Result
1:1
28/02/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 35
- Referee: Bourne D. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 1.62 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 50% (141/282) | 54% (183/340) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 1.62 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 1.45 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 50% (141/282) | 54% (183/340) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 24% (17/72) | 31% (28/91) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 40% (45/112) | 46% (53/114) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 8% (1/12) | 14% (2/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.19 | 0.63 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 43 | 42 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (8/13) | 71% (12/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 62 | 74 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 39 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.45 | 1.19 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.45 | 0.19 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 54', Mellish J. 🟨,
- 55', Sanders J. 🟨,
- 65', Kaikai S. ↓, Lavery S. ↑,
- 66', Mpanzu P. ↓, Smith K. ↑,
- 66', Appere L. ↓, Nevitt E. ↑,
- 74', Crowley D. ↓, Hogan S. ↑,
- 74', Jones G. ↓, Nemane A. ↑,
- 75', 1 - 0, Lavery S. ⚽,
- 80', Bennett L. ↓, Purrington B. ↑,
- 80', Knight B. ↓, Raggett S. ↑,
- 82', Mellish J. ↓, Tomlinson J. ↑,
- 82', Sanders J. ↓, Collins A. ↑,
- 83', Nevitt E. 🟨,
- 90+3', Ekpiteta M. ↓, Lemonheigh-Evans C. ↑,
- 90+6', 1 - 1, Collins A. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Cambridge United
39.1% | Draw
30.7% | Milton Keynes Dons
30.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cambridge United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)Milton Keynes Dons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cambridge United than the current prediction. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Cambridge United - Milton Keynes Dons Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.41 ↑
(2.38) |
3.04 ↓
(3.12) |
3.09 ↑
(2.98) |
6.8%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Cambridge United - Milton Keynes Dons?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Cambridge will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). MK Dons will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.5 - MK Dons (2.75) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. MK Dons (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ League One and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cambridge won 1.
- Now, both teams are in good form.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Cambridge: Hoddle G.
(Inactive)
Kouassi K.
(Hamstring Injury)
Mayor A.
(Inactive)
Morrison M.
(Injury)
- There will not play in MK Dons: Collar W.
(Inactive)
Mendez-Laing N.
(Inactive)
Wilson K.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Cambridge: Bradshaw Z.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in MK Dons: Collins A.
(Inactive)
Maguire L.
(Inactive)
Matete J.
(Inactive)
Paterson C.
(Inactive)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Cambridge won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:15. (average 0.8:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cambridge won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Cambridge United won against Milton Keynes Dons?
Cambridge United has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Milton Keynes Dons won against Cambridge United?
Milton Keynes Dons has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cambridge United - Milton Keynes Dons were as follows:
13.12.2025
Milton Keynes Dons
-
Cambridge United
1:1
11.03.2023
Milton Keynes Dons
-
Cambridge United
1:0
Latest results of Cambridge United
Latest results of Milton Keynes Dons
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 58:35 | 23 | 68 |
| 2 | Cambridge Utd | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 49:27 | 22 | 64 |
| 3 | MK Dons | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 63:34 | 29 | 62 |
| 4 | Swindon | 35 | 19 | 5 | 11 | 57:41 | 16 | 62 |
| 5 | Notts Co | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 52:33 | 19 | 61 |
| 6 | Crewe | 35 | 16 | 8 | 11 | 52:41 | 11 | 56 |
| 7 | Salford | 33 | 17 | 4 | 12 | 46:43 | 3 | 55 |
| 8 | Chesterfield | 34 | 13 | 14 | 7 | 52:44 | 8 | 53 |
| 9 | Barnet | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 44:37 | 7 | 53 |
| 10 | Walsall | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 42:36 | 6 | 53 |
| 11 | Grimsby | 33 | 14 | 10 | 9 | 46:37 | 9 | 52 |
| 12 | Colchester | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 48:35 | 13 | 49 |
| 13 | Accrington | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 37:36 | 1 | 46 |
| 14 | Oldham | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 36:30 | 6 | 45 |
| 15 | Fleetwood | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 43:42 | 1 | 45 |
| 16 | Gillingham | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 41:41 | 0 | 44 |
| 17 | Shrewsbury | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 34:54 | -20 | 38 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 34:55 | -21 | 36 |
| 19 | Tranmere | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 46:59 | -13 | 35 |
| 20 | Bristol Rovers | 34 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 33:57 | -24 | 31 |
| 21 | Crawley | 35 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 33:56 | -23 | 28 |
| 22 | Barrow | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 33:51 | -18 | 27 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 35 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 25:52 | -27 | 27 |
| 24 | Newport | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 32:60 | -28 | 25 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
