Loudoun United vs Birmingham Legion – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

04/10/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Segra Field (Leesburg, VA).

USL Championship
Referee: Carvajal E. (Usa)
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Malaysia	Astro Football, Astro Go
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.90	1.08
Ball Possession
65%	35%
Total shots
19	6
Shots on target
7	2
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
13	0
Passes
84% (460/550)	70% (212/302)
Yellow Cards
4	3
Red Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
0.90	1.08
xG on target (xGOT)
0.43	1.01
Total shots
19	6
Shots on target
7	2
Shots off target
7	3
Blocked Shots
5	1
Shots inside the Box
10	4
Shots outside the Box
9	2
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
13	0
Touches in opposition box
39	10
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	2
Free Kicks
16	17
Passes
84% (460/550)	70% (212/302)
Long passes
57% (31/54)	37% (26/70)
Passes in final third
68% (113/167)	51% (38/75)
Crosses
19% (5/26)	0% (0/2)
Expected assists (xA)
1.02	0.30
Throw-ins
16	21
Fouls
17	16
Tackles
80% (16/20)	65% (13/20)
Duels won
56	57
Clearances
15	43
Interceptions
12	10
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	6
xGOT faced
1.01	0.43
Goals prevented
0.01	0.43

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', Leerman Y. ↓, Dambrot R. ↑,
25', Mines B. ↓, Glasgow O. ↑,
28', Dambrot R. 🟨,
29', 0 - 1, Paterson AJ (Pen),
32', McIllhatton S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Pasher T. ↓, McCartney D. ↑,
62', Aboukoura A. ↓, Ryan Z. ↑,
62', Ordonez A. ↓, Santos P. ↑,
62', Dambrot R. ↓, Akinyode B. ↑,
68', Kavita P. 🟨,
69', Awuah K. 🟨,
69', Skundrich D. 🟨,
73', McIllhatton S. ↓, Laszo E. ↑,
76', Akinyode B. 🟨,
77', Travis J. ↓, Preston T. ↑,
85', Damus R. 🟨,
90+5', Ryan Z. 🟥,

Official Live

Chances of winning

Loudoun United
56.1%

Draw
21.2%

Birmingham Legion
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.6%

24.6%

24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53%

23.5%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Loudoun United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Loudoun United's performance.

Birmingham Legion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Loudoun United than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham Legion than the current prediction. (+1%)

Loudoun United - Birmingham Legion Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.82)	4.36 ↑ (3.74)	4.08 ↑ (3.71)	8% (8.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Loudoun United - Birmingham Legion?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Birmingham (2.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Loudoun United will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Birmingham (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Loudoun won 3.
In recent matches, Loudoun has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Birmingham's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Birmingham may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Loudoun might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Loudoun won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:16. (average 1.9:2.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Loudoun won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 2.7:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Loudoun United won against Birmingham Legion?

Loudoun United has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Birmingham Legion won against Loudoun United?

Birmingham Legion has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Loudoun United - Birmingham Legion were as follows:

08.03.2025 Birmingham Legion - Loudoun United 1:3

14.09.2024 Loudoun United - Birmingham Legion 4:2

07.04.2024 Birmingham Legion - Loudoun United 3:1

21.06.2023 Birmingham Legion - Loudoun United 2:0

15.04.2023 Loudoun United - Birmingham Legion 3:0

Latest results of Loudoun United

28.09.2025 Loudoun United - Tampa Bay Rowdies 2:2 ✺

20.09.2025 Phoenix Rising - Loudoun United 2:2 ✺

13.09.2025 Loudoun United - San Antonio 2:5 ✺

06.09.2025 El Paso Locomotive - Loudoun United 1:2 ✺

30.08.2025 Loudoun United - Miami 3:1 ✺

Latest results of Birmingham Legion

01.10.2025 Birmingham Legion - North Carolina 1:1 ✺

27.09.2025 San Antonio - Birmingham Legion 0:0 ✺

21.09.2025 Indy Eleven - Birmingham Legion 2:1 ✺

17.09.2025 Birmingham Legion - Tampa Bay Rowdies 1:4 ✺

06.09.2025 Tulsa - Birmingham Legion 1:1 ✺

USL Championship Table

2026

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Charleston	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Tampa Bay	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Pittsburgh	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Indy Eleven	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Detroit	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Louisville City	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Miami FC	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Hartford Athletic	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Birmingham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Loudoun	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Rhode Island	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Sporting Jax	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Brooklyn	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Western Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Orange County SC	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	New Mexico	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Sacramento Republic	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	FC Tulsa	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Colorado Springs	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	San Antonio	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Phoenix Rising	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Oakland Roots	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Monterey Bay	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Las Vegas Lights	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	El Paso	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Lexington	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)