Gençlerbirliği vs Kocaelispor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
26/04/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Super Lig - Round 31
  • Referee: Turkmen M. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaTOD
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports 2

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.010.65
Ball possession
36%64%
Total shots
87
Shots on target
20
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
12
Passes
71% (181/256)83% (374/451)
Yellow cards
11
Expected goals (xG)
1.010.65
xG on target (xGOT)
0.880.00
Total shots
87
Shots on target
20
Shots off target
45
Blocked shots
22
Shots inside the box
36
Shots outside the box
51
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
12
Touches in opposition box
1410
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
13
Free kicks
1214
Passes
71% (181/256)83% (374/451)
Long passes
33% (20/60)47% (28/59)
Passes in final third
40% (32/80)62% (53/86)
Crosses
0% (0/8)18% (3/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.140.93
Throw ins
2128
Fouls
1412
Tackles
80% (12/15)78% (7/9)
Duels won
4543
Clearances
2815
Interceptions
33
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
01
xGOT faced
0.000.88
Goals prevented
0.00-0.12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 32', Demirel V. 🟨,
  • 34', 1 - 0, Mimaroglu M. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 45+1', Linetty K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Linetty K. , Susoho M. ,
  • 46', Rivas R. , Dursun S. ,
  • 57', Diabate O. 🟨,
  • 62', Bingol T. , Churlinov D. ,
  • 68', Koita S. , Niang M. ,
  • 68', Tongya F. , Hanousek M. ,
  • 75', Agyei D. , Gedik F. ,
  • 76', Onur S. , Dele-Bashiru T. ,
  • 86', Mimaroglu M. , Canak C. ,
  • 90', Nonge J. , Sagat A. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Gençlerbirliği
36.8%
Draw
29.7%
Kocaelispor
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.6% 28.1% 34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1% 27.7% 33.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gençlerbirliği has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • Kocaelispor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gençlerbirliği than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kocaelispor than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • Gençlerbirliği - Kocaelispor Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.58
    (2.51)
    3.17
    (3.36)
    2.84
    (2.76)
    5.5%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Gençlerbirliği - Kocaelispor?
  • Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Gençlerbirliği will win (votes: 17 - 70.8%). Kocaelispor will win (votes: 1 - 4.2%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Gençlerbirliği: 52.6%89%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 2 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Gençlerbirliği will win (2 of 3 users predict this - 66.67%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gençlerbirliği won 2.
    • The current form of both teams is below expectations.
    • Kocaelispor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Gençlerbirliği won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1.3:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Gençlerbirliği won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gençlerbirliği - Kocaelispor were as follows:
    28.11.2025 Kocaelispor - Gençlerbirliği 1:0
    20.01.2025 Gençlerbirliği - Kocaelispor 1:0
    10.08.2024 Kocaelispor - Gençlerbirliği 2:1
    15.03.2024 Gençlerbirliği - Kocaelispor 2:0
    28.10.2023 Kocaelispor - Gençlerbirliği 2:2
    Latest results of Gençlerbirliği
    Latest results of Kocaelispor
    Turkish Super League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Galatasaray32235473:274674
    2Fenerbahce322010271:343770
    3Trabzonspor32199459:352466
    4Besiktas ✔ 32178756:362059
    5Goztepe321313640:281252
    6Basaksehir32149953:341951
    7Samsunspor321212843:42148
    8Rizespor3210101244:46-240
    9Konyaspor3210101242:45-340
    10Kocaelispor329101326:36-1037
    11Gaziantep329101341:54-1337
    12Alanyaspor326161037:38-134
    13Kasimpasa327111430:46-1632
    14Eyupspor32781726:45-1929
    15Antalyaspor32781730:51-2129
    16Genclerbirligi32771830:45-1528
    17Kayserispor325121524:58-3427
    18Karagumruk32662028:53-2524

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ 1. Lig

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Besiktas is Qualified for Conference League (Qualification )