Marsa vs Métlaoui – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
19/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue Professionnelle 1 - Round 10
  • Where to Watch on TV:
tunisiaTunisiaDiwan Sport, Watania 2

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 30', Diame Pape M. 🟨,
  • 45+5', 0 - 1, Ouled Behi A. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Neji F. , Khaloui M. ,
  • 62', Gneba R. , Kalu G. ,
  • 63', Kachouri M. , Ben Salem Z. ,
  • 73', 🟨,
  • 74', Hadhri A. , Jouini A. ,
  • 80', Hajji B. , Bangoura A. ,
  • 83', Ben Salem Z. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Marsa
51.4%
Draw
28.6%
Métlaoui
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.3% 28.9% 25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3% 28.3% 25.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Marsa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marsa's performance.
  • Métlaoui has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Métlaoui might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marsa than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marsa that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Métlaoui than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Métlaoui could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Marsa - Métlaoui Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.8
    (2.02)
    3.23
    (3.17)
    4.65
    (3.54)
    8%
    (9.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marsa won 2.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Marsa is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Marsa won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 0.7:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Marsa won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 0.8:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Marsa - Métlaoui were as follows:
    12.05.2024 Marsa - Métlaoui 1:0
    18.02.2024 Métlaoui - Marsa 3:1
    03.01.2024 Métlaoui - Marsa 0:1
    22.10.2023 Marsa - Métlaoui 1:1
    Latest results of Marsa
    04.10.2025 Olympique Béja - Marsa 0:6
    01.10.2025 Marsa - Espérance ST 0:3
    24.09.2025 Stade Tunisien - Marsa 1:0
    18.09.2025 Marsa - Soliman 1:0
    11.09.2025 JS Kairouan - Marsa 2:1
    Latest results of Métlaoui
    Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Esperance Tunis22155239:73250
    2Club Africain22146233:82548
    3Stade Tunisien22128227:72044
    4CS Sfaxien22126429:111842
    5Monastir22910323:131037
    6Etoile Sahel2296722:18433
    7JS Omrane22841017:25-828
    8Zarzis2276920:23-327
    9Metlaoui2269714:23-927
    10AS Marsa22811320:24-425
    11CA Bizertin2267912:20-825
    12Ben Guerdane2259814:19-524
    13JS Kairouan22631315:33-1821
    14Olympique Beja22531411:34-2318
    15AS Gabes22381110:25-1517
    16Soliman2227139:25-1613

          Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2