Independiente Petroleros vs Aurora – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Bolivian Division Profesional Independiente Petroleros - Aurora
Result
2:4
26/05/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Division Profesional - Round 9
  • Where to Watch on TV:
boliviaBoliviaFutbol Canal

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.221.91
Ball Possession
65%35%
Total shots
1817
Shots on target
47
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
93
Passes
81% (354/435)68% (169/248)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.221.91
xG on target (xGOT)
0.662.45
Total shots
1817
Shots on target
47
Shots off target
117
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
911
Shots outside the Box
96
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
93
Touches in opposition box
1726
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
2011
Passes
81% (354/435)68% (169/248)
Long passes
53% (30/57)43% (26/60)
Passes in final third
70% (87/125)64% (63/99)
Crosses
17% (7/42)29% (4/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.710.62
Throw-ins
2720
Fouls
1120
Tackles
67% (12/18)78% (14/18)
Duels won
5343
Clearances
1136
Interceptions
53
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
2.450.66
Goals prevented
-1.55-1.34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 14', Rivera A. 🟨,
  • 18', 0 - 1, Ballivian R. , Torrico J. (A),
  • 33', Rivera E. 🟨,
  • 36', 0 - 2, Robles D. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 46', Sejas C. , Flores A. ,
  • 46', Perea M. , Ubah B. ,
  • 46', Rivera A. , Castellon D. ,
  • 49', 1 - 2, Ubah B. , Thomaz (A),
  • 52', 1 - 3, Escobar R. , Torrico J. (A),
  • 55', 1 - 4, Escobar R. ,
  • 64', Torrico J. 🟨,
  • 67', Escobar R. 🟨,
  • 71', Cardozo R. , Mercado A. ,
  • 75', Escobar R. , Mendoza M. ,
  • 78', Cristaldo G. , Navarro D. ,
  • 78', Villalba D. , Chajtur M. ,
  • 79', Vaca O. , Vidaurre I. ,
  • 85', Sanchez A. , Aranibar B. ,
  • 88', 2 - 4, Ubah B. , Aguilera D. (A),

Chances of winning


Independiente Petroleros
42.2%
Draw
26.4%
Aurora
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.8% 25.8% 29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9% 25.7% 29.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Independiente Petroleros has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • Aurora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Petroleros than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aurora than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
  • Independiente Petroleros - Aurora Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.21
    (2.07)
    3.52
    (3.6)
    2.89
    (3.15)
    8.3%
    (7.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Independiente Petroleros - Aurora?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ind Petroleros will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 and 16 in the zone Relegation).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ind Petroleros won 2.
    • Recent form of Ind Petroleros has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Aurora has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Aurora may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Ind Petroleros won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:14. (average 1.1:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ind Petroleros won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.4:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Petroleros - Aurora were as follows:
    31.10.2024 Aurora - Independiente Petroleros 2:0
    21.07.2024 Independiente Petroleros - Aurora 2:1
    18.04.2024 Aurora - Independiente Petroleros 2:4
    15.04.2024 Independiente Petroleros - Aurora 0:1
    05.08.2023 Independiente Petroleros - Aurora 1:1
    Latest results of Aurora
    16.05.2025 Nacional Potosí - Aurora 3:1
    11.05.2025 Aurora - Bolívar 0:2
    03.05.2025 Real Tomayapo - Aurora 0:0
    29.04.2025 Aurora - ABB 2:1
    25.04.2025 Aurora - Real Oruro 2:2
    Bolivian Division Profesional Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Always Ready15104149:202934
    2The Strongest15111344:271734
    3Blooming1484231:211028
    4Bolivar1483334:161827
    5GV San Jose1572623:26-323
    6SA Bulo Bulo1446423:25-218
    7Academia del Balompie1446417:22-518
    8Universitario de Vinto1445520:22-217
    9Guabira1544726:32-616
    10Oriente Petrolero1444621:29-816
    11Nacional Potosi1335516:16014
    12Real Oruro1535720:26-614
    13Tomayapo1528515:24-914
    14Independiente1426618:31-1312
    15Wilstermann15131111:33-226
    16Aurora1454526:242-14

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
          Division Profesional (Relegation)
          Relegation