Result
0:1
21/11/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Challenge League - Round 14
- Referee: Prskalo Z. (Sui)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Switzerland | Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1, Blue Zoom |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 1.40 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (265/359) | 81% (468/580) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 1.40 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.37 | 1.08 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (265/359) | 81% (468/580) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (28/61) | 35% (20/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (69/108) | 68% (94/138) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 43% (6/14) | 46% (6/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 1.06 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 77% (17/22) | 52% (11/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 61 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.08 | 0.37 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.08 | 0.37 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 20', Monsberger M. 🟨,
- 38', Goncalves M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 51', Tutonda D. 🟨,
- 63', Monsberger M. ↓, Campos A. ↑,
- 64', Rey A. 🟨,
- 68', Hoxha F. ↓, Schwizer D. ↑,
- 69', Dantas Fernandes R. ↓, De Donno G. ↑,
- 72', Jaiteh M. ↓, Kury J. ↑,
- 77', Shabani M. 🟨,
- 79', Mayorga J. 🟨,
- 80', Mack L. 🟨,
- 82', Shabani M. ↓, Moulin P. ↑,
- 85', Akinola A. ↓, Navarro J. ↑,
- 86', Hasler N. 🟨,
- 90', 0 - 1, De Donno G. ⚽, Navarro J. (A),
- 90+4', Schaffran L. 🟨,
- 90+5', De Donno G. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Bellinzona
22.7% | Draw
24.1% | Vaduz
53.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Bellinzona - Vaduz Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.1 ↓
(4.36) |
3.85 ↓
(3.86) |
1.75 ↑
(1.69) |
7.6%
(7.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Bellinzona - Vaduz?
Users Predictions:
Vaduz will win
(12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Vaduz will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Promotion League and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Promotion: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bellinzona won 1.
- Bellinzona is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Vaduz is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- In this match, Vaduz is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Bellinzona: Amelibia J.
(Inactive)
Dermaku D.
(Injury)
Lasso J.
(Inactive)
Lymann F.
(Injury)
Mihajlovic D.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Vaduz: Eberhard M.
(Broken collarbone)
Sawadogo M.
(Injury)
Simani D.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Bellinzona: Mayorga J.
(Injury)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Bellinzona won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 19:33. (average 1.3:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bellinzona won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:14. (average 1:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Bellinzona won against Vaduz?
Bellinzona has won 3 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vaduz won against Bellinzona?
Vaduz has won 8 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bellinzona - Vaduz were as follows:
22.08.2025
Vaduz
-
Bellinzona
6:0
12.04.2025
Bellinzona
-
Vaduz
3:1
16.03.2025
Vaduz
-
Bellinzona
2:0
08.12.2024
Bellinzona
-
Vaduz
1:2
29.09.2024
Vaduz
-
Bellinzona
2:1
Latest results of Bellinzona
Swiss Challenge League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vaduz | 18 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 41:16 | 25 | 45 |
| 2 | Aarau | 18 | 14 | 0 | 4 | 35:22 | 13 | 42 |
| 3 | Yverdon | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 34:24 | 10 | 30 |
| 4 | Lausanne Ouchy | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 32:23 | 9 | 29 |
| 5 | Xamax | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26:25 | 1 | 25 |
| 6 | Rapperswil-Jona | 17 | 6 | 1 | 10 | 19:26 | -7 | 19 |
| 7 | Stade Nyonnais | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 20:26 | -6 | 18 |
| 8 | Wil | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 14:28 | -14 | 16 |
| 9 | Etoile-Carouge | 18 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 14:25 | -11 | 13 |
| 10 | Bellinzona | 17 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 13:33 | -20 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Super League
Promotion ~ Super League (Promotion: )
Relegation ~ Promotion League
