Result
2:2
30/11/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 36
- Referee: Pinheiro J. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Colombia | Win Sports |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+ |
 Turkey | Spor Smart 1 |
 United-arab-emirates | Dubai Sports 1 |
 United-kingdom | Premier Sports Player |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 World | TV Globo Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.26 | 0.67 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (382/450) | 82% (238/289) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.26 | 0.67 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.15 | 1.14 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (382/450) | 82% (238/289) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 61% (30/49) | 55% (22/40) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (55/79) | 59% (38/64) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 43% (9/21) | 23% (3/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.93 | 0.63 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 72% (13/18) | 69% (11/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.14 | 2.15 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.86 | 0.15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 7', 1 - 0, Raniele ⚽, Dieguinho (A),
- 32', Savarino J. ↓, Montoro A. ↑,
- 33', Ponte M. 🟨,
- 41', Newton 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Newton ↓, Allan ↑,
- 46', Correa J. ↓, Barrera J. ↑,
- 56', Raniele 🟨,
- 57', Barria K. ↓, Arthur Cabral ↑,
- 60', 1 - 1, Cuiabano ⚽, Montoro A. (A),
- 62', Carrillo A. ↓, Maycon ↑,
- 62', Breno Bidon ↓, Andre ↑,
- 66', 1 - 2, Barrera J. ⚽,
- 70', Montoro A. ↓, Rodriguez S. ↑,
- 74', Garro R. ↓, Vitinho ↑,
- 75', Dieguinho ↓, Gui Negao ↑,
- 75', Matheus Bidu ↓, Angileri F. ↑,
- 82', 2 - 2, Gustavo Henrique ⚽, Vitinho (A),
- 86', Allan 🟨,
- 90', Matheuzinho 🟨,
- 90+3', Jeffinho 🟥,
- 90+5', Maycon 🟨,
Chances of winning
Corinthians
43.9% | Draw
29.5% | Botafogo RJ
26.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Corinthians has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Corinthians's performance.Botafogo RJ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo RJ than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
Corinthians - Botafogo RJ Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.2 ↓
(2.43) |
3.23 ↑
(3) |
3.57 ↑
(3.15) |
4.5%
(6.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Corinthians - Botafogo RJ?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Corinthians will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Botafogo will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Corinthians: 40% – 93.4%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - Corinthians (4.06) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH -0.75 - Corinthians (2.93) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Corinthians (2.44) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- EH -1 - Corinthians (4.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Corinthians will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 13 high ROI users predict this event. Corinthians (votes: 12 - 92.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Corinthians won 1.
- Corinthians has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Botafogo is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Botafogo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Corinthians is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Corinthians: Depay M.
(Inactive)
Hugo Souza
(Leg Injury)
Martinez J.
(Red Card)
Matheus Bidu
(Inactive)
Maycon
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Botafogo: Bastos
(Knee Injury)
Kaio
(Knee Injury)
Matheus Martins
(Muscle Injury)
Nathan Fernandes
(Thigh Injury)
Neto
(Thigh Injury)
Ramos C.
(Injury)
Rodriguez S.
(Muscle Injury)
Vitinho
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Botafogo: Danilo
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Corinthians won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 21:20. (average 1.1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Corinthians won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:5. (average 1.4:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Corinthians won against Botafogo RJ?
Corinthians has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Botafogo RJ won against Corinthians?
Botafogo RJ has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Corinthians - Botafogo RJ were as follows:
26.07.2025
Botafogo RJ
-
Corinthians
1:1
14.09.2024
Botafogo RJ
-
Corinthians
2:1
01.06.2024
Corinthians
-
Botafogo RJ
0:1
22.09.2023
Corinthians
-
Botafogo RJ
1:0
11.05.2023
Botafogo RJ
-
Corinthians
3:0
Latest results of Corinthians
Latest results of Botafogo RJ
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12:5 | 7 | 10 |
| 2 | Sao Paulo | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | Corinthians | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Bahia | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Fluminense | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 7 |
| 6 | Athletico-PR | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 7 |
| 7 | Bragantino | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 7 |
| 8 | Gremio | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 | Chapecoense-SC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8:6 | 2 | 5 |
| 10 | Mirassol | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:5 | 1 | 5 |
| 11 | Flamengo RJ | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Coritiba | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 4 |
| 13 | Santos | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 4 |
| 14 | Botafogo RJ | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 3 |
| 15 | Vitoria | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 3 |
| 16 | Remo | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6:8 | -2 | 3 |
| 17 | Atletico-MG | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 2 |
| 18 | Internacional | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 2 |
| 19 | Cruzeiro | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:9 | -5 | 2 |
| 20 | Vasco | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
