Result
1:3
07/03/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 24
- Referee: Myc W. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Poland | CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Spain | GolStadium |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 0.55 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 67% | 33% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (355/439) | 60% (128/212) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 0.55 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 1.95 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 34 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (355/439) | 60% (128/212) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (16/39) | 25% (16/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (113/156) | 55% (38/69) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (8/30) | 31% (5/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.88 | 1.10 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 54% (7/13) | 60% (6/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 42 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.95 | 0.69 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.05 | -0.31 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 22', 1 - 0, Tomasiewicz G. ⚽, Dziczek P. (A),
- 27', 1 - 1, Corluka J. ⚽, Diaz J. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 52', Kolan J. 🟨,
- 57', Sanca L. ↓, Lokilo J. ↑,
- 61', Szabo L. ↓, Kosidis M. ↑,
- 61', Diaz J. ↓, Radwanski A. ↑,
- 69', 1 - 2, Michalski D. ⚽, Radwanski A. (A),
- 72', Tomasiewicz G. ↓, Lesniak O. ↑,
- 72', Felix J. ↓, Chrapek M. ↑,
- 74', Kolan J. ↓, Dziewiatowski M. ↑,
- 81', Vallejo H. ↓, Lima I. ↑,
- 81', Barkovskiy G. ↓, Katsantonis A. ↑,
- 86', Grzybek M. ↓, Lucic L. ↑,
- 86', Regula M. ↓, Sypek J. ↑,
- 89', 1 - 3, Kosidis M. ⚽, Sypek J. (A),
- 90', Kosidis M. 🟨,
- 90+2', Dziczek P. 🟨,
- 90+2', Dziewiatowski M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Piast Gliwice
48.1% | Draw
28.7% | Zagłębie Lubin
23.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Piast Gliwice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Piast Gliwice's performance.Zagłębie Lubin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Zagłębie Lubin might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Piast Gliwice than the current prediction. (-6.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Piast Gliwice that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zagłębie Lubin than the current prediction. (+6.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zagłębie Lubin could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Piast Gliwice - Zagłębie Lubin Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.96 ↓
(2.2) |
3.28 ↑
(3.06) |
4.05 ↑
(2.96) |
6.4%
(11.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Piast Gliwice - Zagłębie Lubin?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Piast will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Zagłębie Lubin will win (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Piast: 29.6% – 90.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Zagłębie Lubin (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Piast won 3.
- Piast has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Zagłębie Lubin is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Zagłębie Lubin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Piast is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Zagłębie Lubin: Hladun D.
(Shoulder Injury)
Lawniczak A.
(Inactive)
Lucic L.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Piast: Drapinski I.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Piast won 8 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 26:17. (average 1.3:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Piast won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:5. (average 1:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Piast Gliwice won against Zagłębie Lubin?
Piast Gliwice has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Zagłębie Lubin won against Piast Gliwice?
Zagłębie Lubin has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Piast Gliwice - Zagłębie Lubin were as follows:
30.08.2025
Zagłębie Lubin
-
Piast Gliwice
2:2
01.03.2025
Zagłębie Lubin
-
Piast Gliwice
0:1
24.08.2024
Piast Gliwice
-
Zagłębie Lubin
1:0
15.04.2024
Piast Gliwice
-
Zagłębie Lubin
2:0
07.10.2023
Zagłębie Lubin
-
Piast Gliwice
1:1
Latest results of Piast Gliwice
Latest results of Zagłębie Lubin
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Zaglebie | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 40:29 | 11 | 41 |
| 2 | Jagiellonia | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 42:32 | 10 | 41 |
| 3 | Lech Poznan | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 42:36 | 6 | 41 |
| 4 | Gornik Zabrze | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 36:32 | 4 | 38 |
| 5 | Rakow | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 34:32 | 2 | 37 |
| 6 | Wisla Plock | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 26:24 | 2 | 36 |
| 7 | GKS Katowice | 25 | 11 | 3 | 11 | 35:34 | 1 | 36 |
| 8 | Pogon Szczecin | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 35:38 | -3 | 34 |
| 9 | Motor Lublin | 25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 34:38 | -4 | 34 |
| 10 | Radomiak Radom | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 41:37 | 4 | 33 |
| 11 | Cracovia | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 30:28 | 2 | 33 |
| 12 | Korona Kielce | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 30:29 | 1 | 33 |
| 13 | Piast Gliwice | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 29:32 | -3 | 32 |
| 14 | Lechia Gdansk | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 49:47 | 2 | 31 |
| 15 | Arka Gdynia | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 25:41 | -16 | 30 |
| 16 | Legia | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 29:30 | -1 | 29 |
| 17 | Widzew Lodz | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 31:34 | -3 | 28 |
| 18 | Termalica B-B | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 29:44 | -15 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
