Result
0:2
11/03/2026 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 19
- Referee: Speedie B. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.37 | 2.28 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 32 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 12 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 58% (183/313) | 68% (243/358) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.37 | 2.28 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.02 | 2.25 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 32 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 12 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 13 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 19 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 11 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 10 | 42 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 58% (183/313) | 68% (243/358) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 28% (24/85) | 37% (29/78) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 40% (37/93) | 65% (114/176) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 11% (1/9) | 24% (6/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.35 | 1.48 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 30 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 61% (11/18) | 53% (8/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 63 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 55 | 41 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.25 | 0.02 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.25 | 0.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 31', 0 - 1, Pointon B. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Ojo F. ↓, Ward G. ↑,
- 46', Waine B. ↓, Archer E. ↑,
- 46', Walters R. ↓, Shipley J. ↑,
- 51', Power M. 🟨,
- 61', Campbell E. 🟨,
- 61', Magloire T. ↓, Gordon L. ↑,
- 66', 0 - 2, Wright T. ⚽, Pointon B. (A),
- 69', Sarcevic A. ↓, Swan W. ↑,
- 70', Pointon B. ↓, Humphrys S. ↑,
- 70', Wheatley E. ↓, Mullin P. ↑,
- 80', Neufville J. ↓, Ashby H. ↑,
- 84', Gray A. ↓, Brown D. ↑,
- 85', Hall C. 🟨,
- 90', Wright T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Port Vale
25.7% | Draw
28.2% | Bradford City
46.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Port Vale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Port Vale's form might have worsened.Bradford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bradford City's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (+7.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Port Vale, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bradford City than the current prediction. (-7.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bradford City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Port Vale - Bradford City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.63 ↑
(2.7) |
3.34 ↑
(3.2) |
2.07 ↓
(2.35) |
5.8%
(10.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Port Vale - Bradford City?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Port Vale will win (votes: 4 - 21.1%). Bradford will win (votes: 11 - 57.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 21.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bradford: 35.7% – 80.1%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH 0 - Bradford (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH +0.25 - Bradford (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bradford City will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Port Vale (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Bradford (votes: 7 - 87.5%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Port Vale won 3.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Recently, Port Vale has had a series of home games.
- Recently, Bradford has had a series of away games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Port Vale: Clark M.
(Neck Injury)
Gordon L.
(Injury)
Johnson M.
(Inactive)
Lawrence-Gabriel J.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Bradford: Pennington M.
(Injury)
Powell N.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Bradford: Richards L.
(Injury)
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Port Vale won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 18:17. (average 0.9:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Port Vale won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.2:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Port Vale won against Bradford City?
Port Vale has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bradford City won against Port Vale?
Bradford City has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Port Vale - Bradford City were as follows:
29.12.2025
Bradford City
-
Port Vale
1:0
01.04.2025
Port Vale
-
Bradford City
2:0
26.12.2024
Bradford City
-
Port Vale
2:1
Latest results of Port Vale
Latest results of Bradford City
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln ✔ | 45 | 30 | 10 | 5 | 87:41 | 46 | 100 |
| 2 | Cardiff ✔ | 45 | 27 | 10 | 8 | 86:45 | 41 | 91 |
| 3 | Bolton ✔ | 45 | 19 | 18 | 8 | 68:49 | 19 | 75 |
| 4 | Stockport County | 45 | 21 | 11 | 13 | 68:57 | 11 | 74 |
| 5 | Bradford City | 45 | 21 | 11 | 13 | 56:50 | 6 | 74 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 45 | 20 | 12 | 13 | 48:46 | 2 | 72 |
| 7 | Luton | 45 | 20 | 11 | 14 | 65:54 | 11 | 71 |
| 8 | Plymouth | 45 | 21 | 7 | 17 | 72:61 | 11 | 70 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 45 | 17 | 13 | 15 | 70:64 | 6 | 64 |
| 10 | Reading | 45 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 64:59 | 5 | 63 |
| 11 | Mansfield | 45 | 15 | 17 | 13 | 57:46 | 11 | 62 |
| 12 | Wycombe | 45 | 16 | 12 | 17 | 66:56 | 10 | 60 |
| 13 | Barnsley | 45 | 15 | 14 | 16 | 67:70 | -3 | 59 |
| 14 | Blackpool | 45 | 16 | 9 | 20 | 53:65 | -12 | 57 |
| 15 | Doncaster | 45 | 16 | 9 | 20 | 47:68 | -21 | 57 |
| 16 | Wigan | 45 | 14 | 14 | 17 | 49:57 | -8 | 56 |
| 17 | Peterborough | 45 | 15 | 8 | 22 | 63:65 | -2 | 53 |
| 18 | Burton | 45 | 13 | 14 | 18 | 48:58 | -10 | 53 |
| 19 | AFC Wimbledon | 45 | 15 | 8 | 22 | 51:68 | -17 | 53 |
| 20 | Leyton Orient | 45 | 14 | 9 | 22 | 57:69 | -12 | 51 |
| 21 | Exeter | 45 | 12 | 13 | 20 | 51:59 | -8 | 49 |
| 22 | Port Vale ✔ | 45 | 10 | 12 | 23 | 36:59 | -23 | 42 |
| 23 | Rotherham ✔ | 45 | 10 | 11 | 24 | 39:68 | -29 | 41 |
| 24 | Northampton ✔ | 45 | 9 | 8 | 28 | 37:71 | -34 | 35 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
Clinched Spots for Teams
Lincoln is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Championship
Cardiff is Qualified for Championship
Bolton is Qualified for League One (Play Offs )
Port Vale is Relegated to League Two
Rotherham is Relegated to League Two
Northampton is Relegated to League Two
