Result
0:1
21/04/2026 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 31
- Referee: Pajac I. (Cro)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Croatia | MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 9 |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.17 | 1.24 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (505/602) | 76% (253/334) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.17 | 1.24 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 1.18 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (505/602) | 76% (253/334) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (39/69) | 41% (24/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (98/141) | 63% (39/62) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 37% (7/19) | 21% (3/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.41 | 0.72 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 29 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (14/21) | 45% (10/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 67 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 7 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 19 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.18 | 0.49 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.18 | 0.49 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 16', Sego M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 56', 0 - 1, Bubanja V. ⚽, Mejia Moscoso D. M. (A),
- 64', Brajkovic R. ↓, Almena I. ↑,
- 64', Hrgovic S. ↓, Melnjak D. ↑,
- 71', Jakupovic A. ↓, Baric I. ↑,
- 71', Omerovic N. ↓, Akere S. ↑,
- 72', Skoko N. ↓, Guram A. ↑,
- 78', Pajaziti A. ↓, Guillamon H. ↑,
- 78', Rebic A. ↓, Durdov B. ↑,
- 82', Mejia Moscoso D. M. ↓, Vrbancic L. ↑,
- 82', Bukvic D. ↓, Mikolcic S. ↑,
- 83', Sego M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 87', Colina D. 🟨,
- 90+1', Vrbancic L. 🟨,
- 90+2', Petrusenko O. ↓, Mersinaj J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Hajduk Split
69.6% | Draw
19.2% | Osijek
11.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hajduk Split has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hajduk Split's performance.Osijek has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Osijek might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hajduk Split than the current prediction. (-8.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hajduk Split that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Osijek than the current prediction. (+5%)
Hajduk Split - Osijek Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.34 ↓
(1.56) |
4.93 ↑
(3.8) |
8.31 ↑
(5.46) |
7.2%
(8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Hajduk Split - Osijek?
Users Predictions:
Hajduk Split will win
(16 of 16 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Hajduk Split will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hajduk won 4.
- Hajduk is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Osijek's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Osijek may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Hajduk is the undisputed favorite.
- We predict that Hajduk will win today's game, with odds of 1.38.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hajduk won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 29:16. (average 1.5:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hajduk won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:7. (average 1.7:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Hajduk Split won against Osijek?
Hajduk Split has won 10 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Osijek won against Hajduk Split?
Osijek has won 4 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hajduk Split - Osijek were as follows:
15.02.2026
Osijek
-
Hajduk Split
0:2
08.11.2025
Hajduk Split
-
Osijek
2:0
24.08.2025
Osijek
-
Hajduk Split
0:2
27.04.2025
Osijek
-
Hajduk Split
2:0
22.02.2025
Hajduk Split
-
Osijek
4:0
Latest results of Hajduk Split
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Din. Zagreb ✔ | 32 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 85:26 | 59 | 76 |
| 2 | Hajduk Split ✔ | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 51:29 | 22 | 61 |
| 3 | Varazdin | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 41:42 | -1 | 47 |
| 4 | Rijeka | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 41:36 | 5 | 43 |
| 5 | Lok. Zagreb | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 38:47 | -9 | 41 |
| 6 | Gorica | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 37:43 | -6 | 38 |
| 7 | Slaven Belupo | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 43:52 | -9 | 38 |
| 8 | Istra 1961 | 32 | 10 | 6 | 16 | 35:47 | -12 | 36 |
| 9 | Osijek | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 25:45 | -20 | 32 |
| 10 | Vukovar 1991 | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 33:62 | -29 | 25 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
Clinched Spots for Teams
Din. Zagreb is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (Qualification )
Hajduk Split is Qualified for Conference League (Qualification )
