Result
1:1
17/04/2026 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Clausura - Round 15
- Referee: Pacheco Larios G. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Azteca 7, Azteca Deportes, FOX One, FOX Sports, Tubi TV |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Usa | TUDN App, TUDN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.61 | 1.93 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 24 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (382/447) | 77% (227/295) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.61 | 1.93 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 0.96 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 24 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 33 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (382/447) | 77% (227/295) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 66% (37/56) | 46% (16/35) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (77/112) | 68% (78/114) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (6/23) | 24% (8/33) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 1.24 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 56% (14/25) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.96 | 0.92 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.04 | -0.08 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 24', Zaleta M. 🟨,
- 24', Abascia L. 🟨,
- 30', 1 - 0, Rubio B. (Penalty Awarded),
- 41', 1 - 1, Avila A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Godinez S. ↓, Lopez G. ↑,
- 55', Zaleta M. ↓, Lainez M. ↑,
- 55', Rubio B. ↓, Fabio Gomes ↑,
- 65', Unjanque J. ↓, Rodriguez L. ↑,
- 78', Barcenas Y. ↓, Esquivel J. ↑,
- 78', Ovalle J. ↓, Moreno Villegas O. F. ↑,
- 82', Almada F. 🟨,
- 88', Duarte B. ↓, Robles J. ↑,
- 88', Venegas F. ↓, Cazares J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Mazatlan
32.4% | Draw
27.5% | Querétaro
40.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mazatlan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mazatlan's form might have worsened.Querétaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Querétaro's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mazatlan than the current prediction. (+10.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mazatlan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Querétaro than the current prediction. (-12.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Querétaro, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Mazatlan - Querétaro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.9 ↑
(2.14) |
3.42 ↑
(3.1) |
2.35 ↓
(3.23) |
6.2%
(9.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Mazatlan - Querétaro?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Mazatlan will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Querétaro will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mazatlan: 13.8% – 69.6%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mazatlan won 2.
- Recent form of Mazatlan has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Querétaro is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Mazatlan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Querétaro: Gruezo E.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Mazatlan: Castro C.
(Injury)
Sierra J.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Querétaro: Jhojan Julio
(Injury)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Mazatlan won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.4:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mazatlan won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:4. (average 2.2:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Mazatlan won against Querétaro?
Mazatlan has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Querétaro won against Mazatlan?
Querétaro has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mazatlan - Querétaro were as follows:
02.11.2025
Querétaro
-
Mazatlan
1:0
14.03.2025
Querétaro
-
Mazatlan
1:0
04.10.2024
Mazatlan
-
Querétaro
2:2
12.04.2024
Querétaro
-
Mazatlan
0:2
27.10.2023
Mazatlan
-
Querétaro
3:0
Latest results of Mazatlan
Latest results of Querétaro
Mexican Liga MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | UNAM Pumas | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 34:17 | 17 | 36 |
| 2 | Guadalajara Chivas | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 33:17 | 16 | 36 |
| 3 | Cruz Azul | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 31:18 | 13 | 33 |
| 4 | Pachuca | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 25:19 | 6 | 31 |
| 5 | Toluca | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 28:16 | 12 | 30 |
| 6 | Atlas | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 16:18 | -2 | 26 |
| 7 | Tigres UANL | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 28:18 | 10 | 25 |
| 8 | Club America | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 20:17 | 3 | 25 |
| 9 | Club Tijuana | 17 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 19:17 | 2 | 23 |
| 10 | Club Leon | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 22:32 | -10 | 22 |
| 11 | Queretaro | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 17:21 | -4 | 20 |
| 12 | Juarez | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 26:32 | -6 | 19 |
| 13 | Monterrey | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 22:24 | -2 | 18 |
| 14 | Atl. San Luis | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 24:27 | -3 | 18 |
| 15 | Necaxa | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 19:25 | -6 | 18 |
| 16 | Mazatlan FC | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 22:37 | -15 | 15 |
| 17 | Puebla | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 13:26 | -13 | 13 |
| 18 | Santos Laguna | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 20:38 | -18 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
