Result
1:0
22/10/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Apertura - Round 14
- Referee: Quintero M. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, Fox Sports |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 2.37 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 26% | 74% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (161/235) | 91% (558/614) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 2.37 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 0.75 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 12 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 17 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 11 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 6 | 51 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (161/235) | 91% (558/614) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 32% (22/68) | 76% (31/41) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 48% (33/69) | 85% (191/226) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 0% (0/3) | 26% (12/47) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.14 | 1.84 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (7/12) | 73% (11/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 43 | 9 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.75 | 1.08 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.75 | 0.08 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 2', 1 - 0, Avila A. ⚽,
- 44', Ledezma R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Avila A. ↓, Jhojan Julio ↑,
- 46', Govea O. ↓, Alvarado R. ↑,
- 46', Gonzalez A. ↓, Wilke T. ↑,
- 59', Alvarez E. ↓, Camberos H. ↑,
- 59', Castillo J. ↓, Gutierrez E. ↑,
- 63', Gonzalez B. ↓, Cowell C. ↑,
- 69', Rodriguez L. ↓, Coronel M. ↑,
- 69', Gomez J. ↓, Mendoza Martin O. I. ↑,
- 72', Zapata A. 🟨,
- 78', Perlaza J. ↓, Villanueva C. ↑,
- 81', Allison G. 🟨,
- 90+7', Ledezma R. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Querétaro
19.8% | Draw
26.3% | Chivas Guadalajara
54% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Querétaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)Chivas Guadalajara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Querétaro than the current prediction. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chivas Guadalajara than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Querétaro - Chivas Guadalajara Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.69 ↑
(4.23) |
3.6
(3.6) |
1.75 ↓
(1.79) |
6.3%
(7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Querétaro - Chivas Guadalajara?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Guadalajara (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Chivas Guadalajara will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Querétaro won 0.
- Querétaro has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Guadalajara is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- In this match, Guadalajara is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Guadalajara: Mozo A.
(Knee Injury)
Sepulveda L.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Querétaro: Gruezo E.
(Knee Injury)
Lertora F.
(Calf Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Querétaro won 2 matches, drew 12 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 16:23. (average 0.8:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Querétaro won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 0.8:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Querétaro won against Chivas Guadalajara?
Querétaro has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chivas Guadalajara won against Querétaro?
Chivas Guadalajara has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Querétaro - Chivas Guadalajara were as follows:
01.02.2025
Chivas Guadalajara
-
Querétaro
1:1
16.07.2024
Querétaro
-
Chivas Guadalajara
0:2
20.04.2024
Chivas Guadalajara
-
Querétaro
2:0
31.10.2023
Querétaro
-
Chivas Guadalajara
1:2
05.02.2023
Chivas Guadalajara
-
Querétaro
1:1
Latest results of Querétaro
Latest results of Chivas Guadalajara
Mexican Liga MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Toluca ✔ | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 39:16 | 23 | 32 |
| 2 | Tigres UANL ✔ | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 31:14 | 17 | 32 |
| 3 | Cruz Azul ✔ | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 27:17 | 10 | 32 |
| 4 | Club America ✔ | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 31:16 | 15 | 31 |
| 5 | Monterrey ✔ | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 30:24 | 6 | 30 |
| 6 | Guadalajara Chivas | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 24:20 | 4 | 23 |
| 7 | Club Tijuana | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 26:19 | 7 | 21 |
| 8 | Pachuca | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 19:17 | 2 | 21 |
| 9 | Juarez | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 24:25 | -1 | 20 |
| 10 | Atl. San Luis | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 20:20 | 0 | 16 |
| 11 | Atlas | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 24:33 | -9 | 16 |
| 12 | UNAM Pumas | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 17:22 | -5 | 15 |
| 13 | Santos Laguna | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 17:23 | -6 | 14 |
| 14 | Queretaro | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 15:25 | -10 | 14 |
| 15 | Mazatlan FC | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 19:27 | -8 | 13 |
| 16 | Club Leon | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 13:27 | -14 | 13 |
| 17 | Necaxa | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 15:27 | -12 | 10 |
| 18 | Puebla | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 19:38 | -19 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Toluca is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Tigres UANL is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Cruz Azul is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Club America is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Monterrey is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
