Result
1:4
04/05/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 33
- Referee: Vukancic I. (Cro)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3 |
 Croatia | HRT 2, HRTi, MAX Sport 1, MAX Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 2.19 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 69% | 31% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (446/517) | 73% (180/248) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 2.19 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 3.55 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 37 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (446/517) | 73% (180/248) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 68% (28/41) | 38% (23/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (148/189) | 54% (38/70) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (9/40) | 67% (4/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 0.83 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (12/15) | 71% (10/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 8 | 53 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.55 | 0.98 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.45 | -0.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 3)
- 8', Omerovic N. (Pen),
- 25', 0 - 1, Omerovic N. ⚽, Babec H. (A),
- 30', 0 - 2, Omerovic N. ⚽, Bukvic D. (A),
- 43', 0 - 3, Hernani ⚽, Babec H. (A),
- 45+5', Lucic L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Jugovic V. ↓, Pedro Lima ↑,
- 46', Kruselj F. ↓, Bosec A. ↑,
- 46', Suto A. ↓, Dolcek I. ↑,
- 46', Crepulja L. ↓, Caimacov M. ↑,
- 46', Lepinjica I. ↓, Cubelic I. ↑,
- 54', 1 - 3, Dolcek I. ⚽,
- 55', Bukvic D. ↓, Zivkovic F. ↑,
- 59', 1 - 4, Jurisic R. ⚽, Hernani (A),
- 65', Kovacic D. ↓, Boras M. ↑,
- 71', Bosec A. 🟨,
- 71', Omerovic N. 🟨,
- 75', Hernani ↓, Ohajunwa J. ↑,
- 87', Omerovic N. ↓, Cvijanovic I. ↑,
- 87', Soldo M. ↓, Farkas N. ↑,
Chances of winning
Slaven Belupo
44.7% | Draw
28.1% | Osijek
27.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Slaven Belupo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)Osijek has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Slaven Belupo than the current prediction. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Osijek than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Slaven Belupo - Osijek Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.09 ↓
(2.13) |
3.33 ↑
(3.33) |
3.43 ↑
(3.32) |
6.9%
(7.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Slaven Belupo - Osijek?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Slaven Belupo will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Osijek will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Slaven Belupo: 15.4% – 84.6%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 5 and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Slaven Belupo won 3.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Slaven Belupo is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Slaven Belupo: Jesenovic M.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Osijek: Dantas T.
(Yellow Cards)
Hasic E.
(Ankle Injury)
Matkovic A.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Slaven Belupo: Bosec A.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Osijek: Mikolcic S.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Slaven Belupo won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 15:31. (average 0.8:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Slaven Belupo won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 1:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Slaven Belupo won against Osijek?
Slaven Belupo has won 5 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Osijek won against Slaven Belupo?
Osijek has won 5 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Slaven Belupo - Osijek were as follows:
02.04.2025
Slaven Belupo
-
Osijek
1:0
01.03.2025
Osijek
-
Slaven Belupo
1:2
30.11.2024
Slaven Belupo
-
Osijek
3:2
15.09.2024
Osijek
-
Slaven Belupo
1:0
29.03.2024
Slaven Belupo
-
Osijek
0:1
Latest results of Slaven Belupo
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | D. Zagreb | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Hajduk Split | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Osijek | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Rijeka | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Slaven Belupo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Varazdin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Istra 1961 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Vukovar 1991 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Lok. Zagreb | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Gorica | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
