Result
2:0
06/04/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier Division - Round 10
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ireland | LOI TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 1.49 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 35% | 65% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 57% (151/265) | 76% (366/482) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 1.49 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 1.05 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 10 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 14 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 11 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 34 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 57% (151/265) | 76% (366/482) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 22% (20/92) | 50% (39/78) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 48% (49/102) | 69% (149/215) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 8% (1/12) | 24% (9/37) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 1.85 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 34 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (8/13) | 83% (15/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 52 | 44 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.05 | 0.90 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.05 | -1.10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 7', 1 - 0, Wilson T. ⚽, Arubi G. (A),
- 17', Keena A. ↓, Palmer R. ↑,
- 19', McClelland J. 🟨,
- 21', 2 - 0, Tracey S. ⚽,
- 23', Burns B. 🟨,
- 36', Horgan D. 🟨,
- 39', Dervin A. 🟨,
- 44', Palmer R. ↓, Edmondson R. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Edmondson R. ↓, Lennon J. ↑,
- 46', Spaight S. ↓, Wilson J. ↑,
- 46', Burns B. ↓, Buckley K. ↑,
- 56', Tracey S. ↓, Groome H. ↑,
- 56', O'Keeffe C. ↓, Animasahun M. ↑,
- 72', Kenny E. ↓, McDaid D. ↑,
- 76', Hoare S. ↓, Nzingo G. ↑,
- 76', Leavy K. ↓, Forrester C. ↑,
- 81', Horgan D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Dundalk
24.2% | Draw
27.3% | St Patricks Athletic
48.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dundalk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dundalk's form might have worsened.St Patricks Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting St Patricks Athletic's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dundalk than the current prediction. (+5.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dundalk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for St Patricks Athletic than the current prediction. (-6.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for St Patricks Athletic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Dundalk - St Patricks Athletic Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.88 ↑
(3.1) |
3.45 ↑
(3.38) |
1.93 ↓
(2.28) |
6.5%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Dundalk - St Patricks Athletic?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Dundalk will win (votes: 5 - 50%). St Patricks will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dundalk: 19% – 81%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DNB - St Patricks (1.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. St Patricks (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 4 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dundalk won 1.
- Dundalk is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- St Patricks is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- St Patricks is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Dundalk: Cornwall R.
(Inactive)
Garbett N.
(Inactive)
Gaxha L.
(Inactive)
Kearns C.
(Inactive)
Leonard V.
(Inactive)
Mulligan L.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in St Patricks: Elbouzedi Z.
(Injury)
Power S.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Dundalk: Mullen D.
(Inactive)
Teahan R.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in St Patricks: McClelland J.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dundalk won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 22:29. (average 1.1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Dundalk won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.3:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Dundalk won against St Patricks Athletic?
Dundalk has won 2 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has St Patricks Athletic won against Dundalk?
St Patricks Athletic has won 6 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Dundalk - St Patricks Athletic were as follows:
27.02.2026
St Patricks Athletic
-
Dundalk
4:0
05.09.2024
Dundalk
-
St Patricks Athletic
1:2
03.06.2024
St Patricks Athletic
-
Dundalk
2:3
12.04.2024
Dundalk
-
St Patricks Athletic
0:0
08.03.2024
St Patricks Athletic
-
Dundalk
1:0
Latest results of Dundalk
Latest results of St Patricks Athletic
Irish Premier Division Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Shamrock Rovers | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 24:12 | 12 | 31 |
| 2 | St. Patricks | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 27:14 | 13 | 28 |
| 3 | Bohemians | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 18:14 | 4 | 22 |
| 4 | Dundalk | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 26:23 | 3 | 22 |
| 5 | Derry City | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 19:18 | 1 | 19 |
| 6 | Shelbourne | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 23:24 | -1 | 17 |
| 7 | Galway | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 18:20 | -2 | 17 |
| 8 | Drogheda | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 18:24 | -6 | 16 |
| 9 | Sligo Rovers | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 11:19 | -8 | 15 |
| 10 | Waterford | 14 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 12:28 | -16 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Division 1
