Result
2:1
20/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 9
- Referee: Chilowicz A. (Usa)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.68 | 0.08 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 75% | 25% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (600/670) | 64% (149/234) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.68 | 0.08 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.68 | 0.52 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 1 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 39 | 4 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (600/670) | 64% (149/234) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (17/32) | 24% (16/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 87% (267/306) | 46% (34/74) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (8/35) | 0% (0/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.75 | 0.15 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 8 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 100% (6/6) | 67% (14/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.52 | 3.68 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.48 | 1.68 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 14', Sweeney R. 🟥,
- 39', Gardner J. ↓, McLaughlin S. ↑,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Debrah J. ↓, Faal M. ↑,
- 46', Bowery J. ↓, McAdam K. ↑,
- 46', Croasdale R. ↓, Curtis R. ↑,
- 53', 1 - 0, Cole D. ⚽, Paton R. (A),
- 56', Paton R. 🟨,
- 56', Lewis A. 🟨,
- 58', Paton R. ↓, Hall G. ↑,
- 61', Roberts T. ↓, Oates R. ↑,
- 61', Lewis A. ↓, Dickov M. ↑,
- 71', Gordon L. 🟨,
- 79', Cole D. ↓, Brown D. ↑,
- 79', Gordon L. ↓, Heneghan B. ↑,
- 84', Moriah-Welsh N. ↓, Dwyer D. ↑,
- 86', 1 - 1, Oates R. ⚽, Dickov M. (A),
- 90+5', 2 - 1, Curtis R. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Port Vale
47.2% | Draw
30.2% | Mansfield Town
22.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Port Vale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)Mansfield Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mansfield Town than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
Port Vale - Mansfield Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.06 ↑
(2.01) |
3.26 ↑
(3.25) |
4.52 ↑
(3.7) |
1.3%
(7.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Port Vale - Mansfield Town?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Port Vale will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). Mansfield will win (votes: 3 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Port Vale: 42.8% – 90.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Port Vale (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Port Vale won 3.
- Recent performances by Port Vale have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Mansfield has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Port Vale may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Port Vale will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Mansfield: Bolton L.
(Injury)
Cargill B.
(Injury)
Gregory L.
(Knee Injury)
Oates R.
(Groin Injury)
Oshilaja A.
(Groin Injury)
- There are questionable in Port Vale: Heneghan B.
(Injury)
Stockley J.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Mansfield: Hendry R.
(Injury)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Port Vale won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 18:23. (average 1.3:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Port Vale won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:14. (average 1.4:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Port Vale won against Mansfield Town?
Port Vale has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mansfield Town won against Port Vale?
Mansfield Town has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Port Vale - Mansfield Town were as follows:
31.10.2023
Mansfield Town
-
Port Vale
0:1
Latest results of Port Vale
Latest results of Mansfield Town
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bradford City | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17:11 | 6 | 20 |
| 2 | Stevenage | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12:6 | 6 | 19 |
| 3 | Lincoln | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 14:9 | 5 | 18 |
| 4 | Cardiff | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13:5 | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | Huddersfield | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 15:11 | 4 | 16 |
| 6 | Barnsley | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 14:10 | 4 | 16 |
| 7 | Doncaster | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 16 |
| 8 | Stockport County | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 14:12 | 2 | 15 |
| 9 | AFC Wimbledon | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 12:11 | 1 | 15 |
| 10 | Bolton | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 14:8 | 6 | 14 |
| 11 | Luton | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 11:9 | 2 | 12 |
| 12 | Wigan | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:13 | 1 | 12 |
| 13 | Mansfield | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:12 | 1 | 11 |
| 14 | Leyton Orient | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11:15 | -4 | 11 |
| 15 | Northampton | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 5:8 | -3 | 10 |
| 16 | Exeter | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 10:11 | -1 | 9 |
| 17 | Plymouth | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 11:18 | -7 | 9 |
| 18 | Wycombe | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10:11 | -1 | 8 |
| 19 | Port Vale | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8:10 | -2 | 8 |
| 20 | Reading | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:13 | -4 | 8 |
| 21 | Rotherham | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6:11 | -5 | 7 |
| 22 | Blackpool | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8:14 | -6 | 7 |
| 23 | Peterborough | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7:15 | -8 | 7 |
| 24 | Burton | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
