New England Revolution vs Toronto FC – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS New England Revolution - Toronto FC
Result
1:1
13/09/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Da Silva A. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, RDS App, RDS Info, TSN 4
italyItalyAmazon Prime Video
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.600.86
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
119
Shots on target
45
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
43
Passes
86% (415/482)83% (376/452)
Yellow Cards
42
Expected Goals (xG)
0.600.86
xG on target (xGOT)
0.360.68
Total shots
119
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
53
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
45
Shots outside the Box
74
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
1418
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
2016
Passes
86% (415/482)83% (376/452)
Long passes
62% (48/78)45% (30/67)
Passes in final third
72% (71/98)72% (78/109)
Crosses
26% (5/19)23% (3/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.510.54
Throw-ins
179
Fouls
1620
Tackles
50% (2/4)43% (6/14)
Duels won
3940
Clearances
921
Interceptions
106
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
0.680.36
Goals prevented
-0.32-0.64

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 16', Long K. , Rosted S. ,
  • 19', Franklin K. 🟨,
  • 38', Oyirwoth A. 🟨,
  • 42', Chancalay T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 53', Kerr D. , Vilsaint J. ,
  • 53', Osorio J. , Dominguez M. ,
  • 67', Fofana M. 🟨,
  • 75', 0 - 1, Corbeanu T. ,
  • 76', Mihailovic D. 🟨,
  • 78', Beason T. , Bye B. ,
  • 78', Cifuentes J. , Laryea R. ,
  • 78', Mihailovic D. , Cimermancic M. ,
  • 86', Fofana M. , Sands W. ,
  • 87', Oyirwoth A. , George S. ,
  • 90', 1 - 1, Langoni L. ,
  • 90+6', Yusuf A. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


New England Revolution
50.5%
Draw
24%
Toronto FC
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.5% 22.4% 20.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.2% 21.8% 19.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • New England Revolution has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that New England Revolution's form might have worsened.
  • Toronto FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Toronto FC's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for New England Revolution than the current prediction. (+8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for New England Revolution, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toronto FC than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Toronto FC, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • New England Revolution - Toronto FC Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.86
    (1.61)
    3.94
    (4.13)
    3.8
    (4.6)
    5.3%
    (8.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for New England Revolution - Toronto FC?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. New England will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Toronto will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for New England: 11.9%76.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. New England (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 11 and 13)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, New England won 3.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Toronto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • New England will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Toronto: Gomis N. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There are questionable in New England: Polster M. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Toronto: Rosted S. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, New England won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 26:28. (average 1.3:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, New England won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:11. (average 1.4:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between New England Revolution - Toronto FC were as follows:
    03.05.2025 Toronto FC - New England Revolution 0:2
    20.04.2024 Toronto FC - New England Revolution 1:0
    03.03.2024 New England Revolution - Toronto FC 0:1
    24.06.2023 New England Revolution - Toronto FC 2:1
    06.05.2023 Toronto FC - New England Revolution 0:2
    Latest results of New England Revolution
    Latest results of Toronto FC
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Philadelphia UnionBye
    2Chicago FireOrlando City3 : 1
    3CharlotteBye
    4ByeNew York City
    5Inter MiamiBye
    6ByeNashville SC
    7FC CincinnatiBye
    8ByeColumbus Crew
    9San Diego FCBye
    10Portland TimbersReal Salt Lake3 : 1
    11Minnesota UnitedBye
    12ByeSeattle Sounders
    13Los Angeles FCBye
    14ByeAustin FC
    15Vancouver WhitecapsBye
    16ByeFC Dallas

    1/8-finals
    1Philadelphia UnionChicago Fire
    2CharlotteNew York City
    3Inter MiamiNashville SC1 : 0
    4FC CincinnatiColumbus Crew
    5San Diego FCPortland Timbers
    6Minnesota UnitedSeattle Sounders
    7Los Angeles FCAustin FC
    8Vancouver WhitecapsFC Dallas

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2