Result
5:2
03/04/2026 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Challenge League - Round 28
- Referee: Sanli H. (Tur)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.23 | 0.64 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (451/523) | 83% (363/437) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.23 | 0.64 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.74 | 0.81 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (451/523) | 83% (363/437) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 71% (46/65) | 46% (16/35) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (77/108) | 71% (85/120) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 10% (1/10) | 8% (1/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 0.61 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (17/27) | 74% (20/27) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 63 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.81 | 3.74 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.19 | -1.26 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 8', Gnakpa J. 🟨,
- 14', 0 - 1, Vogt W. ⚽, Jaiteh M. (A),
- 17', 1 - 1, Sessolo H. ⚽, Golliard R. (A),
- 22', Fetahu E. 🟨,
- 33', Ayala D. 🟨,
- 34', 2 - 1, Pasche E. ⚽, Sessolo H. (A),
- 41', Jaiteh M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 51', 3 - 1, Pasche E. ⚽, Kongsro V. (A),
- 61', 4 - 1, Golliard R. ⚽,
- 63', Rizvanovic M. 🟨,
- 64', Golliard R. ↓, Tasar V. ↑,
- 64', Marchesano A. ↓, Weber P. ↑,
- 66', Mayorga J. ↓, Lopez A. ↑,
- 66', Jaiteh M. ↓, Rossier E. ↑,
- 66', Lopez B. ↓, Jashari E. ↑,
- 66', Moulin P. ↓, Bomo J. ↑,
- 66', Fetahu E. ↓, Lymann F. ↑,
- 70', Doumbia O. ↓, Neelakandan R. ↑,
- 75', Pasche E. ↓, Kanoute M. ↑,
- 75', Kongsro V. ↓, Bittarelli L. ↑,
- 76', 5 - 1, Kanoute M. ⚽, Saiz F. (A),
- 81', 5 - 2, Ayala D. ⚽, Lopez A. (A),
- 88', Lymann F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Yverdon
66% | Draw
20.5% | Bellinzona
13.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Yverdon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Yverdon's performance.Bellinzona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yverdon than the current prediction. (-16.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Yverdon that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bellinzona than the current prediction. (+7.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bellinzona could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Yverdon - Bellinzona Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.4 ↓
(1.59) |
4.51 ↑
(3.83) |
6.9 ↑
(5.1) |
8%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Yverdon - Bellinzona?
Users Predictions:
Yverdon will win
(3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Yverdon won 3.
- In recent matches, Yverdon has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Bellinzona's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Yverdon is considered a favorite.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Yverdon won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:7. (average 1.4:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Yverdon won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1.2:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Yverdon won against Bellinzona?
Yverdon has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bellinzona won against Yverdon?
Bellinzona has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Yverdon - Bellinzona were as follows:
27.02.2026
Bellinzona
-
Yverdon
0:4
19.10.2025
Yverdon
-
Bellinzona
2:0
26.08.2025
Bellinzona
-
Yverdon
0:0
21.04.2023
Yverdon
-
Bellinzona
1:2
29.01.2023
Bellinzona
-
Yverdon
0:2
Latest results of Yverdon
Latest results of Bellinzona
Swiss Challenge League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vaduz | 30 | 21 | 5 | 4 | 62:33 | 29 | 68 |
| 2 | Aarau | 30 | 21 | 3 | 6 | 60:40 | 20 | 66 |
| 3 | Yverdon | 30 | 17 | 5 | 8 | 61:38 | 23 | 56 |
| 4 | Lausanne Ouchy | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 47:41 | 6 | 40 |
| 5 | Xamax | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 43:46 | -3 | 39 |
| 6 | Rapperswil-Jona | 30 | 11 | 2 | 17 | 40:50 | -10 | 35 |
| 7 | Etoile-Carouge | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 35:42 | -7 | 33 |
| 8 | Wil | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 31:45 | -14 | 33 |
| 9 | Stade Nyonnais | 30 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 29:42 | -13 | 28 |
| 10 | Bellinzona | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 29:60 | -31 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Super League
Promotion ~ Super League (Promotion: )
Relegation ~ Promotion League
