Khumbeni N.
(Inactive)
McCleary G.
(Inactive)
Williams E.
(Shoulder Injury)
Wyllie M.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in MK Dons: Collar W.
(Inactive)
Ekpiteta M.
(Inactive)
Gilbey A.
(Inactive)
Maguire L.
(Inactive)
Mendez-Laing N.
(Inactive)
Tomlinson J.
(Inactive)
Wilson K.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Gillingham won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 28:29. (average 1.6:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gillingham won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:14. (average 2.1:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Gillingham won against Milton Keynes Dons?
Gillingham has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Milton Keynes Dons won against Gillingham?
Milton Keynes Dons has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gillingham - Milton Keynes Dons were as follows:
04.10.2025
Milton Keynes Dons
-
Gillingham
3:2
12.04.2025
Gillingham
-
Milton Keynes Dons
1:0
14.12.2024
Milton Keynes Dons
-
Gillingham
0:1
27.01.2024
Milton Keynes Dons
-
Gillingham
2:1
07.10.2023
Gillingham
-
Milton Keynes Dons
2:1
Latest results of Gillingham
Latest results of Milton Keynes Dons
English League Two Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley ✔ | 46 | 24 | 15 | 7 | 71:46 | 25 | 87 |
| 2 | MK Dons ✔ | 46 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 86:45 | 41 | 86 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 46 | 22 | 16 | 8 | 66:33 | 33 | 82 |
| 4 | Salford | 46 | 25 | 6 | 15 | 61:51 | 10 | 81 |
| 5 | Notts Co | 46 | 24 | 8 | 14 | 74:52 | 22 | 80 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 46 | 21 | 16 | 9 | 71:56 | 15 | 79 |
| 7 | Grimsby | 46 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 74:50 | 24 | 78 |
| 8 | Barnet | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 70:53 | 17 | 76 |
| 9 | Swindon | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 70:59 | 11 | 75 |
| 10 | Oldham | 46 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 60:44 | 16 | 68 |
| 11 | Crewe | 46 | 19 | 10 | 17 | 64:58 | 6 | 67 |
| 12 | Colchester | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 62:49 | 13 | 66 |
| 13 | Walsall | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 56:56 | 0 | 65 |
| 14 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 56:65 | -9 | 62 |
| 15 | Fleetwood | 46 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 57:58 | -1 | 61 |
| 16 | Accrington | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47:58 | -11 | 53 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 53:72 | -19 | 53 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 53:79 | -26 | 52 |
| 19 | Shrewsbury | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 42:69 | -27 | 49 |
| 20 | Newport | 46 | 12 | 7 | 27 | 48:77 | -29 | 43 |
| 21 | Tranmere | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 54:79 | -25 | 41 |
| 22 | Crawley | 46 | 8 | 16 | 22 | 44:68 | -24 | 40 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 46 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 39:68 | -29 | 39 |
| 24 | Barrow | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 45:78 | -33 | 36 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
Clinched Spots for Teams
Bromley is Qualified for League One
MK Dons is Qualified for League One
