Result
3:1
21/09/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera B - Clausura - Round 11
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win play |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 5', 0 - 1, Mena J. ⚽,
- 24', 🟨,
- 35', 🟨,
- 37', 1 - 1, Marrugo C. ⚽,
- 40', 🟨,
- 40', 🟨,
- 43', 2 - 1, Gomez S. ⚽,
- 45+3', 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 66', Girado S. ↓, Salcedo J. ↑,
- 71', Barrios D. ↓, Montano Loango A. J. ↑,
- 74', Gomez S. ↓, Leudo J. ↑,
- 74', De La Rosa W. ↓, Murillo M. ↑,
- 84', Nieva J. ↓, Ditta Ruiz J. J. ↑,
- 88', 3 - 1, Murillo M. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Real Cartagena
54.2% | Draw
26.3% | Orsomarso
19.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Cartagena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Cartagena's performance.Orsomarso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Orsomarso might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Cartagena than the current prediction. (-5.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Cartagena that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orsomarso than the current prediction. (+6.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Orsomarso could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Real Cartagena - Orsomarso Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.8 ↓
(1.86) |
3.7 ↑
(3.6) |
4.98 ↑
(3.5) |
2.8%
(10.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Cartagena won 4.
- Real Cartagena is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Orsomarso has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Real Cartagena may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Real Cartagena is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Real Cartagena won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:11. (average 1.3:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Real Cartagena won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1.2:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Real Cartagena won against Orsomarso?
Real Cartagena has won 6 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Orsomarso won against Real Cartagena?
Orsomarso has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Real Cartagena - Orsomarso were as follows:
11.04.2025
Orsomarso
-
Real Cartagena
1:2
23.11.2024
Orsomarso
-
Real Cartagena
0:1
30.10.2024
Real Cartagena
-
Orsomarso
2:1
14.10.2024
Orsomarso
-
Real Cartagena
1:0
10.06.2024
Real Cartagena
-
Orsomarso
2:0
Latest results of Real Cartagena
Latest results of Orsomarso
Colombian Primera B Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Jaguares de Cordoba ✔ | 13 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 19:6 | 13 | 33 |
| 2 | Inter Palmira | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 17:13 | 4 | 24 |
| 3 | Cucuta | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 18:9 | 9 | 23 |
| 4 | Patriotas | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 16:11 | 5 | 23 |
| 5 | Cartagena | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 23:10 | 13 | 22 |
| 6 | Real Cundinamarca | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 17:9 | 8 | 21 |
| 7 | Huila | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 11:13 | -2 | 18 |
| 8 | Boca Juniors | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 16:14 | 2 | 16 |
| 9 | Quindio | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 20:19 | 1 | 16 |
| 10 | Orsomarso | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 10:14 | -4 | 15 |
| 11 | Atletico F.C | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 16:24 | -8 | 15 |
| 12 | Bogota | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 12:23 | -11 | 15 |
| 13 | Real Santander | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 16:14 | 2 | 14 |
| 14 | Tigres | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 8:13 | -5 | 12 |
| 15 | Barranquilla | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 11:20 | -9 | 7 |
| 16 | Leones | 13 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 6:24 | -18 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Primera B (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Jaguares de Cordoba is Qualified for Primera B (Clausura ~ Quadrangular )
