Result
0:0
11/04/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 30
- Referee: Rosier E. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 9, Free |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 0.87 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (503/567) | 75% (241/320) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 0.87 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.19 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (503/567) | 75% (241/320) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 76% (38/50) | 45% (29/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (117/160) | 59% (37/63) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 39% (7/18) | 22% (2/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 0.36 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (7/11) | 87% (13/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 53 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 9 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.19 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.19 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 38', Irie C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 58', Huard M. 🟨,
- 58', Adeline M. ↓, Diop M. ↑,
- 71', El Idrissy M. ↓, de Preville N. ↑,
- 80', Kante A. ↓, Toure B. ↑,
- 87', M'Changama Y. ↓, Detourbet M. ↑,
- 90+3', Puch Herrantz M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Troyes
50.5% | Draw
29% | Ajaccio
20.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Troyes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)Ajaccio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Troyes than the current prediction. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajaccio than the current prediction. (+1%)
Troyes - Ajaccio Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.86 ↓
(1.91) |
3.21
(3.21) |
4.56 ↑
(4.24) |
6.7%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Troyes - Ajaccio?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Troyes will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Ajaccio will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Troyes: 40% – 93.4%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Troyes (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -0.5 - Troyes (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Troyes (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 13 and 10).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Troyes won 1.
- Both teams are now playing unstable.
- In this match Troyes is a favorite.
- There will not play in Troyes: Hamdi M.
(Injury)
Ripart R.
(Knee Injury)
Tahrat M.
(Leg Injury)
- There will not play in Ajaccio: Barreto M.
(Yellow Cards)
Soumano M.
(Injury)
Touzghar Y.
(Arm Injury)
- Last 17 head-to-head matches Troyes won 8 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 24:20 (average 1.4:1.2).
- Including matches at home between the teams Troyes won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14:11 (average 1.6:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Troyes won against Ajaccio?
Troyes has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ajaccio won against Troyes?
Ajaccio has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Troyes - Ajaccio were as follows:
30.08.2024
Ajaccio
-
Troyes
2:1
13.01.2024
Troyes
-
Ajaccio
3:1
11.11.2023
Ajaccio
-
Troyes
1:0
26.02.2023
Ajaccio
-
Troyes
2:1
16.10.2022
Troyes
-
Ajaccio
1:1
Latest results of Ajaccio
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 32 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 56:32 | 24 | 64 |
| 2 | Le Mans | 32 | 15 | 13 | 4 | 47:30 | 17 | 58 |
| 3 | St Etienne | 32 | 17 | 6 | 9 | 53:36 | 17 | 57 |
| 4 | Red Star | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 41:35 | 6 | 54 |
| 5 | Reims | 32 | 13 | 13 | 6 | 47:31 | 16 | 52 |
| 6 | Rodez | 32 | 13 | 13 | 6 | 41:37 | 4 | 52 |
| 7 | Montpellier | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 39:28 | 11 | 50 |
| 8 | Annecy | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 46:36 | 10 | 49 |
| 9 | Pau FC | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 44:54 | -10 | 45 |
| 10 | Dunkerque | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 51:41 | 10 | 43 |
| 11 | Guingamp | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 42:47 | -5 | 40 |
| 12 | Boulogne | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 32:45 | -13 | 36 |
| 13 | Grenoble | 32 | 6 | 15 | 11 | 31:39 | -8 | 33 |
| 14 | Clermont | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 35:43 | -8 | 31 |
| 15 | Nancy | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 29:49 | -20 | 31 |
| 16 | Laval | 32 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 28:43 | -15 | 29 |
| 17 | Bastia | 32 | 4 | 13 | 15 | 22:37 | -15 | 25 |
| 18 | Amiens | 32 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 36:57 | -21 | 24 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
