Result
0:0
14/02/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 21
- Referee: Szczerbowicz M. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Poland | CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Ukraine | Sport 2 |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Tubi TV |
 World | Sport 2 Baltic |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.20 | 1.36 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 35% | 65% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 64% (168/263) | 79% (380/479) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.20 | 1.36 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.37 | 0.86 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 10 | 31 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 64% (168/263) | 79% (380/479) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 31% (22/72) | 20% (8/40) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 40% (29/73) | 70% (102/146) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (1/8) | 15% (4/27) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.14 | 1.08 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 31% (4/13) | 33% (4/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 70 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 51 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.37 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.37 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 42', Repka O. 🟨,
- 45+2', Kocaba F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Dziewiatowski M. ↓, Regula M. ↑,
- 46', Kosidis M. ↓, Szabo L. ↑,
- 46', Kowalczyk S. ↓, Radwanski A. ↑,
- 50', Silva J. C. 🟨,
- 61', Kolan J. 🟨,
- 66', Pienko T. ↓, Rocha L. ↑,
- 66', Struski K. ↓, Bulat M. ↑,
- 78', Ameyaw M. ↓, Ilenic M. ↑,
- 83', Diaby-Fadiga L. ↓, Makuch P. ↑,
- 90', Radwanski A. 🟨,
- 90+1', Kocaba F. ↓, Dabrowski D. ↑,
- 90+2', Rocha L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Zagłębie Lubin
24.1% | Draw
28.7% | Raków Częstochowa
47.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zagłębie Lubin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zagłębie Lubin's form might have worsened.Raków Częstochowa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Raków Częstochowa's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zagłębie Lubin than the current prediction. (+4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Raków Częstochowa than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
Zagłębie Lubin - Raków Częstochowa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.92 ↑
(2.97) |
3.3 ↑
(3.07) |
2 ↓
(2.18) |
5.8%
(12.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Zagłębie Lubin - Raków Częstochowa?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Zagłębie Lubin will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Raków will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Raków: 54% – 99.8%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DC - Raków (1.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Raków Częstochowa will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Raków (votes: 3 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zagłębie Lubin won 2.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Zagłębie Lubin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Raków has had a series of home games.
- Raków will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Zagłębie Lubin: Hladun D.
(Shoulder Injury)
Lawniczak A.
(Inactive)
Popielec C.
(Inactive)
Regula M.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Raków: Dawidowicz P.
(Inactive)
Kochergin V.
(Knee Injury)
Otieno E.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There are questionable in Raków: Arsenic Z.
(Leg Injury)
Lopez I.
(Inactive)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Zagłębie Lubin won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 14:28. (average 0.9:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Zagłębie Lubin won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.2:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Zagłębie Lubin won against Raków Częstochowa?
Zagłębie Lubin has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Raków Częstochowa won against Zagłębie Lubin?
Raków Częstochowa has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Zagłębie Lubin - Raków Częstochowa were as follows:
14.12.2025
Raków Częstochowa
-
Zagłębie Lubin
0:1
31.03.2025
Zagłębie Lubin
-
Raków Częstochowa
0:2
22.09.2024
Raków Częstochowa
-
Zagłębie Lubin
5:1
04.05.2024
Zagłębie Lubin
-
Raków Częstochowa
2:0
05.11.2023
Raków Częstochowa
-
Zagłębie Lubin
5:0
Latest results of Zagłębie Lubin
Latest results of Raków Częstochowa
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lech Poznan | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 56:41 | 15 | 55 |
| 2 | Gornik Zabrze | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 43:34 | 9 | 49 |
| 3 | GKS Katowice | 31 | 14 | 5 | 12 | 48:42 | 6 | 47 |
| 4 | Jagiellonia | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 48:37 | 11 | 46 |
| 5 | Rakow | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 43:37 | 6 | 46 |
| 6 | Zaglebie | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 43:36 | 7 | 45 |
| 7 | Wisla Plock | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 32:31 | 1 | 45 |
| 8 | Pogon Szczecin | 31 | 12 | 5 | 14 | 43:45 | -2 | 41 |
| 9 | Piast Gliwice | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 40:41 | -1 | 40 |
| 10 | Legia | 31 | 9 | 13 | 9 | 35:36 | -1 | 40 |
| 11 | Radomiak Radom | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 46:43 | 3 | 40 |
| 12 | Korona Kielce | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 38:37 | 1 | 39 |
| 13 | Cracovia | 31 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 35:38 | -3 | 39 |
| 14 | Motor Lublin | 31 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 39:46 | -7 | 39 |
| 15 | Lechia Gdansk | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 57:54 | 3 | 38 |
| 16 | Widzew Lodz | 31 | 10 | 6 | 15 | 36:38 | -2 | 36 |
| 17 | Arka Gdynia | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 31:54 | -23 | 34 |
| 18 | Termalica B-B | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 37:60 | -23 | 28 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
