Result
3:3
14/09/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- LaLiga2 - Round 5
- Referee: Moreno A. (Esp)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 North-central-america | Sky Sports Norte |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Spain | DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion 2, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 3 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.78 | 0.75 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (322/396) | 72% (189/262) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.78 | 0.75 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.09 | 1.16 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 38 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (322/396) | 72% (189/262) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (28/48) | 34% (19/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (120/163) | 56% (35/63) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (10/36) | 31% (5/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 0.65 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (13/20) | 79% (15/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 45 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.16 | 3.09 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.84 | 0.09 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 3', 0 - 1, Fernandez Sanchez M. ⚽,
- 14', Brignani F. 🟨,
- 16', 1 - 1, Sienra A. ⚽, Cipenga B. (A),
- 32', 2 - 1, Calatrava A. ⚽, Barri (A),
- 35', Caparros A. 🟨,
- 39', Santiago P. 🟨,
- 45', Cantero Y. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 47', 2 - 2, Matos Jose ⚽, Ahmed A. (A),
- 52', Ahmed A. ↓, Anuar ↑,
- 59', 2 - 3, Fernandez Sanchez M. ⚽, Jamelli (A),
- 60', Mabil A. ↓, Suero I. ↑,
- 60', Barri ↓, Serpeta ↑,
- 60', Brignani F. ↓, Doue M. ↑,
- 69', Cantero Y. 🟨,
- 71', Santiago P. ↓, Markanich N. ↑,
- 76', Kone K. ↓, Gonzalez D. ↑,
- 76', Jamelli ↓, Bodiger Y. ↑,
- 83', Fernandez Sanchez M. 🟨,
- 83', Ruiz S. ↓, Tincho ↑,
- 84', Fernandez Sanchez M. ↓, Almenara G. ↑,
- 84', Zalazar K. ↓, Obeng S. ↑,
- 90+3', Obeng S. 🟨,
- 90+5', 3 - 3, Suero I. (Pen),
- 90+8', Doue M. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/2fp9x3mx
Chances of winning
Castellón
49.8% | Draw
27.8% | Ceuta
22.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Castellón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Castellón's form might have worsened.Ceuta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (+9.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Castellón, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceuta than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
Castellón - Ceuta Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.27 ↑
(1.65) |
3.78 ↓
(3.85) |
4.57 ↓
(4.94) |
-7.6%
(6.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Castellón - Ceuta?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Castellón (1.78) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH 0, 1st Half - Castellón (1.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Castellón will win
(12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Castellón will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Castellón (votes: 6 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Castellón is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Ceuta has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Ceuta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Castellón is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Castellón: Aurelio D.
(Knee Injury)
Matthys R.
(Hip Injury)
- There will not play in Ceuta: Bodiger Y.
(Ribs Injury)
Ortuno J.
(Injury)
Sanchez M.
(Injury)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Castellón won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Castellón won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Castellón won against Ceuta?
Castellón has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ceuta won against Castellón?
Ceuta has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Castellón - Ceuta were as follows:
11.02.2024
Castellón
-
Ceuta
2:2
15.10.2023
Ceuta
-
Castellón
1:3
Latest results of Castellón
Spanish LaLiga2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Santander | 31 | 18 | 5 | 8 | 62:44 | 18 | 59 |
| 2 | Dep. La Coruna | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 48:35 | 13 | 55 |
| 3 | Almeria | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 59:43 | 16 | 55 |
| 4 | Malaga | 31 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 52:37 | 15 | 54 |
| 5 | Las Palmas | 31 | 13 | 12 | 6 | 40:24 | 16 | 51 |
| 6 | Castellon | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 50:38 | 12 | 50 |
| 7 | Burgos CF | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 36:26 | 10 | 50 |
| 8 | Eibar | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 33:30 | 3 | 45 |
| 9 | Gijon | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 42:39 | 3 | 45 |
| 10 | Ceuta | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 39:50 | -11 | 44 |
| 11 | Albacete | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 39:40 | -1 | 42 |
| 12 | Cordoba | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 41:47 | -6 | 41 |
| 13 | Real Sociedad B | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 44:43 | 1 | 40 |
| 14 | Granada CF | 31 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 37:34 | 3 | 39 |
| 15 | Andorra | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 37:42 | -5 | 39 |
| 16 | Cadiz CF | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 31:39 | -8 | 38 |
| 17 | Leganes | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 36:34 | 2 | 37 |
| 18 | Valladolid | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 36:45 | -9 | 36 |
| 19 | Huesca | 31 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 30:45 | -15 | 31 |
| 20 | Zaragoza | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 27:43 | -16 | 30 |
| 21 | Cultural Leonesa | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 29:50 | -21 | 28 |
| 22 | Mirandes | 31 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 30:50 | -20 | 27 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga
Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation
