Portland Thorns vs San Diego Wave – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
29/04/2026 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NWSL Women
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
mexicoMexicoAzteca Deportes
usaUsaCBS Sports Network, NWSL+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.211.05
Ball possession
42%58%
Total shots
511
Shots on target
33
Big chances
01
Corner kicks
45
Passes
77% (296/382)82% (431/527)
Yellow cards
21
Expected goals (xG)
0.211.05
xG on target (xGOT)
0.540.59
Total shots
511
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
05
Blocked shots
23
Shots inside the box
28
Shots outside the box
33
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
01
Corner kicks
45
Touches in opposition box
833
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free kicks
1411
Passes
77% (296/382)82% (431/527)
Long passes
57% (34/60)43% (18/42)
Passes in final third
62% (53/86)68% (92/136)
Crosses
13% (1/8)14% (2/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.141.34
Throw ins
1727
Fouls
1114
Tackles
64% (14/22)71% (15/21)
Duels won
5343
Clearances
2412
Interceptions
126
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
31
xGOT faced
0.590.54
Goals prevented
0.59-1.46

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 10', 1 - 0, Muller M. , Moultrie O. (A),
  • 40', Wilson S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Godfrey L. E. , Gabi Portilho ,
  • 59', Ludmila , Barcenas M. ,
  • 59', Turner R. , Alidou d'Anjou M. ,
  • 64', 2 - 0, Wilson S. , Alidou d'Anjou M. (A),
  • 68', Ascanio K. , Byars T. ,
  • 72', Byars T. 🟨,
  • 76', Tordin P. , Lyles R. ,
  • 85', Reyes R. , Vignola M. ,
  • 85', Perry J. 🟨,
  • 88', Fazer L. , Wynalda T. ,
  • 88', Van Zanten A. D. , Fusco J. ,

Chances of winning


Portland Thorns
34.3%
Draw
28.2%
San Diego Wave
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.1% 26.4% 37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2% 26.5% 37.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Portland Thorns has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • San Diego Wave has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portland Thorns than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Diego Wave than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • Portland Thorns - San Diego Wave Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.68
    (2.57)
    3.25
    (3.51)
    2.45
    (2.48)
    9%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portland Thorns won 1.
    • Portland Thorns is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • San Diego Wave is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Portland Thorns may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • San Diego Wave is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Portland Thorns won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 20:22. (average 1.3:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Portland Thorns won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.5:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Portland Thorns - San Diego Wave were as follows:
    25.03.2026 San Diego Wave - Portland Thorns 3:1
    09.11.2025 Portland Thorns - San Diego Wave 1:0
    20.09.2025 Portland Thorns - San Diego Wave 1:1
    10.05.2025 San Diego Wave - Portland Thorns 1:1
    28.09.2024 San Diego Wave - Portland Thorns 2:0
    Latest results of Portland Thorns
    Latest results of San Diego Wave
    NWSL Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Portland Thorns W751112:6616
    2Washington Spirit W843114:6815
    3San Diego Wave W750211:7415
    4Utah Royals W741210:6413
    5Gotham W73227:4311
    6Seattle Reign W73227:7011
    7Houston Dash W63129:6310
    8Angel City W630311:749
    9North Carolina Courage W72329:10-19
    10Kansas City Current W73047:14-79
    11Orlando Pride W722311:1108
    12Denver Summit W61326:606
    13Bay FC W52036:10-46
    14Chicago W72054:13-96
    15Racing Louisville W611410:13-34
    16Boston Legacy W60153:11-81

          Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)