Septemvri Sofia vs Montana – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
01/05/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • efbet League - Relegation Group - Round 32
  • Referee: Velikov M. (Bul)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport, Play Diema Xtra

Match Stats

Ball possession
49%51%
Total shots
610
Shots on target
26
Corner kicks
48
Yellow cards
21
Total shots
610
Shots on target
26
Shots off target
44
Corner kicks
48
Offsides
12
Free kicks
159
Throw ins
1621
Fouls
813

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Herard F. , Stojanovic S. ,
  • 49', Ozornwafor V. 🟨,
  • 51', Baurenski Y. 🟨,
  • 57', Markov I. 🟨,
  • 59', 1 - 0, Fontaine N. ,
  • 63', Ivanov G. , Stoichkov S. ,
  • 66', Azevedo T. , Beji ,
  • 76', Stamatov M. , Wade S. ,
  • 80', Fontaine N. , Ivkic D. ,
  • 81', Todorov A. , Vitinho ,
  • 82', 1 - 1, Dimitrov B. (Penalty Awarded),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Septemvri Sofia
53.3%
Draw
27.4%
Montana
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.3% 28.2% 25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3% 23.3% 30.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Septemvri Sofia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Septemvri Sofia's performance.
  • Montana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Montana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Septemvri Sofia than the current prediction. (-15%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Septemvri Sofia that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montana than the current prediction. (+11.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Montana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Septemvri Sofia - Montana Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.76
    (1.98)
    3.38
    (3.25)
    4.8
    (3.6)
    7.4%
    (9.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Septemvri Sofia - Montana?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Septemvri Sofia (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Septemvri Sofia will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Septemvri Sofia won 2.
    • Septemvri Sofia has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Montana is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, Montana has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Septemvri Sofia is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Septemvri Sofia won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 1:0.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Septemvri Sofia won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 0.7:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Septemvri Sofia - Montana were as follows:
    16.02.2026 Septemvri Sofia - Montana 1:0
    23.08.2025 Montana - Septemvri Sofia 2:0
    20.05.2024 Montana - Septemvri Sofia 0:2
    07.11.2023 Septemvri Sofia - Montana 0:0
    Latest results of Septemvri Sofia
    Latest results of Montana
    16.04.2026 Montana - Slavia Sofia 0:0
    08.04.2026 Montana - CSKA Sofia 0:1
    04.04.2026 Arda Kardzhali - Montana 2:1
    Bulgarian Parva Liga Table
    Championship Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Levski Sofia ✔ 32244468:234576
    2CSKA 1948 Sofia32195852:331962
    3Ludogorets32179658:233560
    4CSKA Sofia32178745:261959

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    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Levski Sofia is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (Qualification )