Result
4:1
05/04/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 29
- Referee: Oostrom I. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.55 | 1.33 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 66% | 34% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 14 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (510/587) | 80% (236/294) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.55 | 1.33 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 5.09 | 1.44 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 14 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 16 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 46 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (510/587) | 80% (236/294) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 66% (35/53) | 50% (32/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (140/183) | 72% (75/104) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (2/15) | 0% (0/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 3.01 | 0.88 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (7/10) | 76% (13/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 35 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 1 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.44 | 5.09 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.44 | 2.09 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 21', 0 - 1, Engels M. ⚽,
- 35', 1 - 1, Trenskow J. ⚽, van Overeem J. (A),
- 45+3', Benita M. 🟨,
- 45+5', 2 - 1, Nordas L. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Zeefuik L. ↓, van Gilst T. ↑,
- 47', 3 - 1, Pasveer R. (Own goal),
- 51', 4 - 1, Rivera M. ⚽,
- 58', Ould Chikh W. ↓, Wieckhoff J. ↑,
- 58', Mesik I. ↓, van der Kust D. ↑,
- 58', Engels M. ↓, Cestic S. ↑,
- 64', van Overeem J. ↓, Brouwers L. ↑,
- 77', Willemsen M. ↓, Petrov H. ↑,
- 77', Zagaritis V. ↓, Egbring M. ↑,
- 77', Bruns T. ↓, Kulenovic L. ↑,
- 85', Nordas L. ↓, Oyen L. ↑,
- 85', Trenskow J. ↓, Gurbuz E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Heerenveen
64.7% | Draw
18.6% | Heracles Almelo
16.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Heerenveen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)Heracles Almelo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heerenveen than the current prediction. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heracles Almelo than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
Heerenveen - Heracles Almelo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.47 ↓
(1.56) |
5.09 ↑
(5.08) |
5.81 ↑
(4.56) |
5%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Heerenveen - Heracles Almelo?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- DC - Heerenveen (1.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Heerenveen (1.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.5 - Heerenveen (2.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.25 - Heerenveen (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Heerenveen (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 0.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Heerenveen (1.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Heerenveen will win
(22 of 24 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.61% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Heerenveen will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Heerenveen (votes: 13 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Heerenveen won 3.
- Heerenveen is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Heracles's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Heerenveen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Heerenveen is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Heerenveen: Smans L.
(Knee Injury)
van Axel Dongen A.
(Illness)
- There will not play in Heracles: Kulenovic L.
(Inactive)
Reine-Adelaide J.
(Knee Injury)
de Keijzer F.
(Inactive)
te Wierik M.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Heracles: Hrustic A.
(Injury)
Scheperman S.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Heerenveen won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 33:26. (average 1.7:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Heerenveen won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1.7:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Heerenveen won against Heracles Almelo?
Heerenveen has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Heracles Almelo won against Heerenveen?
Heracles Almelo has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Heerenveen - Heracles Almelo were as follows:
20.12.2025
Heracles Almelo
-
Heerenveen
0:3
15.03.2025
Heerenveen
-
Heracles Almelo
1:1
27.09.2024
Heracles Almelo
-
Heerenveen
2:1
14.04.2024
Heracles Almelo
-
Heerenveen
0:2
28.10.2023
Heerenveen
-
Heracles Almelo
3:0
Latest results of Heerenveen
Latest results of Heracles Almelo
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSV ✔ | 30 | 24 | 2 | 4 | 84:40 | 44 | 74 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 62:41 | 21 | 55 |
| 3 | Nijmegen | 30 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 72:48 | 24 | 54 |
| 4 | Twente | 30 | 14 | 11 | 5 | 51:32 | 19 | 53 |
| 5 | Ajax | 30 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 57:37 | 20 | 51 |
| 6 | AZ Alkmaar | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 52:45 | 7 | 48 |
| 7 | Utrecht | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 49:36 | 13 | 44 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 53:50 | 3 | 44 |
| 9 | Groningen | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 42:37 | 5 | 42 |
| 10 | Sparta Rotterdam | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 35:49 | -14 | 42 |
| 11 | G.A. Eagles | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 50:45 | 5 | 36 |
| 12 | Sittard | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 44:55 | -11 | 36 |
| 13 | Zwolle | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 40:60 | -20 | 34 |
| 14 | FC Volendam | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 31:50 | -19 | 28 |
| 15 | Excelsior | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 31:51 | -20 | 28 |
| 16 | Telstar | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 39:52 | -13 | 27 |
| 17 | NAC Breda | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 30:51 | -21 | 25 |
| 18 | Heracles | 30 | 5 | 4 | 21 | 34:77 | -43 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
Clinched Spots for Teams
PSV is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
