Result
1:1
26/07/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 17
- Referee: Pereira R. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay |
 China | K-Ball |
 Ecuador | El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2, Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Israel | Sport 2 |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones, #Vamos |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | Spor Smart 1 |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 0.74 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (492/563) | 86% (391/456) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 0.74 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.54 | 1.39 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 20 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (492/563) | 86% (391/456) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 59% (34/58) | 55% (18/33) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 80% (149/186) | 73% (74/102) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (5/22) | 14% (2/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 0.82 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 11 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 82% (14/17) | 53% (8/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.39 | 1.54 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.39 | 0.54 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 24', 1 - 0, Cabral A. ⚽, Nathan Fernandes (A),
- 45+2', Joao Pedro 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Charles Rigon ↓, Breno Bidon ↑,
- 46', Bahia ↓, Depay M. ↑,
- 46', Angel Romero ↓, Yuri Alberto ↑,
- 47', Leo Mana ↓, Matheuzinho ↑,
- 58', Barboza A. 🟨,
- 63', Nathan Fernandes ↓, Rodriguez S. ↑,
- 64', Correa J. ↓, Savarino J. ↑,
- 74', Ponte M. 🟨,
- 75', Talles Magno ↓, Matheus Bidu ↑,
- 77', Alex Telles ↓, Cuiabano ↑,
- 77', Ponte M. ↓, Vitinho ↑,
- 84', 1 - 1, Depay M. ⚽, Joao Pedro (A),
- 85', Angileri F. 🟨,
- 87', Montoro A. ↓, Barrera J. ↑,
- 90+4', Allan 🟨,
Chances of winning
Botafogo RJ
58.3% | Draw
26.3% | Corinthians
15.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Botafogo RJ has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)Corinthians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo RJ than the current prediction. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Botafogo RJ - Corinthians Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.64 ↓
(1.69) |
3.6 ↑
(3.5) |
6.11 ↑
(5.85) |
5.3%
(4.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Botafogo RJ - Corinthians?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.75 - Botafogo (votes: 3 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Botafogo RJ will win
(35 of 39 users predict this - 89.74%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.22% – 99.26%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Botafogo RJ will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: ) and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Botafogo won 3.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Corinthians may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Botafogo has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Botafogo is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Botafogo: Bastos
(Knee Injury)
Danilo Barbosa
(Inactive)
Matheus Martins
(Hamstring Injury)
Savarino J.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Corinthians: Garro R.
(Yellow Cards)
Hugo
(Hernia)
Martinez J.
(Yellow Cards)
Maycon
(Thigh Injury)
Yuri Alberto
(Back Injury)
- There are questionable in Botafogo: Allan
(Muscle Injury)
Artur
(Chest Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Botafogo won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 20:21. (average 1:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Botafogo won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:7. (average 1.4:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Botafogo RJ won against Corinthians?
Botafogo RJ has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Corinthians won against Botafogo RJ?
Corinthians has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Botafogo RJ - Corinthians were as follows:
14.09.2024
Botafogo RJ
-
Corinthians
2:1
01.06.2024
Corinthians
-
Botafogo RJ
0:1
22.09.2023
Corinthians
-
Botafogo RJ
1:0
11.05.2023
Botafogo RJ
-
Corinthians
3:0
Latest results of Botafogo RJ
Latest results of Corinthians
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 28 | 19 | 4 | 5 | 53:26 | 27 | 61 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 29 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 56:16 | 40 | 61 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 42:21 | 21 | 56 |
| 4 | Mirassol | 30 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 52:31 | 21 | 55 |
| 5 | Bahia | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 40:34 | 6 | 49 |
| 6 | Botafogo RJ | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 39:26 | 13 | 46 |
| 7 | Fluminense | 29 | 13 | 5 | 11 | 36:35 | 1 | 44 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 33:33 | 0 | 41 |
| 9 | Vasco | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 46:41 | 5 | 39 |
| 10 | Corinthians | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 32:35 | -3 | 39 |
| 11 | Bragantino | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 34:44 | -10 | 36 |
| 12 | Atletico-MG | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 27:32 | -5 | 36 |
| 13 | Gremio | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 30:37 | -7 | 36 |
| 14 | Ceara | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 27:28 | -1 | 35 |
| 15 | Internacional | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 35:43 | -8 | 35 |
| 16 | Santos | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 28:40 | -12 | 31 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 27:44 | -17 | 31 |
| 18 | Fortaleza | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 27:44 | -17 | 27 |
| 19 | Juventude | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 23:53 | -30 | 26 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 29 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 22:46 | -24 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
