Result
1:1
18/04/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 31
- Referee: Abed K. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8, Free |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.34 | 1.35 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (428/497) | 84% (345/410) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.34 | 1.35 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.68 | 1.14 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 24 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (428/497) | 84% (345/410) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 68% (36/53) | 64% (30/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (90/130) | 73% (84/115) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (6/26) | 28% (5/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 1.02 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (6/10) | 69% (9/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 41 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 25 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.14 | 1.68 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.14 | 0.68 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 21', Ruiz J. 🟨,
- 22', Santelli B. (Pen),
- 31', Mboup P. 🟨,
- 35', 0 - 1, Beusnard S. ⚽, Koudou T. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Mboup P. ↓, Diawara K. ↑,
- 54', 1 - 1, Kante A. ⚽, Santelli B. (A),
- 62', Junior Pereira da Silva E. ↓, Mangani T. ↑,
- 66', Chahiri M. ↓, Bangre M. ↑,
- 71', Youssouf M. ↓, Strata T. ↑,
- 71', Santelli B. ↓, Toure B. ↑,
- 77', Koudou T. ↓, Gaspar J. ↑,
- 77', Kalulu J. ↓, Obiang J. ↑,
- 85', Boutaib K. ↓, Arconte T. ↑,
- 85', Kante A. ↓, Chegra I. ↑,
- 86', Kouassi A. ↓, Ayessa J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Ajaccio
37.8% | Draw
30.5% | Pau
31.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ajaccio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)Pau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajaccio than the current prediction. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pau than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Ajaccio - Pau Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.5 ↑
(2.41) |
3.06 ↓
(3.12) |
2.96 ↓
(3.01) |
6.5%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Ajaccio - Pau?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Ajaccio will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ajaccio: 23.1% – 88.1%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.25 - Ajaccio (2.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ajaccio (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 11).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Ajaccio won 2.
- The game of competitors is shaky now.
- In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
- There will not play in Ajaccio: Soumano M.
(Injury)
Touzghar Y.
(Arm Injury)
- There will not play in Pau: Arconte T.
(Ankle Injury)
Bobichon A.
(Ankle Injury)
Lopy J.
(Inactive)
Meddah D.
(Inactive)
- Last 9 head-to-head matches Ajaccio won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11:8 (average 1.2:0.9).
- Including matches at home between the teams Ajaccio won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:2 (average 2.7:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Ajaccio won against Pau?
Ajaccio has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pau won against Ajaccio?
Pau has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ajaccio - Pau were as follows:
13.12.2024
Pau
-
Ajaccio
1:0
06.04.2024
Pau
-
Ajaccio
1:1
21.10.2023
Ajaccio
-
Pau
2:0
Latest results of Ajaccio
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 40:25 | 15 | 48 |
| 2 | St Etienne | 25 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 44:29 | 15 | 46 |
| 3 | Reims | 25 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 37:23 | 14 | 42 |
| 4 | Le Mans | 25 | 10 | 11 | 4 | 30:24 | 6 | 41 |
| 5 | Red Star | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 30:25 | 5 | 41 |
| 6 | Annecy | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 34:25 | 9 | 39 |
| 7 | Dunkerque | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 41:27 | 14 | 38 |
| 8 | Rodez | 25 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 31:31 | 0 | 37 |
| 9 | Montpellier | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 28:25 | 3 | 35 |
| 10 | Guingamp | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 35:36 | -1 | 35 |
| 11 | Pau FC | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 37:42 | -5 | 34 |
| 12 | Grenoble | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 24:29 | -5 | 29 |
| 13 | Clermont | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 29:33 | -4 | 28 |
| 14 | Nancy | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 22:33 | -11 | 27 |
| 15 | Boulogne | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 25:36 | -11 | 27 |
| 16 | Amiens | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 28:41 | -13 | 23 |
| 17 | Laval | 25 | 3 | 10 | 12 | 19:35 | -16 | 19 |
| 18 | Bastia | 25 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 12:27 | -15 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
