Result
2:3
06/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier Division - Round 5
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ireland | LOI TV, Virgin Media Player, Virgin Media Two |
 United-kingdom | Virgin TV Go app |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.83 | 1.36 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (352/433) | 73% (242/331) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.83 | 1.36 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.86 | 2.21 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (352/433) | 73% (242/331) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (32/67) | 35% (24/68) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (88/128) | 60% (71/119) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (6/20) | 29% (8/28) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 0.98 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (12/17) | 74% (17/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 34 | 37 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.21 | 1.86 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.79 | -0.14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 14', Roche J. 🟨,
- 43', Freitas R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 3)
- 46', McInroy K. ↓, Caffrey E. ↑,
- 46', Freitas R. ↓, Lundgren M. ↑,
- 56', 0 - 1, Edmondson R. ⚽,
- 61', 0 - 2, Edmondson R. ⚽,
- 63', Boyd S. ↓, Martin J. ↑,
- 63', Roche J. ↓, Kelly D. ↑,
- 69', Palmer R. ↓, Keena A. ↑,
- 72', Brown J. 🟨,
- 73', 1 - 2, Wood H. ⚽, Bone S. (A),
- 74', Edmondson R. ↓, Mata M. A. ↑,
- 74', McClelland J. ↓, Breslin A. ↑,
- 75', 2 - 2, Martin J. ⚽,
- 83', Jarvis W. ↓, Coote A. ↑,
- 90', Bone S. 🟨,
- 90+1', Lundgren M. 🟨,
- 90+2', 2 - 3, Mata M. A. ⚽, Brown J. (A),
- 90+3', Mata M. A. 🟨,
- 90+4', Leavy K. ↓, Boyce R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Shelbourne
40.6% | Draw
30.8% | St Patricks Athletic
28.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shelbourne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)St Patricks Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
Shelbourne - St Patricks Athletic Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.3 ↑
(2.27) |
3.04 ↓
(3.26) |
3.28 ↑
(3.23) |
6.9%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Shelbourne - St Patricks Athletic?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Shelbourne will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). St Patricks will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 5 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shelbourne won 2.
- Shelbourne is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- St Patricks may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Shelbourne will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Shelbourne: Barrett P.
(Inactive)
Casey O.
(Inactive)
Chapman E.
(Inactive)
Moore S.
(Groin Injury)
- There will not play in St Patricks: Power S.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Shelbourne: Mbeng M.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Shelbourne won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 19:29. (average 1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Shelbourne won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:16. (average 1.2:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Shelbourne won against St Patricks Athletic?
Shelbourne has won 6 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has St Patricks Athletic won against Shelbourne?
St Patricks Athletic has won 6 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Shelbourne - St Patricks Athletic were as follows:
01.11.2025
Shelbourne
-
St Patricks Athletic
0:0
17.08.2025
St Patricks Athletic
-
Shelbourne
2:0
16.06.2025
St Patricks Athletic
-
Shelbourne
0:1
09.05.2025
Shelbourne
-
St Patricks Athletic
2:1
04.04.2025
St Patricks Athletic
-
Shelbourne
0:0
Latest results of Shelbourne
Latest results of St Patricks Athletic
Irish Premier Division Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bohemians | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 10:2 | 8 | 17 |
| 2 | St. Patricks | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12:5 | 7 | 14 |
| 3 | Shamrock Rovers | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10:6 | 4 | 12 |
| 4 | Dundalk | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 12:10 | 2 | 10 |
| 5 | Shelbourne | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10:9 | 1 | 10 |
| 6 | Derry City | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | 8 |
| 7 | Galway | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 8 |
| 8 | Drogheda | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 8 |
| 9 | Sligo Rovers | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3:11 | -8 | 4 |
| 10 | Waterford | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6:17 | -11 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Division 1
