Result
1:1
04/11/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 13
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Egypt | Kora Plus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.42 | 0.24 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (281/363) | 58% (142/244) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.42 | 0.24 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 0.25 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (281/363) | 58% (142/244) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (26/56) | 38% (26/69) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (70/101) | 43% (32/74) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (4/23) | 29% (2/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 0.19 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 30 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 88% (7/8) | 79% (11/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 34 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.25 | 0.88 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.75 | -0.12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 24', Naguib S. 🟨,
- 25', 0 - 1, Yehia A. ⚽, Amer A. (A),
- 45+2', 1 - 1, Naguib S. ⚽, Ochaya J. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Fawzi A. 🟨,
- 47', Fekri S. 🟨,
- 60', Fawzi A. ↓, Badji P. ↑,
- 69', Salim M. ↓, Sobhi M. ↑,
- 71', Ashraf H. ↓, Juhayna ↑,
- 71', Fekri S. ↓, Mohamed K. ↑,
- 72', Dabash M. 🟨,
- 81', Naguib S. ↓, El Tayeeb A. ↑,
- 81', El Wahsh O. ↓, Antar M. ↑,
- 89', Ojera J. ↓, Onyemaechi K. ↑,
- 90+2', Yehia A. ↓, Mostafa M. ↑,
- 90+2', El Sisi A. ↓, Khaled A. ↑,
Chances of winning
El Mokawloon El Arab
30.7% | Draw
35% | Smouha
34.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
El Mokawloon El Arab has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)Smouha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Mokawloon El Arab than the current prediction. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Smouha than the current prediction. (+1%)
El Mokawloon El Arab - Smouha Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.04 ↓
(3.16) |
2.66 ↑
(2.62) |
2.72 ↑
(2.64) |
7.2%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for El Mokawloon El Arab - Smouha?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. El Mokawloon will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Smouha will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 63.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.2% – 92%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Smouha (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Smouha (1.28) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - El Mokawloon (2.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. El Mokawloon (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Smouha (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: ) and 12 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, El Mokawloon won 0.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Smouha may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, El Mokawloon won 4 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 22:28. (average 1.1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, El Mokawloon won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 0.9:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has El Mokawloon El Arab won against Smouha?
El Mokawloon El Arab has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Smouha won against El Mokawloon El Arab?
Smouha has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between El Mokawloon El Arab - Smouha were as follows:
28.04.2024
El Mokawloon El Arab
-
Smouha
0:1
05.10.2023
Smouha
-
El Mokawloon El Arab
2:1
11.03.2023
El Mokawloon El Arab
-
Smouha
0:1
11.12.2022
Smouha
-
El Mokawloon El Arab
0:0
Latest results of El Mokawloon El Arab
Egyptian Premier League Table
Relegation Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 8 | Wadi Degla | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 34 |
| 9 | ZED | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 33 |
| 10 | National Bank Egypt | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 30 |
| 11 | Petrojet | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 30 |
| 12 | El Gouna | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 30 |
| 13 | El Gaish | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 26 |
| 14 | Modern Sport | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 26 |
| 15 | Ghazl El Mahallah | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 24 |
| 16 | Arab Contractors | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 23 |
| 17 | Al Ittihad | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 23 |
| 18 | Kahrabaa Ismailia | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 19 |
| 19 | Haras El Hodood | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 19 |
| 20 | Pharco | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 17 |
| 21 | El Ismaily | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 13 |
Relegation ~ Division 2 A
