İstanbul Başakşehir vs Gençlerbirliği – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:0
11/04/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Super Lig - Round 29
  • Referee: Sansalan A. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaTOD
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports 2

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
3.101.13
Ball possession
50%50%
Total shots
2112
Shots on target
103
Big chances
61
Corner kicks
42
Passes
87% (369/425)83% (356/430)
Yellow cards
21
Expected goals (xG)
3.101.13
xG on target (xGOT)
2.090.56
Total shots
2112
Shots on target
103
Shots off target
48
Blocked shots
71
Shots inside the box
145
Shots outside the box
77
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
10
Big chances
61
Corner kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
4612
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
44
Free kicks
1419
Passes
87% (369/425)83% (356/430)
Long passes
62% (42/68)46% (28/61)
Passes in final third
78% (103/132)66% (54/82)
Crosses
41% (9/22)9% (1/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.710.86
Throw ins
197
Fouls
1914
Tackles
45% (5/11)60% (9/15)
Duels won
4448
Clearances
1423
Interceptions
75
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
37
xGOT faced
0.562.09
Goals prevented
0.56-0.91

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 9', 1 - 0, Shomurodov E. , Yildirim B. (A),
  • 23', Sahiner O. 🟨,
  • 27', Yildirim B. 🟨,
  • 40', 2 - 0, Shomurodov E. , Sari Y. (A),
  • 42', 3 - 0, Yildirim B. , Sari Y. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Onyekuru H. , Traore A. ,
  • 46', Ulgun O. , Niang M. ,
  • 59', Sahiner O. , Bulut O. ,
  • 59', Yildirim B. , Crespo M. ,
  • 59', Operi C. , Karatas K. ,
  • 62', Koita S. , Mimaroglu M. ,
  • 62', Tongya F. , Canak C. ,
  • 65', Traore A. 🟨,
  • 68', Gunes U. , Kaluzinski J. ,
  • 77', Gurpuz G. , Onur S. ,
  • 81', Shomurodov E. , Selke D. ,

Chances of winning


İstanbul Başakşehir
61%
Draw
22.2%
Gençlerbirliği
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.6% 22.6% 17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.2% 22.4% 17.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • İstanbul Başakşehir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • Gençlerbirliği has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for İstanbul Başakşehir than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gençlerbirliği than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • İstanbul Başakşehir - Gençlerbirliği Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.56
    (1.63)
    4.25
    (4.3)
    5.56
    (5.45)
    5.6%
    (3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for İstanbul Başakşehir - Gençlerbirliği?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Başakşehir (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: İstanbul Başakşehir will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 6 and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Başakşehir won 4.
    • In recent matches, Başakşehir has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Gençlerbirliği has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Başakşehir is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Başakşehir won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:12. (average 1.1:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Başakşehir won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 13:7. (average 1.9:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between İstanbul Başakşehir - Gençlerbirliği were as follows:
    07.11.2025 Gençlerbirliği - İstanbul Başakşehir 2:1
    Latest results of İstanbul Başakşehir
    Latest results of Gençlerbirliği
    Turkish Super League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Galatasaray32235473:274674
    2Fenerbahce322010271:343770
    3Trabzonspor32199459:352466
    4Besiktas32178756:362059
    5Goztepe321313640:281252
    6Basaksehir32149953:341951
    7Samsunspor321212843:42148
    8Rizespor3210101244:46-240
    9Konyaspor3210101242:45-340
    10Gaziantep329101341:54-1337
    11Kocaelispor31991325:35-1036
    12Alanyaspor316151037:38-133
    13Kasimpasa317101429:45-1631
    14Genclerbirligi31771730:44-1428
    15Eyupspor31771725:44-1928
    16Antalyaspor31771730:51-2128
    17Kayserispor315111523:57-3426
    18Karagumruk31562027:53-2621

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ 1. Lig