Result
0:3
26/04/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- NWSL Women
- Referee: Chesky D. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Optus Sport |
 Canada | TSN 2 |
 Usa | ion TV, NWSL+ app, Tubi TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 0.84 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (304/380) | 86% (556/650) |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 0.84 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 2.64 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (304/380) | 86% (556/650) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 59% (26/44) | 53% (25/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (56/99) | 63% (85/136) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (1/7) | 17% (1/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 1.28 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (18/23) | 75% (12/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 35 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 19 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.64 | 1.05 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.30 | 1.05 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 31', 0 - 1, Lundkvist H. ⚽, Armstrong T. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 62', Barcenas M. ↓, Sanchez M. ↑,
- 68', Schlegel A. ↓, Barry C. ↑,
- 68', Joseph J. ↓, Johnson M. ↑,
- 73', Corley G. ↓, Leon A. ↑,
- 81', 0 - 2, Staab S. (Own goal),
- 83', Grosso J. ↓, Nesbeth L. ↑,
- 83', Biegalski C. ↓, Gomes N. ↑,
- 90+3', 0 - 3, Ascanio K. ⚽, Leon A. (A),
- 90+4', Morroni P. ↓, McNabb K. ↑,
- 90+4', Ascanio K. ↓, Favour E. ↑,
- 90+4', Cascarino D. ↓, Robbe M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Chicago Stars
21.8% | Draw
25% | San Diego Wave
53.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chicago Stars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)San Diego Wave has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and San Diego Wave might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chicago Stars than the current prediction. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Diego Wave than the current prediction. (+7.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Diego Wave could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Chicago Stars - San Diego Wave Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.27 ↓
(5.17) |
3.75 ↓
(3.82) |
1.74 ↑
(1.57) |
7.5%
(9.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Chicago Stars - San Diego Wave?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. San Diego Wave (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Chicago won 3.
- Chicago is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches San Diego Wave is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Chicago could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match San Diego Wave is a favorite.
- Last 7 head-to-head matches Chicago won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9:8 (average 1.3:1.1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Chicago won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:1 (average 0.7:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Chicago Stars won against San Diego Wave?
Chicago Stars has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has San Diego Wave won against Chicago Stars?
San Diego Wave has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Chicago Stars - San Diego Wave were as follows:
21.09.2024
Chicago Stars
-
San Diego Wave
1:0
28.06.2024
San Diego Wave
-
Chicago Stars
0:3
01.07.2023
Chicago Stars
-
San Diego Wave
1:0
25.03.2023
San Diego Wave
-
Chicago Stars
3:2
16.10.2022
San Diego Wave
-
Chicago Stars
2:1
Latest results of Chicago Stars
Latest results of San Diego Wave
NWSL Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kansas City Current W ✔ | 24 | 20 | 2 | 2 | 47:11 | 36 | 62 |
| 2 | Washington Spirit W | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 40:29 | 11 | 44 |
| 3 | Orlando Pride W | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 29:24 | 5 | 36 |
| 4 | Gotham W | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 31:20 | 11 | 35 |
| 5 | Seattle Reign W | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 29:27 | 2 | 35 |
| 6 | San Diego Wave W | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 34:31 | 3 | 34 |
| 7 | Portland Thorns W | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 32:29 | 3 | 34 |
| 8 | Racing Louisville W | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 32:36 | -4 | 33 |
| 9 | North Carolina Courage W | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 30:36 | -6 | 29 |
| 10 | Houston Dash W | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 26:35 | -9 | 27 |
| 11 | Angel City W | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 28:37 | -9 | 24 |
| 12 | Utah Royals W | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 26:40 | -14 | 22 |
| 13 | Bay FC W | 24 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 25:36 | -11 | 20 |
| 14 | Chicago W | 24 | 2 | 11 | 11 | 29:47 | -18 | 17 |
Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Kansas City Current W is Qualified for NWSL Women (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
