Result
1:1
30/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 8
- Referee: Ward G. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3 |
 Australia | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport 2 |
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free |
 Hong-kong | myTV SUPER |
 Hungary | Match 4 |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 Ireland | NOW |
 Israel | Sport 2 |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Malaysia | Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | Viaplay, V Sport 1 |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Extra |
 United-kingdom | NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports UHD |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.90 | 0.68 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (355/455) | 68% (206/303) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.90 | 0.68 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 0.77 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 33 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (355/455) | 68% (206/303) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (36/78) | 27% (17/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (71/107) | 57% (64/112) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (10/30) | 18% (2/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.58 | 0.57 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 29 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (11/17) | 72% (13/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 64 | 61 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 42 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.77 | 1.29 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.23 | 0.29 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 37', 0 - 1, Bree J. ⚽, Docherty G. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Adams E. ↓, Ozoh D. ↑,
- 57', Kelman C. ↓, Leaburn M. ↑,
- 57', Carey S. ↓, Knibbs H. ↑,
- 57', Bree J. ↓, Burke R. ↑,
- 65', Brereton Diaz B. 🟨,
- 68', Brereton Diaz B. ↓, Weimann A. ↑,
- 68', Johnston M. ↓, Ward J. ↑,
- 71', Ozoh D. 🟨,
- 77', Campbell T. ↓, Olaofe T. ↑,
- 79', 1 - 1, Clarke M. ⚽, Travis L. (A),
- 84', Clark B. ↓, Jackson K. ↑,
- 88', Agyemang P. ↓, Salvesen L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Derby County
31.1% | Draw
37.5% | Charlton Athletic
31.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Derby County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Derby County's form might have worsened.Charlton Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (+6.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Derby County, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charlton Athletic than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Derby County - Charlton Athletic Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.54 ↑
(2.47) |
2.74 ↓
(3.1) |
3.53 ↑
(3.05) |
-6.9%
(5.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Derby County - Charlton Athletic?
Users Predictions:
34 users predict this event. Derby will win (votes: 17 - 50%). Charlton will win (votes: 9 - 26.5%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 23.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Derby: 33.2% – 66.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Derby (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Charlton (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.5 - Derby (votes: 3 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 21 and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Derby won 3.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Recently, Derby has had a series of away games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Derby: Beck O.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Blackett-Taylor C.
(Hamstring Injury)
Brewster R.
(Injury)
Langas S.
(Knee Injury)
Nelson C.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Charlton: Godden M.
(Calf Injury)
Mannion W.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Charlton: Berry L.
(Inactive)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Derby won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:14. (average 1.5:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Derby won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 15:6. (average 1.9:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Derby County won against Charlton Athletic?
Derby County has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Charlton Athletic won against Derby County?
Charlton Athletic has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Derby County - Charlton Athletic were as follows:
27.02.2024
Derby County
-
Charlton Athletic
1:2
03.02.2024
Charlton Athletic
-
Derby County
0:1
18.02.2023
Derby County
-
Charlton Athletic
2:0
Latest results of Derby County
Latest results of Charlton Athletic
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Middlesbrough | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 12:5 | 7 | 18 |
| 2 | Coventry | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 22:7 | 15 | 16 |
| 3 | Stoke | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10:5 | 5 | 14 |
| 4 | West Brom | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 14 |
| 5 | Bristol City | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 14:8 | 6 | 13 |
| 6 | Leicester | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:7 | 3 | 13 |
| 7 | Preston | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 13 |
| 8 | Swansea | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 12 |
| 9 | Charlton | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 12 |
| 10 | QPR | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:13 | -2 | 12 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 11 |
| 12 | Millwall | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6:12 | -6 | 11 |
| 13 | Ipswich | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 12:7 | 5 | 10 |
| 14 | Southampton | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10:11 | -1 | 10 |
| 15 | Wrexham | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13:14 | -1 | 9 |
| 16 | Watford | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 9 |
| 17 | Portsmouth | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 9 |
| 18 | Hull | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13:16 | -3 | 9 |
| 19 | Norwich | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 8 |
| 20 | Derby | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10:14 | -4 | 7 |
| 21 | Oxford Utd | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 6 |
| 22 | Blackburn | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6:10 | -4 | 6 |
| 23 | Sheffield Wed | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8:15 | -7 | 6 |
| 24 | Sheffield Utd | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3:15 | -12 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
