Result
2:2
30/08/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 7
- Referee: Krasny S. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Poland | CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.87 | 0.83 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 30% | 70% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (189/253) | 86% (507/592) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.87 | 0.83 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.78 | 0.75 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (189/253) | 86% (507/592) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (17/39) | 38% (23/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (37/68) | 76% (116/152) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (5/13) | 10% (2/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 0.46 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 11 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (11/16) | 56% (9/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.75 | 1.78 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.25 | -0.22 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 18', 0 - 1, Jirka E. ⚽,
- 26', Dabrowski D. 🟨,
- 40', 1 - 1, Kocaba F. ⚽, Lawniczak A. (A),
- 42', Jirka E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 52', 1 - 2, Jirka E. ⚽, Drapinski I. (A),
- 61', Radwanski A. ↓, Wdowiak M. ↑,
- 62', Sypek J. ↓, Szmyt K. ↑,
- 62', Regula M. ↓, Lucic L. ↑,
- 69', Sanca L. ↓, Lokilo J. ↑,
- 75', Felix J. ↓, Dalmau A. ↑,
- 76', Yakuba R. ↓, Nowogonski K. ↑,
- 78', Nalepa M. 🟨,
- 86', Kocaba F. ↓, Wozniak A. ↑,
- 89', Tomasiewicz G. 🟨,
- 90+1', Chrapek M. ↓, Lesniak O. ↑,
- 90+3', Lucic L. 🟨,
- 90+3', Boisgard Q. 🟨,
- 90+8', 2 - 2, Kosidis M. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Zagłębie Lubin
27.2% | Draw
32.1% | Piast Gliwice
40.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zagłębie Lubin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zagłębie Lubin's form might have worsened.Piast Gliwice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Piast Gliwice's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zagłębie Lubin than the current prediction. (+11.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zagłębie Lubin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Piast Gliwice than the current prediction. (-6.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Piast Gliwice, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Zagłębie Lubin - Piast Gliwice Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.15 ↑
(2.42) |
3.4 ↓
(3.45) |
2.59 ↓
(2.75) |
-7.8%
(6.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Zagłębie Lubin - Piast Gliwice?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Zagłębie Lubin will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Zagłębie Lubin (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zagłębie Lubin won 0.
- In recent matches, Zagłębie Lubin has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Piast has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Piast may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Zagłębie Lubin: Grzybek M.
(Broken Leg)
- There will not play in Piast: Katsantonis A.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Zagłębie Lubin won 4 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 17:25. (average 0.9:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Zagłębie Lubin won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:15. (average 1.2:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Zagłębie Lubin won against Piast Gliwice?
Zagłębie Lubin has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Piast Gliwice won against Zagłębie Lubin?
Piast Gliwice has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Zagłębie Lubin - Piast Gliwice were as follows:
01.03.2025
Zagłębie Lubin
-
Piast Gliwice
0:1
24.08.2024
Piast Gliwice
-
Zagłębie Lubin
1:0
15.04.2024
Piast Gliwice
-
Zagłębie Lubin
2:0
07.10.2023
Zagłębie Lubin
-
Piast Gliwice
1:1
12.02.2023
Zagłębie Lubin
-
Piast Gliwice
0:2
Latest results of Zagłębie Lubin
Latest results of Piast Gliwice
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Wisla Plock | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 10:4 | 6 | 16 |
| 2 | Cracovia | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13:9 | 4 | 14 |
| 3 | Gornik Zabrze | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 10:5 | 5 | 12 |
| 4 | Jagiellonia | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12:9 | 3 | 12 |
| 5 | Korona Kielce | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 11 |
| 6 | Lech Poznan | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10:10 | 0 | 10 |
| 7 | Pogon Szczecin | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11:13 | -2 | 10 |
| 8 | Radomiak Radom | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 8 |
| 9 | Termalica B-B | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 | Motor Lublin | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:9 | -3 | 8 |
| 11 | Arka Gdynia | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 | Legia | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:4 | 2 | 7 |
| 13 | Widzew Lodz | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:9 | 0 | 7 |
| 14 | GKS Katowice | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10:15 | -5 | 7 |
| 15 | Zaglebie | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 12:10 | 2 | 6 |
| 16 | Rakow | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 | Piast Gliwice | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
| 18 | Lechia Gdansk | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 12:19 | -7 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
