Result
3:2
01/03/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 25
- Referee: Martens R. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.38 | 4.16 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 28 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (271/350) | 77% (284/369) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.38 | 4.16 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.21 | 2.06 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 28 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 18 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 38 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (271/350) | 77% (284/369) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (29/68) | 49% (25/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (77/115) | 66% (77/116) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (2/12) | 32% (8/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 2.05 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 7 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (11/16) | 33% (3/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.06 | 2.21 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.06 | -0.79 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 16', 0 - 1, Resink S. ⚽, Taha Y. (A),
- 23', Willumsson B. 🟨,
- 38', Pauwels B. ↓, Oehlers A. ↑,
- 45+7', 1 - 1, Kuwas B. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Kuwas B. ↓, Muhren R. ↑,
- 46', Kokcu O. 🟨,
- 53', Resink S. ↓, Schreuders J. ↑,
- 56', 2 - 1, Oehlers A. ⚽, Kwakman D. (A),
- 65', Taha Y. 🟨,
- 76', Amevor M. 🟨,
- 76', Peersman M. ↓, Prins W. ↑,
- 77', Land T. ↓, Seuntjens M. ↑,
- 77', Janse D. ↓, Metu R. ↑,
- 77', Willumsson B. ↓, Zawada O. ↑,
- 79', Kokcu O. ↓, Plat A. ↑,
- 79', Ould-Chikh B. ↓, Ideho J. ↑,
- 86', van Cruijsen R. ↓, Bacuna J. ↑,
- 90+2', 2 - 2, van Bergen T. ⚽, Schreuders J. (A),
- 90+6', 3 - 2, Muhren R. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Volendam
25.2% | Draw
25.8% | Groningen
49.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Volendam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)Groningen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Volendam than the current prediction. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Groningen than the current prediction. (-7.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Groningen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Volendam - Groningen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.74 ↓
(3.9) |
3.68 ↑
(3.53) |
1.94 ↑
(1.87) |
5.6%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Volendam - Groningen?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Volendam will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Groningen will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Volendam: 13.8% – 69.6%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Volendam (votes: 2 - 50%). Groningen (votes: 2 - 50%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DC - Volendam (1.87) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH +0.5 - Volendam (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Volendam (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Groningen (votes: 2 - 28.6%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 and 10).
- Volendam has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Groningen is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Volendam may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Groningen could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Volendam: Descotte A.
(Inactive)
Veerman H.
(Injury)
Yah G.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Groningen: Seuntjens M.
(Groin Injury)
de Jonge T.
(Injury)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Volendam won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 1.3:2.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Volendam won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Volendam won against Groningen?
Volendam has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Groningen won against Volendam?
Groningen has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Volendam - Groningen were as follows:
13.12.2025
Groningen
-
Volendam
3:0
29.01.2023
Volendam
-
Groningen
3:2
Latest results of Volendam
Latest results of Groningen
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSV | 29 | 23 | 2 | 4 | 82:40 | 42 | 71 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 29 | 16 | 6 | 7 | 61:40 | 21 | 54 |
| 3 | Nijmegen | 29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 71:47 | 24 | 53 |
| 4 | Twente | 30 | 14 | 11 | 5 | 51:32 | 19 | 53 |
| 5 | Ajax | 29 | 12 | 12 | 5 | 54:37 | 17 | 48 |
| 6 | AZ Alkmaar | 29 | 13 | 6 | 10 | 49:45 | 4 | 45 |
| 7 | Heerenveen | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 53:47 | 6 | 44 |
| 8 | Sparta Rotterdam | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 35:47 | -12 | 42 |
| 9 | Utrecht | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 45:35 | 10 | 41 |
| 10 | Groningen | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 42:37 | 5 | 41 |
| 11 | G.A. Eagles | 29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 50:45 | 5 | 35 |
| 12 | Sittard | 29 | 10 | 5 | 14 | 43:54 | -11 | 35 |
| 13 | Zwolle | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 38:58 | -20 | 33 |
| 14 | FC Volendam | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 31:50 | -19 | 28 |
| 15 | Telstar | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 38:48 | -10 | 27 |
| 16 | Excelsior | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 29:49 | -20 | 27 |
| 17 | NAC Breda | 29 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 29:50 | -21 | 24 |
| 18 | Heracles | 29 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 34:74 | -40 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
