Result
2:0
29/04/2026 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- NWSL Women
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Australia | Stan Sport |
Mexico | Azteca Deportes |
Usa | CBS Sports Network, NWSL+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.21 | 1.05 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (296/382) | 82% (431/527) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.21 | 1.05 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 0.59 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 8 | 33 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (296/382) | 82% (431/527) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (34/60) | 43% (18/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (53/86) | 68% (92/136) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (1/8) | 14% (2/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.14 | 1.34 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (14/22) | 71% (15/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.59 | 0.54 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.59 | -1.46 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 10', 1 - 0, Muller M. ⚽, Moultrie O. (A),
- 40', Wilson S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Godfrey L. E. ↓, Gabi Portilho ↑,
- 59', Ludmila ↓, Barcenas M. ↑,
- 59', Turner R. ↓, Alidou d'Anjou M. ↑,
- 64', 2 - 0, Wilson S. ⚽, Alidou d'Anjou M. (A),
- 68', Ascanio K. ↓, Byars T. ↑,
- 72', Byars T. 🟨,
- 76', Tordin P. ↓, Lyles R. ↑,
- 85', Reyes R. ↓, Vignola M. ↑,
- 85', Perry J. 🟨,
- 88', Fazer L. ↓, Wynalda T. ↑,
- 88', Van Zanten A. D. ↓, Fusco J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Portland Thorns 34.3% | Draw 28.2% | San Diego Wave 37.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Portland Thorns has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)San Diego Wave has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portland Thorns than the current prediction. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Diego Wave than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Portland Thorns - San Diego Wave Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.68 ↑ (2.57) |
3.25 ↓ (3.51) |
2.45 ↓ (2.48) |
9% (7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portland Thorns won 1.
- Portland Thorns is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- San Diego Wave is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Portland Thorns may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- San Diego Wave is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Portland Thorns won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 20:22. (average 1.3:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Portland Thorns won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.5:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Portland Thorns won against San Diego Wave?
Portland Thorns has won 4 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has San Diego Wave won against Portland Thorns?
San Diego Wave has won 6 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Portland Thorns - San Diego Wave were as follows:
25.03.2026
San Diego Wave
-
Portland Thorns
3:1
09.11.2025
Portland Thorns
-
San Diego Wave
1:0
20.09.2025
Portland Thorns
-
San Diego Wave
1:1
10.05.2025
San Diego Wave
-
Portland Thorns
1:1
28.09.2024
San Diego Wave
-
Portland Thorns
2:0
Latest results of Portland Thorns
Latest results of San Diego Wave
NWSL Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Portland Thorns W | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12:6 | 6 | 16 |
| 2 | Washington Spirit W | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14:6 | 8 | 15 |
| 3 | San Diego Wave W | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 15 |
| 4 | Utah Royals W | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10:6 | 4 | 13 |
| 5 | Gotham W | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:4 | 3 | 11 |
| 6 | Seattle Reign W | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 11 |
| 7 | Houston Dash W | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:6 | 3 | 10 |
| 8 | Angel City W | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11:7 | 4 | 9 |
| 9 | North Carolina Courage W | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9:10 | -1 | 9 |
| 10 | Kansas City Current W | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 7:14 | -7 | 9 |
| 11 | Orlando Pride W | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11:11 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 | Denver Summit W | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 6 |
| 13 | Bay FC W | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 6 |
| 14 | Chicago W | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4:13 | -9 | 6 |
| 15 | Racing Louisville W | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 4 |
| 16 | Boston Legacy W | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3:11 | -8 | 1 |
Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)