Result
0:5
02/05/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- K League 1 - Round 11
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 South-korea | Coupang Play, JTBC Golf&Sports |
 World | K League TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 7', 0 - 1, Diogo Oliveira ⚽, Ludwigson G. (A),
- 32', 0 - 2, Jeong Jae-Hee ⚽,
- 37', Lee Min-Ki 🟨,
- 45+5', Ju Se-Jong 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 46', Park Jeong-In ↓, Fridjonsson H. ↑,
- 46', Lee Min-Ki ↓, Kim Jin-Ho ↑,
- 52', 0 - 3, Kim Jun-Beom ⚽,
- 54', 0 - 4, Jeong Jae-Hee ⚽,
- 58', Kim Jun-Beom ↓, Seo Jin-Su ↑,
- 58', Jeong Jae-Hee ↓, Kim Hyeon-Ug ↑,
- 58', Diogo Oliveira ↓, Joo Min-Kyu ↑,
- 59', Ju Se-Jong ↓, Kim Y. ↑,
- 60', Min Sang-Gi ↓, Ahn Young-Kyu ↑,
- 61', 0 - 5, Joo Min-Kyu ⚽, Seo Jin-Su (A),
- 65', Ha Seung-Un ↓, Hong Yong-Jun ↑,
- 66', Hong Yong-Jun 🟨,
- 68', Lee H. ↓, Kang Yun-Sung ↑,
- 73', Ludwigson G. 🟨,
- 75', Kim Jin-Ho 🟨,
- 85', Ludwigson G. ↓, Yu Kang-Hyun ↑,
Chances of winning
Gwangju
18.1% | Draw
26.4% | Daejeon Citizen
55.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gwangju has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)Daejeon Citizen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gwangju than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gwangju, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daejeon Citizen than the current prediction. (-7.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Daejeon Citizen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Gwangju - Daejeon Citizen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.14 ↑
(4.11) |
3.55 ↑
(3.5) |
1.69 ↓
(1.85) |
6.7%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Gwangju - Daejeon Citizen?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Gwangju will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Daejeon Citizen will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Daejeon Citizen: 50.6% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 12 in the zone K League 1 (Relegation Group: ) and 7 in the zone K League 1 (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gwangju won 1.
- Gwangju has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Daejeon Citizen has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Daejeon Citizen is a strong favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gwangju won 6 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:18. (average 1.1:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gwangju won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:5. (average 1.2:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Gwangju won against Daejeon Citizen?
Gwangju has won 3 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Daejeon Citizen won against Gwangju?
Daejeon Citizen has won 2 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gwangju - Daejeon Citizen were as follows:
17.08.2025
Gwangju
-
Daejeon Citizen
2:0
22.06.2025
Gwangju
-
Daejeon Citizen
2:2
29.03.2025
Daejeon Citizen
-
Gwangju
1:1
02.11.2024
Gwangju
-
Daejeon Citizen
0:0
01.09.2024
Daejeon Citizen
-
Gwangju
2:0
Latest results of Gwangju
Latest results of Daejeon Citizen
South Korean K-League 1 Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Seoul | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 23:9 | 14 | 26 |
| 2 | Jeonbuk | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 19:11 | 8 | 21 |
| 3 | Ulsan HD | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 19:17 | 2 | 20 |
| 4 | Gangwon | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 15:10 | 5 | 17 |
| 5 | Daejeon | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 16:10 | 6 | 16 |
| 6 | Pohang | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 16 |
| 7 | Anyang | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 14:12 | 2 | 15 |
| 8 | Incheon | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 14:16 | -2 | 15 |
| 9 | Jeju SK | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 9:11 | -2 | 15 |
| 10 | Gimcheon Sangmu | 12 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 13:15 | -2 | 13 |
| 11 | Bucheon FC 1995 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 9:14 | -5 | 13 |
| 12 | Gwangju FC | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 7:32 | -25 | 6 |
Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group: )
K League 1 (Relegation Group: )
