Result
19/09/2025 at 10:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Montana
44.8% | Draw
29.5% | Spartak Varna
25.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Montana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Montana's performance.Spartak Varna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Spartak Varna might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montana than the current prediction. (-7.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Montana that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartak Varna than the current prediction. (+8.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Spartak Varna could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Montana - Spartak Varna Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.11 ↓
(2.51) |
3.15 ↓
(3.2) |
3.54 ↑
(2.59) |
7.4%
(9.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ efbet League (Conference League Group: ) and 11 in the zone efbet League (Relegation Group: )).
- Montana is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Spartak Varna's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Montana could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montana won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.6:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Montana won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Montana won against Spartak Varna?
Montana has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Spartak Varna won against Montana?
Spartak Varna has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Montana - Spartak Varna were as follows:
27.04.2024
Spartak Varna
-
Montana
1:0
09.10.2023
Montana
-
Spartak Varna
1:1
Latest results of Montana
Latest results of Spartak Varna
Bulgarian Parva Liga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Levski Sofia | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 15:4 | 11 | 19 |
| 2 | Ludogorets | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 14:3 | 11 | 17 |
| 3 | CSKA 1948 Sofia | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 12:8 | 4 | 16 |
| 4 | Lok. Plovdiv | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 9:5 | 4 | 16 |
| 5 | Cherno More | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13:5 | 8 | 15 |
| 6 | Montana | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6:11 | -5 | 11 |
| 7 | Lok. Sofia | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 7:5 | 2 | 10 |
| 8 | Botev Vratsa | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 | Beroe | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9:11 | -2 | 9 |
| 10 | CSKA Sofia | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 | Spartak Varna | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 7 |
| 12 | Arda | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 6 |
| 13 | Dobrudzha | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 6:12 | -6 | 6 |
| 14 | Septemvri Sofia | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8:18 | -10 | 6 |
| 15 | Slavia Sofia | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9:16 | -7 | 5 |
| 16 | Botev Plovdiv | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5:13 | -8 | 4 |
Promotion ~ efbet League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ efbet League (Conference League Group: )
efbet League (Relegation Group: )
