Twente vs Heracles Almelo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Dutch Eredivisie Twente - Heracles Almelo
Result
2:1
05/10/2025 at 06:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eredivisie - Round 8
  • Referee: Lindhout A. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1
kenyaKenyaGotv
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra
nigeriaNigeriaSupeSport ESPN 1
south-africaSouth-africaSupeSport ESPN

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.300.60
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
217
Shots on target
92
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
43
Passes
83% (418/506)79% (275/349)
Yellow Cards
02
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.300.60
xG on target (xGOT)
1.891.08
Total shots
217
Shots on target
92
Shots off target
92
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
95
Shots outside the Box
122
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
3611
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
85
Passes
83% (418/506)79% (275/349)
Long passes
43% (22/51)45% (30/67)
Passes in final third
75% (134/179)73% (64/88)
Crosses
24% (4/17)27% (4/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.510.55
Throw-ins
2015
Fouls
58
Tackles
50% (9/18)70% (14/20)
Duels won
4653
Clearances
2143
Interceptions
512
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
17
xGOT faced
1.081.89
Goals prevented
0.08-0.11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 8', Propper R. , Nijstad R. ,
  • 43', 0 - 1, Mesik I. , Hrustic A. (A),
  • 45+4', Mesik I. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Benita M. , Wieckhoff J. ,
  • 46', Hrustic A. 🟨,
  • 48', 1 - 1, Bruns M. , Zerrouki R. (A),
  • 61', Rots D. , Pjaca M. ,
  • 78', van Gilst T. , Ould Chikh W. ,
  • 78', Limbombe B. , Engels M. ,
  • 84', 2 - 1, van den Belt T. , Orjasaeter S. (A),
  • 86', Hlynsson K. , Booth T. ,
  • 86', van den Belt T. , Verschueren A. ,
  • 86', van Rooij B. 🟥,
  • 87', Borges Sanches Y. , Kulenovic L. ,
  • 90+2', van Wolfswinkel R. , Kuipers B. ,
  • 90+3', Zamburek J. , te Wierik M. ,

Chances of winning


Twente
71.8%
Draw
17.3%
Heracles Almelo
10.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
69.4% 18.7% 12%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.7% 17.6% 11.3%

Twente - Heracles Almelo Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.33
(1.37)
5.46
(5.08)
8.77
(7.9)
4.7%
(5.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Twente - Heracles Almelo?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Twente will win (votes: 15 - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Twente: 100%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Twente (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Twente won 2.
    • Twente is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Heracles has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Twente is the clear favorite.
    • There will not play in Twente: Hilgers M. (Inactive) Kjolo M. (Knee Injury) Lemkin S. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Heracles: Cestic S. (Broken ankle) Reine-Adelaide J. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Twente: Lammers S. (Shoulder Injury)
    • There are questionable in Heracles: Scheperman S. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Twente won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 37:19. (average 1.9:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Twente won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 22:6. (average 2.2:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Twente - Heracles Almelo were as follows:
    30.03.2025 Heracles Almelo - Twente 2:1
    27.10.2024 Twente - Heracles Almelo 5:0
    31.03.2024 Twente - Heracles Almelo 1:0
    22.10.2023 Heracles Almelo - Twente 2:2
    Latest results of Twente
    26.09.2025 Twente - Fortuna Sittard 3:2
    19.09.2025 Sparta Rotterdam - Twente 1:5
    13.09.2025 Twente - NAC Breda 2:2
    30.08.2025 Excelsior - Twente 1:0
    24.08.2025 Heerenveen - Twente 1:2
    Latest results of Heracles Almelo
    Dutch Eredivisie Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Feyenoord1191130:102028
    2PSV1191135:161928
    3AZ Alkmaar1173124:131124
    4Ajax1155121:15620
    5Groningen1161417:15219
    6Utrecht1151520:15516
    7Twente1244420:18216
    8Sittard1251618:20-216
    9Sparta Rotterdam1251614:24-1016
    10Nijmegen1143427:20715
    11Heerenveen1235419:21-214
    12G.A. Eagles1134417:17013
    13FC Volendam1234516:20-413
    14NAC Breda1233615:21-612
    15Zwolle1233614:27-1312
    16Excelsior1231811:23-1210
    17Telstar1223714:21-79
    18Heracles1230917:33-169

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
          Eredivisie (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie